UL Monroe vs. Texas State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The UL Monroe Warhawks (2-6) and Texas State Bobcats (3-5) will face each other in clash of Sun Belt rivals at JPS Field at Malone Stadium in Monroe, Georgia.

UL Monroe vs. Texas State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing UL Monroe as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UL Monroe has -135 odds to pick up the win, while Texas State is listed at +112 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 52.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch UL Monroe vs. Texas State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN3
  • Location: Monroe, Georgia
  • Stadium: JPS Field at Malone Stadium

Betting Preview

UL Monroe

Despite having a bottom-25 defense that ranks 22nd-worst in the FBS (429.6 yards allowed per game), UL Monroe has had more success on offense, ranking 103rd in the FBS offensively totaling 346.5 yards per game. With 37.6 points allowed per game on defense, which ranks fifth-worst in the FBS, UL Monroe has been forced to rely on their 105th-ranked offense (22.5 points per contest) to keep them competitive. UL Monroe is totaling 207.4 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 100th in the FBS. The defense ranks 85th, giving up 243.1 passing yards per game. With 186.5 rushing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 22nd-worst in the FBS, UL Monroe has had to ask their 79th-ranked running game (139.1 rushing yards per contest) to keep them competitive. UL Monroe is putting up a 37.6% third-down percentage on offense (85th in the FBS), and ranks 89th defensively with a 41.7% third-down percentage allowed. UL Monroe has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -3, forcing six turnovers (123rd in the FBS) while turning it over nine times (28th in the FBS).

Texas State

Texas State ranks 18th-worst in total yards per game (324.0), but it has been more productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 46th in the FBS with 356.3 total yards allowed per contest. Texas State has been struggling on offense, ranking 24th-worst in the FBS with 21.6 points per game. It has been more productive on the other side of the ball, surrendering 24.1 points per contest (53rd-ranked). With 242.5 passing yards per game on offense, Texas State ranks 64th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 67th, giving up 230.5 passing yards per game. Texas State ranks fifth-worst in rushing yards per game (81.5), but it has been more productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 40th in the FBS with 125.8 rushing yards surrendered per contest. From an offensive perspective, Texas State is posting a 35.8% third-down conversion rate (97th-ranked). It ranks 28th in the FBS on defense (33.3% third-down rate allowed). Texas State has recorded 15 forced turnovers (24th in the FBS) and committed 14 turnovers (91st in the FBS) this season for a +1 turnover margin that ranks 59th in the FBS.

UL Monroe vs. Texas State Betting Analysis

UL Monroe Betting Insights

UL Monroe has covered the spread four times in eight games with a set spread. UL Monroe has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites. This season, UL Monroe games have hit the over four times. The Warhawks have been the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Warhawks have played as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.

Bobcats Betting Insights

Texas State have compiled a 4-4-0 record against the spread this season. Texas State has a record of 2-3 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs. This year, three Texas State games have gone over the point total. The Bobcats have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won once. The Bobcats have a record of 1-2 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +112 on the moneyline.

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UL Monroe vs. Texas State Against The Spread & Betting Records

UL Monroe

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.4 55.8 58.3
Implied Total AVG 37.8 32.3 41.0
ATS Record 4-4-0 3-0-0 1-4-0
Over/Under Record 4-4-0 0-3-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 1-1 0-3

Bobcats

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.3 55.9 50.8
Implied Total AVG 35.0 35.5 34.5
ATS Record 4-4-0 3-1-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 3-5-0 1-3-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 1-1 0-3

Players to Watch

UL Monroe

  • Tristan Driggers has helped lead the Warhawks’ defense with 21 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and three interceptions in eight games.
  • Zack Woodard has helped lead the Warhawks’ defense with 2.0 sacks to go along with 5.0 TFL and 20 tackles in eight games.
  • With 14 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks in eight games, Caleb Thomas has been a key part of the Warhawks’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Quae Drake has been a big piece of the Warhawks’ defense in 2022, with 15 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks in eight games.

Bobcats

  • Levi Bell has been wreaking havoc on defense, delivering 30 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and five sacks for the Bobcats.
  • In eight games for the Bobcats, Sione Tupou has registered two interceptions to go with 25 tackles and two passes defended.
  • The Bobcats’ Jordan Revels has posted 21 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in eight games.
  • On defense, Nelson Mbanasor has contributed 13 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in eight games.

UL Monroe vs. Texas State Predictions and Pick

UL Monroe vs. Texas State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bobcats (+2.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (52.5)

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How to Bet on UL Monroe vs. Texas State

You can bet on UL Monroe vs. Texas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UL Monroe vs. Texas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is UL Monroe, and we project that Texas State will cover the spread (UL Monroe -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 52.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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