Texas vs. Baylor Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 25, 2022

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Big 12 foes will clash when the No. 24 Texas Longhorns (7-4) meet the Baylor Bears (6-5).

Texas vs. Baylor Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with bookmakers listing Texas as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas has -339 odds to pick up the win, while Baylor is listed at +259 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 55.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Texas vs. Baylor Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, November 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Austin, Texas
  • Stadium: Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview

Texas

Texas is putting up 432.7 yards per game on offense (38th in the FBS), and rank 58th on defense, yielding 369.5 yards allowed per game. Texas sports the 30th-ranked defense this year (20.6 points allowed per game), and has been better on offense, ranking 21st-best with 35.5 points per game. Offensively, Texas ranks 64th in the FBS with 234.1 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 93rd in passing yards allowed per contest (244.5). Texas is averaging 198.6 rushing yards per game on offense (27th in the FBS), and ranks 31st on the other side of the ball with 125.1 rushing yards allowed per game. Texas is putting up a 38.3% third-down percentage on offense, which ranks them 81st in the FBS. Defensively, the defense ranks 87th, surrendering a 41.1% third-down conversion rate. With 12 forced turnovers (101st in the FBS) against 10 turnovers committed (12th in the FBS), Texas’ +2+2 turnover margin ranks 51st in college football.

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Baylor

In terms of total offense, Baylor ranks 29th in the FBS (442.7 total yards per game) and 55th on the other side of the ball (367.5 total yards allowed per game). Baylor ranks 28th in the FBS with 34.2 points per game on offense, and it ranks 59th with 25.5 points surrendered per contest on defense. From an offensive standpoint, Baylor is putting up 240.2 passing yards per game (57th-ranked). It ranks 85th in the FBS defensively (236.3 passing yards surrendered per game). Baylor’s run offense has been consistently moving the chains, piling up 202.5 rushing yards per game (21st-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 38th by allowing 131.2 rushing yards per game. Baylor has been struggling on third down, ranking 11th-worst with a 45.4% third-down conversion rate allowed per game. It has been better on offense, posting a 44.7% third-down rate (32nd-ranked). Baylor has registered 17 forced turnovers (46th in the FBS) and committed 16 turnovers (75th in the FBS) this season for a +1 turnover margin that ranks 64th in the FBS.

Texas vs. Baylor Betting Analysis

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Texas Betting Insights

Texas has covered the spread seven times over 11 games with a set spread. In games this season when favored by 8.5 points or more, Texas are 3-1 against the spread. Games involving Texas have hit the over five times this season. The Longhorns have won 66.7% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-3). The Longhorns have played three times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -339 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.

Bears Betting Insights

Baylor has covered the spread seven times this season (7-4-0). This year, seven Baylor games have gone over the point total. The Bears have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won three of those games. The Bears have played as an underdog of +259 or more once this season and won that game.

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Texas vs. Baylor Against The Spread & Betting Records

Texas

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.4 60.3 60.4
Implied Total AVG 36.5 38.8 33.6
ATS Record 7-4-0 4-2-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-6-0 1-5-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-3 3-1 3-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-1 0-0

Bears

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.5 53.7 55.4
Implied Total AVG 31.9 34.3 29.0
ATS Record 7-4-0 4-2-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-4-0 3-3-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-3 2-2 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-2 0-1 3-1

Players to Watch

Texas

  • The Longhorns’ defense has been aided by Jaylan Ford, who has played 11 games and registered 89 tackles, 7.0 TFL, two sacks, and three interceptions.
  • Jahdae Barron has helped lead the Longhorns’ defense with 8.0 TFL, 61 tackles, and two interceptions in 11 games.
  • The Longhorns’ defense has been helped by the contributions of DeMarvion Overshown, who has suited up for 11 games and delivered 67 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and three sacks.
  • Barryn Sorrell, as part of the Longhorns’ defense, has delivered 5.5 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL and 34 tackles in 11 games.

Bears

  • In 11 games for the Bears, Al Walcott has posted 1.0 sack to go with 6.0 TFL, 54 tackles, and one interception.
  • Dillon Doyle has posted 63 tackles and two interceptions in 11 games for the Bears.
  • Devin Lemear has been causing chaos on defense, compiling 1.0 TFL, 42 tackles, and two interceptions for the Bears.
  • Garmon Randolph has posted 4.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 29 tackles in 11 games for the Bears.

Texas vs. Baylor Predictions and Pick

Texas vs. Baylor betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Longhorns (-8.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (55.5)

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How to Bet on Texas vs. Baylor

You can bet on Texas vs. Baylor at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas vs. Baylor picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Texas, and we expect that Texas will cover the spread (Texas -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 55.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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