Toledo vs. Ball State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiasset5yjpeG3toledo rockets vs ball state cardinals Betsperts Media & Technology

MAC opponents will battle when the Toledo Rockets (6-3) meet the Ball State Cardinals (5-4).

Toledo vs. Ball State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Toledo as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Toledo has -432 odds to pick up the win, while Ball State is listed at +323 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 50 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Toledo vs. Ball State Live?

  • Game Day: Tuesday, November 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Toledo, Ohio
  • Stadium: The Glass Bowl

Betting Preview

Toledo

Toledo is compiling 403.8 yards per game on offense, which ranks 62nd in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, the Rockets rank 37th, surrendering 347.6 yards per game. Toledo ranks 73rd in scoring defense this season (26.9 points allowed per game), but has been playing really well on offense, ranking 25th-best in the FBS with 35.9 points per game. Toledo owns the 93rd-ranked offense this year in terms of passing yards (216.3 passing yards per game), and has been more effective defensively, ranking 25th-best with only 189.4 passing yards allowed per game. Toledo ranks 38th in run offense (187.4 rushing yards per game) and 86th in run defense (158.1 rushing yards allowed per game) this year. Toledo is posting a 40.7% third-down conversion rate on offense, which ranks them 57th in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, the defense ranks 60th, surrendering a 37.5% third-down percentage. With 13 forced turnovers (53rd in the FBS) against 17 turnovers committed (110th in the FBS), Toledo’s -4-4 turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.

Ball State

From an offensive angle, Ball State is putting up 397.6 total yards per game (66th-ranked). It ranks 87th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (397.2 total yards given up per game). From an offensive standpoint, Ball State is putting up 24.8 points per game (91st-ranked). It ranks 79th in the FBS on defense (27.2 points given up per game). With 245.2 passing yards per game on offense, Ball State ranks 59th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 41st, giving up 208.0 passing yards per contest. Ball State’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in run defense this season, allowing 189.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 19th-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 62nd with 152.3 rushing yards per contest. In terms of third-down efficiency, Ball State ranks 69th in the FBS (39.4% third-down conversion percentage) and 72nd on the other side of the ball (39.2% third-down rate allowed). After forcing 12 turnovers (70th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 15 times (98th in the FBS) this season, Ball State sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -3.

Toledo vs. Ball State Betting Analysis

Toledo Betting Insights

Toledo has covered the spread four times in eight games with a set spread. Toledo has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites. Games involving Toledo have hit the over five times this season. The Rockets have won five of the seven games they were the moneyline favorite this season (71.4%). The Rockets have played as a moneyline favorite of -432 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Cardinals Betting Insights

Ball State has covered the spread four times over nine games with a set total. Ball State is winless against the spread when it is 10.5-point underdogs or more (0-1). Games involving Ball State have hit the over on three occasions this season. This season, the Cardinals have been the underdog five times and won three of those games. The Cardinals have played as an underdog of +323 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Toledo vs. Ball State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Toledo

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.5 55.7 55.4
Implied Total AVG 33.9 35.0 33.2
ATS Record 4-4-0 3-0-0 1-4-0
Over/Under Record 5-3-0 2-1-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-2 3-0 2-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Cardinals

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.6 53.7 64.6
Implied Total AVG 35.1 31.4 39.8
ATS Record 4-5-0 2-3-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 3-6-0 2-3-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-2 1-1 2-1

Players to Watch

Toledo

  • Dyontae Johnson has suited up for nine games, collecting 1.0 sack to go with 4.0 TFL and 53 tackles for the Rockets.
  • As part of the Rockets’ defensive unit, Dallas Gant has registered 4.0 TFL and 56 tackles in nine games.
  • With 27 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in nine games, Jamal Hines has been a significant part of the Rockets’ defense in 2022.
  • The Rockets’ defensive unit has been helped by the play of Desjuan Johnson, who has played nine games, compiling 3.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 30 tackles.

Cardinals

  • On defense, Cole Pearce has helped set the tone with one interception to go with 55 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one pass defended in nine games.
  • On defense, Jaquan Amos has helped lead the way with 52 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one interception in nine games.
  • In nine games for the Cardinals, Clayton Coll has registered 47 tackles and 1.5 sacks.
  • Jordan Riley-Scott has collected 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and 45 tackles in nine games for the Cardinals.

Toledo vs. Ball State Predictions and Pick

Toledo vs. Ball State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Rockets (-10.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (50)

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How to Bet on Toledo vs. Ball State

You can bet on Toledo vs. Ball State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Toledo vs. Ball State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Toledo, and we project that Toledo will cover the spread (Toledo -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 50 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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