Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 26, 2022

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The No. 9 Tennessee Volunteers (9-2) face an SEC matchup with the Vanderbilt Commodores (5-6).

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 14 points, with sportsbooks listing Tennessee as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -551 odds to pick up the win, while Vanderbilt is listed at +386 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 63.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Vanderbilt Stadium

Betting Preview

Tennessee

Tennessee ranks 99th in total defense this season (412 yards allowed per game), but has been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the FBS with 540.4 total yards per game. Offensively, Tennessee has been a top-25 unit, ranking best in the FBS by compiling 46.5 points per game. The Volunteers rank 60th on defense (25.6 points allowed per game). Tennessee sports the second-best offense this season in terms of passing yards (348.8 passing yards per game), but ranks third-worst on defense (303 passing yards allowed per game). Defensively, Tennessee has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 18th-best by giving up just 109 per game. The Volunteers rank 35th on offense (191.5 rushing yards per game). Tennessee is putting up a 45.2% third-down percentage on offense this year (28th in the FBS), and is giving up a 35.9% third-down conversion rate (46th) on defense. With 19 forced turnovers (29th in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (13th in the FBS), Tennessee’s +8 turnover margin is the 12th-best in college football.

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Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt has sputtering on defense, ranking seventh-worst with 456.6 total yards allowed per game. It has been more productive offensively, putting up 355.7 total yards per contest (97th-ranked). Vanderbilt has been sputtering defensively, ranking 14th-worst with 34.2 points surrendered per game. It has been more productive on the other side of the ball, compiling 26.8 points per contest (78th-ranked). Vanderbilt has been unproductive on both sides of the ball in terms of passing this season, ranking 23rd-worst in passing yards (194.6 per game) and second-worst in passing yards allowed (303.2 per game). In terms of rushing, Vanderbilt ranks 58th in the FBS on offense (161.1 rushing yards per game) and 75th on the other side of the ball (153.5 rushing yards allowed per contest). With a 39% third-down conversion percentage on offense, Vanderbilt ranks 70th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 96th, allowing a 41.7% third-down rate. With 16 forced turnovers (62nd in the FBS) and 15 turnovers committed (57th in the FBS) this season, Vanderbilt ranks 66th in the FBS with a turnover margin of +1.

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Betting Analysis

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Tennessee Betting Insights

Tennessee has covered the spread in a game eight times this season (8-3-0). In games this season when favored by 14 points or more, Tennessee has gone 4-1 against the spread. Games involving Tennessee have hit the over seven times this season. The Volunteers have won 83.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (5-1). The Volunteers have played as a moneyline favorite of -551 or shorter in just two games this season, and they split 1-1.

Commodores Betting Insights

Vanderbilt has covered the spread five times this year (5-6-0). Vanderbilt has a record of 2-3 ATS when playing as at least 14-point underdogs. Vanderbilt’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this year. This season, the Commodores have been the underdog eight times and won three of those games. The Commodores are 2-4 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +386 or more on the moneyline.

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Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Against The Spread & Betting Records

Tennessee

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 64.7 64.7 64.6
Implied Total AVG 42.1 44.9 37.3
ATS Record 8-3-0 6-1-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-4-0 6-1-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-1 3-0 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1

Commodores

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.3 56.5 54.3
Implied Total AVG 36.4 35.2 37.3
ATS Record 5-6-0 1-4-0 4-2-0
Over/Under Record 6-5-0 4-1-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-5 1-3 2-2

Players to Watch

Tennessee

  • Trevon Flowers has helped lead the Volunteers’ defense with 56 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 11 games.
  • With 56 tackles, seven TFL, and one sack in 11 games, Aaron Beasley has been a big contributor to the Volunteers’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • With 29 tackles, seven TFL, and five sacks in 11 games, Byron Young has been an important contributor to the Volunteers’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Volunteers’ defense has been aided by Jeremy Banks, who has suited up for 11 games, totaling four TFL and 45 tackles.

Commodores

  • As a playmaker on defense, the Commodores’ Anfernee Orji has amassed 67 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and one interception in 11 games.
  • On defense, Jaylen Mahoney has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 43 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and one interception in 11 games.
  • In 11 games for the Commodores, CJ Taylor has recorded 32 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one interception.
  • De’Rickey Wright has delivered one TFL, 27 tackles, and three interceptions in 11 games for the Commodores.

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Predictions and Pick

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Volunteers (-14)

    Pick OU:

    Over (63.5)

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How to Bet on Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Tennessee, and we expect that Tennessee will cover the spread (Tennessee -14). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 63.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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