TCU vs. Iowa State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 26, 2022

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Big 12 rivals will clash when the No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs (11-0) face the Iowa State Cyclones (4-7).

TCU vs. Iowa State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with sportsbooks listing TCU as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, TCU has -349 odds to pick up the win, while Iowa State is listed at +270 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 45.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch TCU vs. Iowa State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium

Betting Preview

TCU

TCU owns the 79th-ranked defense this year (388.4 yards allowed per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 10th-best with a tally of 482.1 yards per game. On offense, TCU has been a top-25 unit, ranking eighth-best in the FBS by putting up 39.5 points per game. The Horned Frogs rank 59th on defense (25.5 points allowed per game). TCU ranks 95th in pass defense this season (245.4 passing yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 24th-best in the FBS with 277.5 passing yards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, TCU has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 19th-best in the FBS by putting up 204.6 per game. The Horned Frogs rank 57th on defense (143.0 rushing yards allowed per game). TCU ranks 36th in third-down efficiency (43.2%) on offense and 48th in third-down percentage allowed (36.0%) on defense this season. TCU has the 18th-best turnover margin in college football at +7, forcing 15 turnovers (78th in the FBS) while turning it over eight times (sixth in the FBS).

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Iowa State

Iowa State has been excelling on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering only 277.3 total yards per game (sixth-best). Offensively, it ranks 79th by posting 373.4 total yards per game. While Iowa State’s offense has been stuck in neutral, ranking 22nd-worst with 20.7 points per game, its defense ranks eighth-best with only 16.5 points allowed per contest. Iowa State has been dominant on pass defense, surrendering just 172.1 passing yards per game (seventh-best). On offense, it ranks 28th in the FBS by putting up 270.0 passing yards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, Iowa State is a bottom-25 run offense, putting up only 103.4 rushing yards per game (14th-worst). On the bright side, it is excelling on the defensive side of the ball, giving up just 105.2 rushing yards per contest (13th-best). Iowa State ranks 38th in the FBS with a 42.9% third-down conversion rate, but it has been carried by its defense, which ranks seventh-best by surrendering a 28.5% third-down rate. Iowa State has compiled 15 forced turnovers (78th in the FBS) and committed 19 turnovers (98th in the FBS) this season for a -4 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

TCU vs. Iowa State Betting Analysis

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TCU Betting Insights

TCU is 8-2-1 against the spread this season. TCU is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites. Games involving TCU have hit the over six times this season. The Horned Frogs have won all nine of the games they have been favored on the moneyline this season. The Horned Frogs have played as a moneyline favorite of -349 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Cyclones Betting Insights

Iowa State has covered the spread four times in 11 games with a set total. Iowa State is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs. Games involving Iowa State have hit the over twice this season. The Cyclones have won one of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Cyclones have entered two games this season as the underdog by +270 or more and are 0-1 in those contests.

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TCU vs. Iowa State Against The Spread & Betting Records

TCU

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 65.7 65.9 65.6
Implied Total AVG 37.7 39.2 36.5
ATS Record 8-2-1 4-1-0 4-1-1
Over/Under Record 6-5-0 4-1-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-0 4-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 1-0 1-0

Cyclones

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.1 49.6 48.3
Implied Total AVG 28.8 29.7 27.3
ATS Record 4-7-0 2-5-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-9-0 2-5-0 0-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-4 2-2 0-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-2 1-1

Players to Watch

TCU

  • As part of the Horned Frogs’ defense, Jamoi Hodge has recorded 67 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception in 11 games.
  • The Horned Frogs’ defensive unit has been helped by Dee Winters, who has played 11 games and registered 6.5 sacks to go with 9.0 TFL and 51 tackles.
  • With 66 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks in 11 games, Johnny Hodges has been an important piece of the Horned Frogs’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • A key contributor to the Horned Frogs’ defense, Mark Perry has 62 tackles and 4.0 TFL in 11 games.

Cyclones

  • O’Rien Vance has been causing chaos on defense, collecting 51 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks for the Cyclones.
  • The Cyclones’ Anthony Johnson Jr. has delivered 1.0 TFL, 54 tackles, and two interceptions in 11 games.
  • Will McDonald IV has been causing chaos on defense, delivering 5.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 33 tackles for the Cyclones.
  • With 59 tackles and 1.5 sacks in 11 games, Gerry Vaughn has been wreaking havoc on defense for the Cyclones.

TCU vs. Iowa State Predictions and Pick

TCU vs. Iowa State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Horned Frogs (-9.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (45.5)

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How to Bet on TCU vs. Iowa State

You can bet on TCU vs. Iowa State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s TCU vs. Iowa State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is TCU, and we expect that TCU will cover the spread (TCU -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 45.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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