Tennessee vs. Florida Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

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The No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (3-0) have an SEC matchup with the No. 20 Florida Gators (2-1).

Tennessee vs. Florida Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 11 points, with bookmakers listing Tennessee as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Tennessee has -390 odds to pick up the win, while Florida is listed at +299 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 62.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Tennessee vs. Florida Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Neyland Stadium

Betting Preview


Tennessee has the 52nd-ranked defense this year (344.7 yards allowed per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best with a tally of 553.7 yards per game. Tennessee has been shining on both offense and defense, ranking fourth-best in scoring offense (52.0 points per game) and 23rd-best in scoring defense (14.3 points allowed per game). Tennessee ranks 100th in pass defense this season (261.3 passing yards allowed per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the FBS with 371.3 passing yards per game. Tennessee owns the 58th-ranked offense this year in terms of rushing yards (182.3 per game), and has been better defensively, ranking 18th-best with just 83.3 rushing yards allowed per game. On defense, Tennessee has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking eighth-best by giving up a 22.2% third-down conversion rate. The team’s offense ranks 63rd (40.5% third-down conversion rate). Tennessee has the 22nd-best turnover margin in college football at +3, forcing six turnovers (25th in the FBS) while turning it over three times (33rd in the FBS).


In terms of total yards, Florida ranks 96th in the FBS (353.0 total yards per game) and 78th on defense (373.3 total yards allowed per contest). In terms of points scored Florida ranks 96th in the FBS (25.3 points per game), and it is 77th on defense (26.7 points allowed per contest). Florida ranks 11th-worst in passing yards per game (141.0), but it has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 28th in the FBS with 178.0 passing yards surrendered per contest. Florida has been struggling against the run, ranking 20th-worst with 195.3 rushing yards allowed per game. It has been more productive on offense, generating 212.0 rushing yards per contest (30th-ranked). Florida’s defense has been bottom-25 on third down this season, ceding a 48.8% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 15th-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 78th with a 48.8% third-down rate. With five forced turnovers (48th in the FBS) and five turnovers committed (72nd in the FBS) this season, Florida ranks 100th in the FBS with a turnover margin of 0.

Tennessee vs. Florida Betting Analysis

Tennessee Betting Insights

Tennessee has covered the spread in each of its three games with a set spread. Tennessee is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 11-point favorites. Games involving the Tennessee have hit the over twice this season. The Volunteers have been listed as the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Volunteers have yet to play as a moneyline favorite of -390 or shorter.

Gators Betting Insights

Florida has gone 1-2-0 against the spread this season. Florida games have gone over the total twice this year. The Gators won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Gators have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +299.

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Tennessee vs. Florida Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 65.5 67.0 62.5
Implied Total AVG 47.7 54.5 34.0
ATS Record 3-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 0-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.2 54.2
Implied Total AVG 32.3 32.3
ATS Record 1-2-0 1-2-0 0-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 2-1-0 0-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0

Players to Watch


  • With 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL, 14 tackles, and one interception in three games, Trevon Flowers has been a significant contributor to the Volunteers’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Aaron Beasley has played three games, recording 23 tackles and 1.0 TFL for the Volunteers.
  • The Volunteers’ defense has been helped by the contributions of Kamal Hadden, who has played three games and posted one interception to go along with 12 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended.
  • Jeremy Banks, as part of the Volunteers’ defensive unit, has amassed 1.0 TFL and 14 tackles in three games.


  • On defense, Trey Dean III has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 19 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks in three games.
  • Rashad Torrence has been providing a big boost on defense, amassing 19 tackles for the Gators.
  • Amari Burney has collected 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL, nine tackles, and one interception in three games for the Gators.
  • On defense, Gervon Dexter has supplied 11 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and one interception in three games.

Tennessee vs. Florida Predictions and Pick

Tennessee vs. Florida betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Volunteers (-11)

    Pick OU:

    Under (62.5)

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How to Bet on Tennessee vs. Florida

You can bet on Tennessee vs. Florida at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tennessee vs. Florida picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Tennessee, and we predict that Tennessee will cover the spread (Tennessee -11). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 62.5 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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