Troy vs. Louisiana Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The Troy Trojans (6-2) have a Sun Belt matchup versus the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (4-4).

Troy vs. Louisiana Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Troy as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Troy has -169 odds to pick up the win, while Louisiana is listed at +138 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 43 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Troy vs. Louisiana Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Lafayette, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Cajun Field

Betting Preview

Troy

Troy ranks 77th in total offense this year (384.1 yards per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking 23rd-best in the FBS with 384.1 yards allowed per game. Troy owns the 105th-ranked offense this season (22.5 points per game), and has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 16th-best with just 17.6 points allowed per game. Troy has the 60th-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (227.1 allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 22nd-best with 290.9 passing yards per game. Troy sports the 14th-best run defense this season (102.0 rushing yards allowed per game), but ranks 12th-worst on offense (93.3 rushing yards per game). Troy has been a bottom-25 offense on third down this season, ranking 21st-worst with a 33.0% third-down conversion rate. On the defensive side of the ball, the Trojans rank 101st in the FBS (42.7% third-down conversion rate allowed). Troy has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -1, forcing 13 turnovers (45th in the FBS) while turning it over 14 times (91st in the FBS).

Louisiana

With 366.8 total yards per game on offense, Louisiana ranks 86th in the FBS in 2022. On defense, it ranks 33rd, giving up 342.6 total yards per game. With 26.6 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, Louisiana ranks 83rd in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 30th, allowing 21.5 points per game. From an offensive perspective, Louisiana is accumulating 241.3 passing yards per contest (67th-ranked). It ranks 48th in the FBS defensively (215.9 passing yards given up per game). Louisiana ranks 99th in the FBS with 125.5 rushing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 43rd with 126.8 rushing yards surrendered per game on the defensive side of the ball. With a 40.8% third-down conversion percentage on offense, Louisiana ranks 57th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 75th, giving up a 39.5% third-down rate. Louisiana has excelled in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of +7 ranks 14th-best in the FBS, with 19 forced turnovers (sixth in the nation) and 12 turnovers committed (69th in the nation).

Troy vs. Louisiana Betting Analysis

Troy Betting Insights

Troy is 6-2-0 against the spread this season. Troy has 1-2 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites. This season, Troy games have hit the over three times. The Trojans have been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games. The Trojans have played as a moneyline favorite of -169 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Insights

Louisiana have compiled a 5-3-0 record against the spread this year. Louisiana has a perfect 2-0 ATS record when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs. Louisiana’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this year. The Ragin’ Cajuns have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Ragin’ Cajuns have a record of 1-1 when they’re set as an underdog of +138 or more by bookmakers this season.

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Troy vs. Louisiana Against The Spread & Betting Records

Troy

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.9 49.1 52.8
Implied Total AVG 32.4 33.0 31.8
ATS Record 6-2-0 2-2-0 4-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-5-0 1-3-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-2 1-0 2-2

Ragin’ Cajuns

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.9 54.0 47.9
Implied Total AVG 30.3 32.3 28.3
ATS Record 5-3-0 4-0-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-4-0 2-2-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-3 3-0 0-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-1 1-0

Players to Watch

Troy

  • The Trojans’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of T.J. Jackson, who has suited up for eight games and collected 26 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks.
  • As part of the Trojans’ defensive unit, Carlton Martial has compiled 0.5 sacks to go with 1.0 TFL, 46 tackles, and one interception in eight games.
  • Richard Jibunor has hit the gridiron for eight games, collecting 18 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks for the Trojans.
  • The Trojans’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of Craig Slocum, who has played eight games, posting 1.0 TFL, 35 tackles, and one interception.

Ragin’ Cajuns

  • Bralen Trahan has delivered three interceptions to go with 44 tackles and three passes defended in eight games for the Ragin’ Cajuns.
  • In eight games for the Ragin’ Cajuns, Zi’Yon Hill has delivered 30 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks.
  • Kris Moncrief has 2.5 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL, 42 tackles, and one interception in eight games.
  • With one interception to go with 27 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one pass defended in eight games, Andre Jones has been providing a big boost on defense for the Ragin’ Cajuns.

Troy vs. Louisiana Predictions and Pick

Troy vs. Louisiana betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Trojans (-3.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (43)

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How to Bet on Troy vs. Louisiana

You can bet on Troy vs. Louisiana at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Troy vs. Louisiana picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Troy, and we predict that Troy will cover the spread (Troy -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 43 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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