Texas vs. Texas Tech Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

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The No. 22 Texas Longhorns (2-1) have a Big 12 matchup against the Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-1).

Texas vs. Texas Tech Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with bookmakers listing Texas as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Texas has -280 odds to pick up the win, while Texas Tech is listed at +225 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 61 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Texas vs. Texas Tech Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Lubbock, Texas
  • Stadium: Jones AT&T Stadium

Betting Preview


On offense, Texas ranks 80th in the FBS with 404.3 yards per game. Meanwhile, its defense ranks 54th in total defense (347.0 yards allowed per contest). Texas ranks 41st in scoring offense (37.3 points per game) and 31st in scoring defense (16.7 points allowed per game) this season. Texas is totaling 234.0 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 84th in the FBS. The defense ranks 68th, surrendering 216.3 passing yards per game. Texas is compiling 170.3 rushing yards per game on offense (62nd in the FBS), and ranks 60th on defense with 130.7 rushing yards allowed per game. Texas ranks 102nd in third-down efficiency (33.3%) on offense and 102nd in third-down percentage allowed (42.6%) on defense this season. Texas owns the 45th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +1, forcing two turnovers (111th in the FBS) while turning it over one time (sixth in the FBS).

Texas Tech

In terms of total yards, Texas Tech ranks 33rd in the FBS (475.3 total yards per game) and 28th defensively (294.0 total yards allowed per game). Texas Tech ranks 46th in the FBS with 36.7 points per contest on offense, and it ranks 55th with 22.3 points surrendered per contest on defense. Texas Tech’s passing attack has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks fourth-best in the FBS with 374.0 passing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is ceding 211.0 passing yards per game, which ranks 64th. Texas Tech ranks 18th-worst in rushing yards per game on offense (101.3), but at least it has been playing well on the other side of the ball, ranking 17th-best in rushing yards surrendered per contest (83.0). Texas Tech’s offense has not been getting things done on third down, ranking 24th-worst in the FBS with a 32.5% third-down conversion percentage. It has been better on the defensive side of the ball, giving up a 30.0% third-down rate (32nd-ranked). At -5, Texas Tech has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with three forced turnovers (93rd in the FBS) and eight turnovers committed (115th in the FBS).

Texas vs. Texas Tech Betting Analysis

Texas Betting Insights

Texas has gone 3-0-0 against the spread this season. Texas is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 7-point favorites. This season, Texas games have hit the over once. The Longhorns have been the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Longhorns have played as a moneyline favorite of -280 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Red Raiders Betting Insights

Texas Tech has covered the spread one time this year (1-2-0). Texas Tech is winless against the spread when it is 7-point underdogs or more (0-1). Texas Tech games have gone over the total once this year. The Red Raiders lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Red Raiders are 0-0 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +225 or more on the moneyline.

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Texas vs. Texas Tech Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 62.2 62.2
Implied Total AVG 43.0 43.0
ATS Record 3-0-0 3-0-0 0-0-0
Over/Under Record 1-2-0 1-2-0 0-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-1 0-0

Red Raiders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.3 62.5 56.0
Implied Total AVG 38.7 41.5 33.0
ATS Record 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-1-1 1-0-1 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch


  • As part of the Longhorns’ defense, Jaylan Ford has delivered 22 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack in three games.
  • Anthony Cook has played three games, registering 15 tackles and 2.0 TFL for the Longhorns.
  • With seven tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in three games, Barryn Sorrell has been an important contributor to the Longhorns’ defense in 2022.
  • Ovie Oghoufo, as part of the Longhorns’ defense, has registered 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and 10 tackles in three games.

Red Raiders

  • In three games for the Red Raiders, Tyree Wilson has delivered 2.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 19 tackles.
  • On defense, Philip Blidi has helped lead the way with 10 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks in three games.
  • The Red Raiders’ Krishon Merriweather has recorded 16 tackles and 0.5 sacks in three games.
  • Dadrion Taylor has amassed 14 tackles in three games for the Red Raiders.

Texas vs. Texas Tech Predictions and Pick

Texas vs. Texas Tech betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Longhorns (-7)

    Pick OU:

    Under (61)

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How to Bet on Texas vs. Texas Tech

You can bet on Texas vs. Texas Tech at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas vs. Texas Tech picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Texas, and we project that Texas will cover the spread (Texas -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 61 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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