TCU vs. Oklahoma State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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Big 12 foes will clash when the No. 13 TCU Horned Frogs (5-0) face the No. 8 Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-0).

TCU vs. Oklahoma State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing TCU as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, TCU has -191 odds to pick up the win, while Oklahoma State is listed at +156 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 68.5 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch TCU vs. Oklahoma State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium

Betting Preview


On the offensive side of the ball, TCU has been a top-25 unit, ranking third-best in the FBS by totaling 530.0 yards per game. The defense ranks 94th (402.8 yards allowed per game). TCU ranks 52nd in scoring defense this year (23.8 points allowed per game), but has been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the FBS with 46.4 points per game. TCU has struggled on defense against the pass, ranking 22nd-worst in the FBS (268.8 passing yards allowed per game) this season. However, the Horned Frogs rank 20th-best offensively, putting up 299.8 passing yards per game. Offensively, TCU has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 13th-best in the FBS by totaling 230.2 per game. The Horned Frogs rank 53rd on defense (134.0 rushing yards allowed per game). TCU sports the 79th-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (39.7% third-down percentage allowed), and has been better on offense, ranking 18th-best with a 49.2% third-down conversion rate. With seven forced turnovers (85th in the FBS) against three turnovers committed (fifth in the FBS), TCU’s +4 turnover margin is the 24th-best in college football.

Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State’s defense ranks 105th in the FBS with 422.8 total yards surrendered per contest, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks 21st-best by racking up 469.4 total yards per contest. Oklahoma State’s defense ranks 57th in the FBS with 24.8 points allowed per contest, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks third-best by accumulating 46.4 points per game. Oklahoma State ranks sixth-worst in passing yards allowed per game (304.0), but at least it has been surging on offense, ranking 17th-best in passing yards per game (310.8). Oklahoma State is putting up 158.6 rushing yards per game on offense this season (63rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 118.8 rushing yards per game (37th-ranked) on defense. Oklahoma State’s third-down defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks seventh-best in the FBS with a 27.5% third-down conversion rate allowed. In terms of offense, it is posting a 40.8% third-down rate, which ranks 58th. After forcing five turnovers (114th in the FBS) and turning the ball over four times (11th in the FBS) this season, Oklahoma State has the 53rd-ranked turnover margin of +1.

TCU vs. Oklahoma State Betting Analysis

TCU Betting Insights

TCU has covered (or pushed) in each game with a spread this season to compile a 4-0-1 ATS record. TCU is 2-0-1 ATS when playing as at least 4-point favorites. TCU games have gone over the total three times this season. The Horned Frogs have won all four of the games they have been favored on the moneyline this season. The Horned Frogs have played three times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -191 or shorter, and earned a victory in each game.

Cowboys Betting Insights

Oklahoma State has put together a record of 3-2-0 against the spread this year. Oklahoma State’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this year. The Cowboys won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Cowboys have played as an underdog of +156 or more once this season and won that game.


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TCU vs. Oklahoma State Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 67.4 68.0 67.0
Implied Total AVG 40.6 45.0 37.7
ATS Record 4-0-1 2-0-0 2-0-1
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 2-0-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 1-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.7 61.9 56.0
Implied Total AVG 40.6 43.5 29.0
ATS Record 3-2-0 2-2-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 4-1-0 3-1-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 3-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

Players to Watch


  • Dee Winters has suited up for five games, collecting 3.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 22 tackles for the Horned Frogs.
  • As part of the Horned Frogs’ defense, Jamoi Hodge has registered 1.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL, 29 tackles, and one interception in five games.
  • With 21 tackles and one interception in five games, Abraham Camara has been a significant piece of the Horned Frogs’ defense in 2022.
  • With 2.0 TFL and 26 tackles, Mark Perry has helped spur the Horned Frogs’ defense over five games.


  • In five games for the Cowboys, Mason Cobb has collected 1.0 sack to go with 5.0 TFL, 35 tackles, and one interception.
  • The Cowboys’ Brock Martin has amassed 4.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 17 tackles in five games.
  • Jason Taylor II has 2.0 TFL, 33 tackles, and one interception in five games.
  • The Cowboys’ Tyler Lacy has collected 16 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two sacks in five games.

TCU vs. Oklahoma State Predictions and Pick

TCU vs. Oklahoma State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Horned Frogs (-4)

    Pick OU:

    Over (68.5)


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How to Bet on TCU vs. Oklahoma State

You can bet on TCU vs. Oklahoma State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s TCU vs. Oklahoma State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is TCU, and we project that TCU will cover the spread (TCU -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 68.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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