Texas vs. TCU Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The No. 18 Texas Longhorns (6-3) and No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs (9-0) will face each other in clash of Big 12 foes at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas.

Texas vs. TCU Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with oddsmakers listing Texas as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas has -288 odds to pick up the win, while TCU is listed at +229 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 65.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Texas vs. TCU Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Austin, Texas
  • Stadium: Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview

Texas

Texas ranks 30th in total offense (446.9 yards per game) and 74th in total defense (381.8 yards allowed per game) this season. On the offensive side of the ball, Texas has been a top-25 unit, ranking 23rd-best in the FBS by averaging 36.1 points per game. The Longhorns rank 37th on defense (21.8 points allowed per game). Texas is averaging 254.7 passing yards per game on offense (49th in the FBS), and ranks 104th on defense with 258.1 passing yards allowed per game. Texas is putting up 192.2 rushing yards per game offensively this year (36th in the FBS), and is giving up 123.7 rushing yards per game (33rd) on the defensive side of the ball. Texas ranks 55th in third-down efficiency (41.2%) on offense and 96th in third-down percentage allowed (41.8%) on defense this year. Texas has forced 10 total turnovers (97th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over nine times (18th in the FBS) for +1a turnover margin of +1, 61st-ranked in college football.

TCU

TCU’s defense ranks 89th in the FBS with 396.9 total yards allowed per game, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks fourth-best by piling up 508.7 total yards per contest. TCU’s offense has been excelling, compiling 43.1 points per contest (third-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 74th by giving up 26.9 points per game. TCU’s pass defense ranks 94th in the FBS with 251 passing yards surrendered per contest, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks 21st-best by posting 289 passing yards per game. TCU’s rushing attack has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 13th-best in the FBS with 219.7 rushing yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is ceding 145.9 rushing yards per game, which ranks 70th. From an offensive angle, TCU is putting up a 44.1% third-down conversion rate (35th-ranked). It ranks 63rd in the FBS on defense (38% third-down rate allowed). TCU has generated 13 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over six times, resulting in a +7 turnover margin, which ranks 17th-best in the FBS.

Texas vs. TCU Betting Analysis

Texas Betting Insights

Texas is 6-3-0 against the spread this season. In games it is played as 7-point favorites or more, Texas has an ATS record of 4-2. This season, four Texas games have gone over the point total. The Longhorns have won 71.4% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (5-2). The Longhorns have played four times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -288 or shorter, and won in each game.

Horned Frogs Betting Insights

TCU is 7-1-1 against the spread this season. Games involving TCU have hit the over on six occasions this year. The Horned Frogs won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Horned Frogs have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +229.

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Texas vs. TCU Against The Spread & Betting Records

Texas

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.4 59.3 59.6
Implied Total AVG 36.4 39.2 33.0
ATS Record 6-3-0 4-1-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-5-0 1-4-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-2 3-0 2-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-1 0-0

Horned Frogs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 66.7 65.9 67.6
Implied Total AVG 38.7 39.2 38.0
ATS Record 7-1-1 4-1-0 3-0-1
Over/Under Record 6-3-0 4-1-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-0 4-0 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Texas

  • With two sacks to go with seven TFL, 75 tackles, and two interceptions in nine games, Jaylan Ford has been a significant piece of the Longhorns’ defense in 2022.
  • The Longhorns’ defensive unit has been aided by the play of Jahdae Barron, who has played nine games and compiled five TFL, 49 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • As part of the Longhorns’ defensive unit, DeMarvion Overshown has recorded 52 tackles, four TFL, and 2.5 sacks in nine games.
  • A key contributor to the Longhorns’ defensive unit, Anthony Cook has 45 tackles, two TFL, and 0.5 sacks in nine games.

Horned Frogs

  • Jamoi Hodge has been providing a big boost on defense, compiling one interception to go with 60 tackles, eight TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one pass defended for the Horned Frogs.
  • The Horned Frogs’ Dee Winters has recorded 6.5 sacks to go with eight TFL and 43 tackles in nine games.
  • Mark Perry has two TFL and 50 tackles in nine games.
  • The Horned Frogs’ Johnny Hodges has totaled 48 tackles, two TFL, and 1.5 sacks in nine games.

Texas vs. TCU Predictions and Pick

Texas vs. TCU betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Horned Frogs (+7)

    Pick OU:

    Under (65.5)

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How to Bet on Texas vs. TCU

You can bet on Texas vs. TCU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas vs. TCU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Texas, and we expect that TCU will cover the spread (Texas -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 65.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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