TCU vs. Texas Tech Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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Big 12 foes will clash when the No. 7 TCU Horned Frogs (8-0) face the Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-4).

TCU vs. Texas Tech Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with sportsbooks listing TCU as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, TCU has -328 odds to pick up the win, while Texas Tech is listed at +256 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 69 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch TCU vs. Texas Tech Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium

Betting Preview

TCU

On offense, TCU has been a top-25 unit, ranking fourth-best in the FBS by averaging 518.6 yards per game. The defense ranks 89th (402.5 yards allowed per game). Offensively, TCU has been a top-25 unit, ranking third-best in the FBS by compiling 44.3 points per game. The Horned Frogs rank 76th on defense (27.3 points allowed per game). TCU has the 106th-ranked defense this season in terms of passing yards (262.0 allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 16th-best with 300.8 passing yards per game. On offense, TCU has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 15th-best in the FBS by averaging 217.9 per game. The Horned Frogs rank 64th on defense (140.5 rushing yards allowed per game). TCU ranks 32nd in third-down efficiency (45.6%) on offense and 78th in third-down percentage allowed (40.5%) on defense this season. With 12 forced turnovers (63rd in the FBS) against six turnovers committed (sixth in the FBS), TCU’s +6 turnover margin is the 19th-best in college football.

Texas Tech

Texas Tech’s defense ranks 61st in the FBS with 365.6 total yards surrendered per game, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks 19th-best by racking up 476.0 total yards per contest. Texas Tech is accumulating 33.9 points per game on offense this season (35th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 29.3 points per contest (89th-ranked) on defense. Texas Tech’s pass offense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks fourth-best in the FBS with 338.1 passing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is ceding 217.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 51st. From an offensive angle, Texas Tech is generating 137.9 rushing yards per game (82nd-ranked). It ranks 72nd in the FBS defensively (147.8 rushing yards surrendered per game). In terms of third-down efficiency, Texas Tech ranks 80th in the FBS (38.2% third-down conversion percentage) and 58th on defense (37.1% third-down rate allowed). At -7, Texas Tech owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 11 forced turnovers (74th in the FBS) and 18 turnovers committed (121st in the FBS).

TCU vs. Texas Tech Betting Analysis

TCU Betting Insights

TCU has covered the spread in a matchup six times this season (6-1-1). TCU has a perfect 2-0 ATS record when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites. Games involving TCU have hit the over six times this season. The Horned Frogs have won all seven of the games they have been the moneyline favorite this season. The Horned Frogs have played as a moneyline favorite of -328 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Red Raiders Betting Insights

Texas Tech have put together a 4-4-0 record against the spread this season. Texas Tech is 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 8.5-point underdogs. This year, five Texas Tech games have gone over the point total. This season, the Red Raiders have won one out of the four games in which they’ve been the underdog. The Red Raiders have entered three games this season as the underdog by +256 or more and are 0-1 in those contests.

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TCU vs. Texas Tech Against The Spread & Betting Records

TCU

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 66.4 65.1 67.6
Implied Total AVG 38.6 39.3 38.0
ATS Record 6-1-1 3-1-0 3-0-1
Over/Under Record 6-2-0 4-0-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-0 3-0 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0

Red Raiders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 61.1 62.2 59.3
Implied Total AVG 35.8 36.4 34.7
ATS Record 4-4-0 3-2-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-2-1 3-1-1 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-0 0-3

Players to Watch

TCU

  • Jamoi Hodge has helped spur the Horned Frogs’ defense with 54 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception in eight games.
  • The Horned Frogs’ defense has been helped by the play of Dee Winters, who has played eight games and totaled 4.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 39 tackles.
  • With 45 tackles and 2.0 TFL in eight games, Mark Perry has been a significant contributor to the Horned Frogs’ defense in 2022.
  • Abraham Camara, as part of the Horned Frogs’ defense, has collected 32 tackles and one interception in eight games.

Red Raiders

  • In eight games for the Red Raiders, Tyree Wilson has registered 5.0 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL and 45 tackles.
  • The Red Raiders’ Krishon Merriweather has totaled 1.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 56 tackles in eight games.
  • In eight games for the Red Raiders, Kosi Eldridge has amassed 40 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks.
  • The Red Raiders’ Dadrion Taylor has posted 33 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception in eight games.

TCU vs. Texas Tech Predictions and Pick

TCU vs. Texas Tech betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Horned Frogs (-8.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (69)

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How to Bet on TCU vs. Texas Tech

You can bet on TCU vs. Texas Tech at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s TCU vs. Texas Tech picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is TCU, and we expect that TCU will cover the spread (TCU -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 69 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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