TCU vs. Kansas State Big 12 Championship Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 3, 2022

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The No. 3 TCU Horned Frogs (12-0) and No. 13 Kansas State Wildcats (9-3) will play in the Big 12 Championship Game.

TCU vs. Kansas State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with oddsmakers listing TCU as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, TCU has -124 odds to pick up the win, while Kansas State is listed at +100 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 61.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch TCU vs. Kansas State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • Stadium: AT&T Stadium

Betting Preview

TCU

TCU has the 74th-ranked defense this year (383.5 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 16th-best with a tally of 473.3 yards per game. TCU owns the 53rd-ranked defense this season (24.5 points allowed per game), and has been better offensively, ranking third-best with 41.3 points per game. TCU owns the 88th-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (239.2 allowed per game), and has been better on offense, ranking 25th-best with 274.8 passing yards per game. TCU is totaling 198.5 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 27th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 59th, allowing 144.3 rushing yards per game. TCU is averaging a 42.8% third-down conversion rate on offense this year (36th in the FBS), and is surrendering a 35.6% third-down conversion rate (41st) on the defensive side of the ball. With 18 forced turnovers (47th in the FBS) against eight turnovers committed (fifth in the FBS), TCU’s +10 turnover margin is the eighth-best in college football.

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Kansas State

Kansas State is accumulating 421.5 total yards per game on offense this season (41st-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 357.3 total yards per contest (46th-ranked). Kansas State’s defensive unit has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 14th-best in the FBS with 19.4 points surrendered per contest. In terms of offense, it is generating 33.4 points per game, which ranks 34th. From an offensive standpoint, Kansas State is accumulating 211.5 passing yards per game (92nd-ranked). It ranks 52nd in the FBS on defense (214.1 passing yards surrendered per game). Kansas State’s run offense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 17th-best in the FBS with 210.0 rushing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is ceding 143.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 55th. In terms of third-down efficiency, Kansas State ranks 60th in the FBS (39.8% third-down conversion percentage) and 40th defensively (35.5% third-down rate allowed). Kansas State has produced 22 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over nine times, leading to a +13 turnover margin, which ranks fourth-best in the FBS.

TCU vs. Kansas State Betting Analysis

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TCU Betting Insights

TCU has covered the spread nine times in 12 games with a set spread. TCU has an ATS record of 7-2-1 when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites. This season, TCU games have hit the over seven times. The Horned Frogs have won all 10 of the games they have been listed as the moneyline favorite this season. The Horned Frogs have played in 10 games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -124 or shorter and won each time.

Wildcats Betting Insights

Kansas State have registered a 9-3-0 record against the spread this year. In games they have played as 1.5-point or bigger underdogs, Kansas State owns an ATS record of 2-2. Kansas State games have gone over the total six times this season. The Wildcats have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won twice. The Wildcats have a record of 2-2 when they’re set as an underdog of +100 or more by sportsbooks this season.

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TCU vs. Kansas State Against The Spread & Betting Records

TCU

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 64.0 62.5 65.6
Implied Total AVG 36.9 37.3 36.5
ATS Record 9-2-1 5-1-0 4-1-1
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 5-1-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-0 5-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 1-0 1-0

Wildcats

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.5 54.8 51.8
Implied Total AVG 31.1 32.6 29.0
ATS Record 9-3-0 5-2-0 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 3-4-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-1 5-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 0-1 2-1

Players to Watch

TCU

  • With 4.5 sacks to go with 9.0 TFL, 72 tackles, and one interception in 12 games, Jamoi Hodge has been a significant piece of the Horned Frogs’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Dee Winters has helped carry the Horned Frogs’ defense with 6.5 sacks to go along with 9.0 TFL and 57 tackles in 12 games.
  • As part of the Horned Frogs’ defensive unit, Johnny Hodges has delivered 69 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks in 12 games.
  • With 4.0 TFL and 64 tackles, Mark Perry has helped propel the Horned Frogs’ defense over 12 games.

Wildcats

  • As a key defensive contributor, the Wildcats’ Austin Moore has compiled 71 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in 12 games.
  • On defense, Felix Anudike has helped lead the way with 37 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 7.5 sacks in 12 games.
  • In 12 games for the Wildcats, Kobe Savage has collected 50 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three interceptions.
  • The Wildcats’ Brendan Mott has posted 28 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and six sacks in 12 games.

TCU vs. Kansas State Predictions and Pick

TCU vs. Kansas State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Wildcats (+1.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (61.5)

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How to Bet on TCU vs. Kansas State

You can bet on TCU vs. Kansas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s TCU vs. Kansas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Kansas State, and we predict that Kansas State will cover the spread (TCU -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 61.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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