Tennessee vs. Missouri Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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SEC opponents will do battle when the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (8-1) face the Missouri Tigers (4-5) at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee.

Tennessee vs. Missouri Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 19.5 points, with bookmakers listing Tennessee as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -1462 odds to pick up the win, while Missouri is listed at +809 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 56.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Tennessee vs. Missouri Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Neyland Stadium

Betting Preview

Tennessee

On the offensive side of the ball, Tennessee has been a top-25 unit, ranking best in the FBS by compiling 523.7 yards per game. The defense ranks 84th (393.0 yards allowed per game). Tennessee ranks 36th in scoring defense this year (21.7 points allowed per game), but has been thriving on offense, ranking second-best in the FBS with 45.3 points per game. Tennessee has struggled on defense against the pass, ranking fifth-worst in the FBS (295.9 passing yards allowed per game) this season. However, the Volunteers rank second-best on the offensive side of the ball, totaling 335.8 passing yards per game. On the defensive side of the ball, Tennessee has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking ninth-best by surrendering just 97.1 per game. The Volunteers rank 38th on offense (187.9 rushing yards per game). Tennessee is putting up a 46.3% third-down percentage on offense, which ranks them 27th in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, the defense ranks 32nd, allowing a 33.6% third-down conversion rate. Tennessee has forced 18 total turnovers (17th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 10 times (25th in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +8, the 10th-best in college football.

Missouri

Missouri ranks 100th in the FBS with 350.0 total yards per game, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks 14th-best by surrendering just 304.1 total yards per game. Missouri is putting up 23.1 points per game on offense this season (100th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 21.4 points per game (32nd-ranked) on defense. From an offensive perspective, Missouri is generating 202.1 passing yards per contest (102nd-ranked). It ranks 26th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (192.2 passing yards given up per game). Missouri has been keeping opposing offenses in check on run defense, surrendering just 111.9 rushing yards per contest (19th-best). On offense, it ranks 71st in the FBS by putting up 147.9 rushing yards per game. Missouri ranks 80th in the FBS with a 38.0% third-down conversion percentage, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 16th-best by surrendering a 31.3% third-down rate. At -4, Missouri has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 13 forced turnovers (60th in the FBS) and 17 turnovers committed (106th in the FBS).

Tennessee vs. Missouri Betting Analysis

Tennessee Betting Insights

Tennessee is 7-2-0 against the spread this season. In games they were favored in by 19.5 points or more so far this season, the Tennessee went 3-0 against the spread. Tennessee games have gone over the total five times this season. The Volunteers have been favored on the moneyline a total of four times this season, and they’ve won each of those games. The Volunteers have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -1462 or shorter.

Tigers Betting Insights

Missouri have put together a 5-4-0 record against the spread this season. In games it has played as 19.5-point underdogs or more, Missouri has a perfect ATS record of 1-0. Games involving Missouri has hit the over once this season. This season, the Tigers have been the underdog five times and won one of those games. The Tigers have a record of 0-1 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +809 on the moneyline.

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Tennessee vs. Missouri Against The Spread & Betting Records

Tennessee

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 65.2 65.9 63.8
Implied Total AVG 42.1 45.8 34.7
ATS Record 7-2-0 5-1-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-4-0 5-1-0 0-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 2-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1

Tigers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.0 52.7 51.1
Implied Total AVG 33.3 36.4 29.5
ATS Record 5-4-0 2-3-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-8-0 1-4-0 0-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 0-1 1-3

Players to Watch

Tennessee

  • As part of the Volunteers’ defensive unit, Trevon Flowers has delivered 48 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in nine games.
  • With 41 tackles and 4.0 TFL in nine games, Jeremy Banks has been an important contributor to the Volunteers’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Aaron Beasley has suited up for nine games, amassing 48 tackles and 4.0 TFL for the Volunteers.
  • With 5.0 sacks to go along with 4.0 TFL and 20 tackles, Byron Young has helped carry the Volunteers’ defense over nine games.

Tigers

  • On defense, DJ Coleman has helped lead the way with 21 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and four sacks in nine games.
  • Ty’Ron Hopper has been providing a big boost on defense, posting one interception to go with 11 tackles, 7.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended for the Tigers.
  • Isaiah McGuire has 4.0 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL and 19 tackles in nine games.
  • Jaylon Carlies has delivered 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL, 20 tackles, and two interceptions in nine games for the Tigers.

Tennessee vs. Missouri Predictions and Pick

Tennessee vs. Missouri betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Volunteers (-19.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (56.5)

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How to Bet on Tennessee vs. Missouri

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Missouri at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Missouri picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Tennessee, and we predict that Tennessee will cover the spread (Tennessee -19.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 56.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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