Texas State vs. Arkansas State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 19, 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetiPWBLzOtexas state bobcats vs arkansas state red wolves Betsperts Media & Technology

The Texas State Bobcats (3-7) and Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-7) will face each other in clash of Sun Belt foes at Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, Texas.

Texas State vs. Arkansas State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with sportsbooks listing Texas State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas State has -235 odds to pick up the win, while Arkansas State is listed at +190 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 50 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Texas State vs. Arkansas State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN3
  • Location: San Marcos, Texas
  • Stadium: Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium

Betting Preview

Texas State

While Texas State ranks 48th in total defense with 361.0 yards allowed per game, the team’s offensive unit has been a little worse, ranking 13th-worst (318.9 yards per game). Texas State is compiling 22.4 points per game on offense (102nd in the FBS), and ranks 69th on defense with 26.2 points allowed per game. Texas State is putting up 232.0 passing yards per game on offense (67th in the FBS), and ranks 90th on the other side of the ball with 243.1 passing yards allowed per game. Texas State sports the 24th-best run defense this season (117.9 rushing yards allowed per game), but ranks sixth-worst on the offensive side of the ball (86.9 rushing yards per game). Texas State ranks 97th in third-down efficiency (35.9%) on offense and 42nd in third-down conversion rate allowed (35.6%) on defense this season. Texas State ranks 37th in college football with a +4 turnover margin after forcing 19 turnovers (18th in the FBS) while committing 15 (74th in the FBS).

Arkansas State

Arkansas State’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit in total offense this season, registering 322.7 total yards per game, which ranks 16th-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 98th with 410.9 total yards ceded per contest. Arkansas State ranks 78th in points per game (26.8), but it has been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 23rd-worst in the FBS with 31.3 points ceded per contest. In terms of passing, Arkansas State ranks 75th in the FBS (226.1 passing yards per game) and 104th on the other side of the ball (257.2 passing yards allowed per game). Arkansas State’s running game has been sputtering, ranking 10th-worst in the FBS with 96.6 rushing yards per game. It has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 153.7 rushing yards per contest (79th-ranked). Arkansas State ranks 13th-worst in third-down conversion percentage (30.9%), but it has been better defensively, ranking 50th in the FBS with a 36.6% third-down rate allowed. With nine forced turnovers (120th in the FBS) and seven turnovers committed (fourth in the FBS) this season, Arkansas State ranks 51st in the FBS with a turnover margin of +2.

Texas State vs. Arkansas State Betting Analysis

Texas State Betting Insights

Texas State has covered the spread in a game five times this season (5-5-0). Texas State has a perfect 2-0 ATS record when playing as at least 6-point favorites. Texas State games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season. The Bobcats have been the moneyline favorite three total times this season. They’ve gone 2-1 in those games. The Bobcats have played as a moneyline favorite of -235 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Red Wolves Betting Insights

Arkansas State has gone 6-4-0 against the spread this season. Arkansas State has a record of 2-3 ATS when playing as at least 6-point underdogs. Arkansas State’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this year. The Red Wolves have been the underdog in six games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. The Red Wolves have not won as an underdog of +190 or more on the moneyline this season in five such games.

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Texas State vs. Arkansas State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Texas State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.5 55.9 50.3
Implied Total AVG 33.9 35.5 32.8
ATS Record 5-5-0 3-1-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 5-5-0 1-3-0 4-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-6 1-1 0-5

Red Wolves

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.6 54.7 58.4
Implied Total AVG 35.7 34.6 36.8
ATS Record 6-4-0 2-3-0 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 6-4-0 4-1-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 3-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-6 0-2 0-4

Players to Watch

Texas State

  • Sione Tupou has helped spur the Bobcats’ defense with 44 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions in 10 games.
  • Levi Bell has played 10 games, totaling 38 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and five sacks for the Bobcats.
  • With 35 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in 10 games, Jordan Revels has been a significant contributor to the Bobcats’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Bobcats’ defense has been aided by Nelson Mbanasor, who has suited up for 10 games, collecting 5.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 19 tackles.

Red Wolves

  • As a key defensive contributor, the Red Wolves’ Jaden Harris has recorded 52 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 10 games.
  • In 10 games for the Red Wolves, Kivon Bennett has delivered 31 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks.
  • Jordan Carmouche has been causing chaos on defense, posting 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and 47 tackles for the Red Wolves.
  • On defense, Trevian Thomas has racked up 37 tackles and one interception in 10 games.

Texas State vs. Arkansas State Predictions and Pick

Texas State vs. Arkansas State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Red Wolves (+6)

    Pick OU:

    Over (50)

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How to Bet on Texas State vs. Arkansas State

You can bet on Texas State vs. Arkansas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas State vs. Arkansas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Texas State, and we predict that Arkansas State will cover the spread (Texas State -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 50 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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