Toledo vs. San Diego State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

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The Toledo Rockets (2-1) square off against the San Diego State Aztecs (1-2) in college football action at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, California.

Toledo vs. San Diego State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with bookmakers listing Toledo as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Toledo has -155 odds to pick up the win, while San Diego State is listed at +128 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 45 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Toledo vs. San Diego State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: Snapdragon Stadium

Betting Preview

Toledo

From an offensive standpoint, Toledo ranks 85th in the FBS with 386.7 yards per game. Meanwhile, its defense ranks 81st in total defense (376.3 yards allowed per contest). Toledo is compiling 37.7 points per game on offense (39th in the FBS), and ranks 89th defensively with 29.0 points allowed per game. Toledo ranks 103rd in pass offense (192.0 passing yards per game) and 49th in pass defense (199.3 passing yards allowed per game) this season. Toledo is totaling 194.7 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 47th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 102nd, allowing 177.0 rushing yards per game. Toledo ranks 102nd in third-down efficiency (33.3%) on offense and 99th in third-down conversion rate allowed (42.0%) on defense this year. With two forced turnovers (111th in the FBS) against three turnovers committed (33rd in the FBS), Toledo’s -1-1 turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.

San Diego State

San Diego State ranks 16th-worst in total yards per game (297.7), but it has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 92nd in the FBS with 399.0 total yards ceded per contest. San Diego State ranks 106th in the FBS with 21.7 points per contest on offense, and it ranks 77th with 26.7 points allowed per contest on defense. San Diego State’s passing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, registering 76.7 passing yards per game, which ranks third-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 98th with 260.3 passing yards surrendered per contest. San Diego State’s run defense ranks 68th in the FBS with 138.7 rushing yards surrendered per game, but it has been lifted up by its offense, which ranks 22nd-best by compiling 221.0 rushing yards per contest. San Diego State ranks sixth-worst in third-down conversion percentage (25.0%), but it has been more effective defensively, ranking 102nd in the FBS with a 42.6% third-down rate allowed. At -3, San Diego State sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with three forced turnovers (93rd in the FBS) and six turnovers committed (95th in the FBS).

Toledo vs. San Diego State Betting Analysis

Toledo Betting Insights

Toledo has put together a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this season. Toledo has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 3-point favorites. This season, each Toledo game has hit the over. The Rockets have been listed as the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Rockets have played as a moneyline favorite of -155 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.

Aztecs Betting Insights

San Diego State has yet to win a game against the spread this year (0-3-0). San Diego State has not covered a spread when it is at least 3-point underdogs (0-1). Games involving San Diego State has hit the over once this year. The Aztecs lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Aztecs have played as an underdog of +128 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Toledo vs. San Diego State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Toledo

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.0 49.5 62.5
Implied Total AVG 43.0 39.0 47.0
ATS Record 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Aztecs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.0 47.3 49.5
Implied Total AVG 34.7 33.5 37.0
ATS Record 0-3-0 0-2-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Toledo

  • As part of the Rockets’ defense, Dallas Gant has posted 13 tackles in three games.
  • The Rockets’ defense has been helped by the contributions of Maxen Hook, who has played three games and compiled 13 tackles.
  • With 16 tackles in three games, Dyontae Johnson has been a big part of the Rockets’ defense in 2022.
  • A significant part of the Rockets’ defensive unit, Andre Fuller has five tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in three games.

Aztecs

  • In three games for the Aztecs, Michael Shawcroft has totaled 2.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 16 tackles.
  • The Aztecs’ Caden McDonald has compiled 2.0 TFL and 15 tackles in three games.
  • Garret Fountain has 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and 10 tackles in three games.
  • Cedarious Barfield has totaled 1.0 TFL and five tackles in three games for the Aztecs.

Toledo vs. San Diego State Predictions and Pick

Toledo vs. San Diego State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Rockets (-3)

    Pick OU:

    Over (45)

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How to Bet on Toledo vs. San Diego State

You can bet on Toledo vs. San Diego State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Toledo vs. San Diego State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Toledo, and we predict that Toledo will cover the spread (Toledo -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 45 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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