TCU vs. SMU Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

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The Iron Skillet is on the line when the TCU Horned Frogs (2-0) and the SMU Mustangs (2-1) meet.

TCU vs. SMU Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing TCU as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, TCU has -135 odds to pick up the win, while SMU is listed at +111 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 71 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch TCU vs. SMU Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: University Park, Texas
  • Stadium: Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Betting Preview

TCU

TCU racked up just 0.3 more points per game (28.7) than SMU gave up (28.4) last year. When TCU scored over 28.4 points last season, it went 2-5 against the spread and 5-2 overall. Last season SMU had a 4-2 record against the spread and a 6-1 record overall in games when it held opponents to less than 28.7 points. TCU racked up 430.1 yards per game last year, just 15.5 more than the 414.6 SMU gave up per contest. In games that TCU piled up more than 414.6 yards last season, the team was 2-5 against the spread and 5-2 overall. SMU had a 4-2 record ATS and a 5-1 record overall when holding its opponents to fewer than 430.1 yards last season.

SMU

SMU put up 38.4 points per game last year, 3.5 more than TCU allowed (34.9). SMU was 5-2 against the spread and 7-1 overall last year when the team notched over 34.9 points. Last season TCU had a 2-6 record against the spread and a 5-3 record overall in games when it held opponents to less than 38.4 points. SMU averaged 465.9 yards per game last year, just 4.1 more than the 461.8 TCU gave up per matchup. SMU was 5-1 against the spread and 7-0 overall when the team picked up over 461.8 yards last year. When TCU kept its opponents to less than 465.9 yards last season, it had a 1-5 record ATS and a 4-2 record overall.

TCU vs. SMU Betting Analysis

TCU Betting Insights

TCU recorded two wins against the spread last year. As a 2-point or greater favorite, TCU had one win ATS (1-5) last season. Last year, six of TCU’s 12 games hit the over. The Horned Frogs won 60% of the games last season when they were favored on the moneyline (3-2). The Horned Frogs had a 1-1 record last year (winning 50% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter.

Mustangs Betting Insights

SMU had five wins in 12 games against the spread last season. As a 2-point underdog or greater, SMU had one win ATS (1-1) last year. SMU had six of its 12 games hit the over last season. The Mustangs split the two games they played as underdogs last season. The Mustangs were 0-1 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +111 or more on the moneyline.

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Following Opt-In, you’ll be issued with one (1) single-use Odds Boost to use on ‘Point Total Over 0.5’ in the West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh game (located under ‘DK Specials’)

TCU vs. SMU Against The Spread & Betting Records

TCU

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.3 58.9 59.8
Implied Total AVG 35.8 36.7 34.4
ATS Record 2-10-0 1-6-0 1-4-0
Over/Under Record 6-5-1 2-4-1 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-2 2-2 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-5 1-1 0-4

Mustangs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 66.0 67.3 64.7
Implied Total AVG 39.3 42.5 36.2
ATS Record 5-6-1 4-1-1 1-5-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 3-3-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-3 4-1 2-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Last Season’s Leaders

TCU

  • Dee Winters compiled two interceptions to go with 60 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in 12 games last year.
  • In 12 games in 2021, Dylan Horton delivered 43 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and four sacks.
  • Ochaun Mathis delivered 37 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and four sacks in 12 games a season ago.
  • T.J. Carter compiled 54 tackles and one interception in 12 games.

Mustangs

  • Last year Delano Robinson totaled 67 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 12 games.
  • DeVere Levelston, who was on the field for 12 games, totaled 6.5 sacks to go with 9.0 TFL and 32 tackles.
  • Turner Coxe helped on defense with 30 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and five sacks in 12 games.
  • The contributions of Gary Wiley, who was on the field for 12 games, included 4.5 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL and 39 tackles.

TCU vs. SMU Predictions and Pick

TCU vs. SMU betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Mustangs (+2)

    Pick OU:

    Under (71)

DraftKings Double your money if there is a point scored in the West Virginia v Pitt Game (9/1) in Kansas
Double Your Money!
Why claim this offer

Following Opt-In, you’ll be issued with one (1) single-use Odds Boost to use on ‘Point Total Over 0.5’ in the West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh game (located under ‘DK Specials’)

How to Bet on TCU vs. SMU

You can bet on TCU vs. SMU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s TCU vs. SMU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is SMU, and we project that SMU will cover the spread (TCU -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 71 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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