Tennessee vs. Kentucky Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The No. 3 Tennessee Volunteers (7-0) and No. 19 Kentucky Wildcats (5-2) will face each other in clash of SEC foes at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 11.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Tennessee as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -455 odds to pick up the win, while Kentucky is listed at +336 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 62 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Tennessee vs. Kentucky Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Neyland Stadium

Betting Preview

Tennessee

Tennessee sports the 103rd-ranked defense this year (420.7 yards allowed per game), and has been better on offense, ranking best with a tally of 571.7 yards per game. On offense, Tennessee has been a top-25 unit, ranking best in the FBS by averaging 50.1 points per game. The Volunteers rank 49th on defense (23.1 points allowed per game). While Tennessee ranks second-worst in the FBS in passing defense with 329.7 passing yards allowed per game, it’s been a different story on offense, as the offensive unit ranks second-best in the FBS (368.9 passing yards per game). Tennessee has been a handful for opposing teams in the running game, ranking top-25 in both rushing offense (24th-best with 202.9 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (ninth-best with 91 rushing yards allowed per game) this year. Tennessee sports the 28th-ranked defense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (33% third-down percentage allowed), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 13th-best with a 51.5% third-down percentage. With 13 forced turnovers (31st in the FBS) against eight turnovers committed (29th in the FBS), Tennessee (+5) owns the 27th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

Kentucky

Kentucky has been excelling on defense, surrendering only 295.4 total yards per game (14th-best). Offensively, it ranks 82nd by putting up 373.7 total yards per game. Kentucky’s defense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks ninth-best in the FBS with 16.4 points surrendered per game. In terms of offense, it is compiling 26.4 points per game, which ranks 84th. Kentucky ranks 52nd in the FBS with 260.3 passing yards per contest, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks 14th-best by allowing only 178.3 passing yards per contest. Kentucky’s rushing offense has been bottom-25 this season, putting up 113.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 23rd-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 28th with 117.1 rushing yards surrendered per contest. Kentucky’s defense has been keeping opposing offenses in check on third down, giving up a 30.9% third-down conversion rate (20th-best). Offensively, it ranks 47th in the FBS with a 42.7% third-down rate. After forcing eight turnovers (98th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 12 times (85th in the FBS) this season, Kentucky sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -4.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Betting Analysis

Tennessee Betting Insights

Tennessee has covered the spread six times over seven games with a set spread. Tennessee has a perfect 3-0 ATS record when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites. This season, five Tennessee games have gone over the point total. The Volunteers have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of three times this season, and they’ve won all of those games. The Volunteers have not yet played a game with moneyline odds of -455 or shorter.

Wildcats Betting Insights

Kentucky has covered the spread in a matchup five times this season (5-2-0). Kentucky games have gone over the total once this season. The Wildcats have entered the game as underdogs three times this season and won twice. The Wildcats have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +336 odds on them winning this game.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Against The Spread & Betting Records

Tennessee

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 65.6 66.6 63.3
Implied Total AVG 43.6 47.6 33.5
ATS Record 6-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 5-2-0 5-0-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 1-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0

Wildcats

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.4 50.6 53.5
Implied Total AVG 32.4 33.4 30.0
ATS Record 5-2-0 3-2-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 1-6-0 1-4-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 3-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 1-0 1-1

Players to Watch

Tennessee

  • With one sack to go with one TFL, 38 tackles, and two interceptions in seven games, Trevon Flowers has been a significant contributor to the Volunteers’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • With two interceptions to go with 26 tackles, two TFL, and two passes defended in seven games, Kamal Hadden has been a significant contributor to the Volunteers’ defense in 2022.
  • Aaron Beasley has helped spur the Volunteers’ defense with 39 tackles and two TFL in seven games.
  • Jeremy Banks, as part of the Volunteers’ defense, has amassed two TFL and 29 tackles in seven games.

Wildcats

  • DeAndre Square has been doing his part on defense, delivering one interception to go with 40 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and one pass defended for the Wildcats.
  • Jordan Wright has delivered 17 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and one interception in seven games for the Wildcats.
  • Carrington Valentine has one sack to go with one TFL, 19 tackles, and one interception in seven games.
  • The Wildcats’ J.J. Weaver has registered 18 tackles, one TFL, and one sack in seven games.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Predictions and Pick

Tennessee vs. Kentucky betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Volunteers (-11.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (62)

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How to Bet on Tennessee vs. Kentucky

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Kentucky at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Kentucky picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Tennessee, and we project that Tennessee will cover the spread (Tennessee -11.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 62 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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