TCU vs. Baylor Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 19, 2022

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Big 12 opponents will clash when the No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs (10-0) battle the Baylor Bears (6-4).

TCU vs. Baylor Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with bookmakers listing TCU as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, TCU has -134 odds to pick up the win, while Baylor is listed at +110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 57.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch TCU vs. Baylor Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Waco, Texas
  • Stadium: McLane Stadium

Betting Preview

TCU

TCU ranks 67th in total defense this season (377.1 yards allowed per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking 11th-best in the FBS with 486.1 total yards per game. TCU owns the 56th-ranked defense this year (25.2 points allowed per game), and has been better offensively, ranking eighth-best with 40.5 points per game. TCU is totaling 272.5 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 28th in the FBS. The defense ranks 89th, allowing 243.0 passing yards per game. TCU sports the 43rd-ranked defense this season in terms of rushing yards (134.1 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 16th-best with 213.6 rushing yards per game. TCU is averaging a 43.4% third-down percentage on offense (38th in the FBS), and ranks 39th on the other side of the ball with a 35.3% third-down conversion rate allowed. With 14 forced turnovers (64th in the FBS) against seven turnovers committed (fourth in the FBS), TCU’s +7 turnover margin is the 16th-best in college football.

Baylor

With 436.9 total yards per game on offense, Baylor ranks 34th in the FBS in 2022. Defensively, it ranks 46th, surrendering 360.0 total yards per contest. In terms of points scored Baylor ranks 26th in the FBS (34.8 points per game), and it is 56th on defense (25.2 points allowed per game). From an offensive perspective, Baylor is compiling 237.3 passing yards per contest (58th-ranked). It ranks 68th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (227.2 passing yards given up per game). Baylor’s run defense ranks 42nd in the FBS with 132.8 rushing yards given up per game, but it has been led by its offense, which ranks 25th-best by piling up 199.6 rushing yards per contest. Baylor ranks 32nd in third-down conversion rate (44.9%) on offense, but it has been less productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 12th-worst in the FBS with a 45.8% third-down percentage allowed. After forcing 16 turnovers (41st in the FBS) and turning the ball over 15 times (74th in the FBS) this season, Baylor sports the 61st-ranked turnover margin of +1.

TCU vs. Baylor Betting Analysis

TCU Betting Insights

TCU has compiled an 8-1-1 record against the spread this season. TCU has an ATS record of 6-1-1 when playing as at least 2-point favorites. TCU games have gone over the total six times this season. The Horned Frogs have won all eight of the games they have been the moneyline favorite this season. The Horned Frogs have won all eight games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -134 or shorter.

Bears Betting Insights

Baylor is 6-4-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 2-point or bigger underdogs, Baylor owns an ATS record of 2-1. Baylor’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under seven times this year. This season, the Bears have been the underdog four times and won three of those games. The Bears have entered four games this season as the underdog by +110 or more and are 2-0 in those contests.

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TCU vs. Baylor Against The Spread & Betting Records

TCU

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 66.6 65.9 67.2
Implied Total AVG 38.5 39.2 37.8
ATS Record 8-1-1 4-1-0 4-0-1
Over/Under Record 6-4-0 4-1-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-0 4-0 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 1-0 1-0

Bears

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.2 52.9 55.4
Implied Total AVG 32.1 35.2 29.0
ATS Record 6-4-0 3-2-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-3-0 3-2-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-3 2-2 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-1 0-0 3-1

Players to Watch

TCU

  • Jamoi Hodge has hit the gridiron for 10 games, posting 3.5 sacks to go with 8.0 TFL, 64 tackles, and one interception for the Horned Frogs.
  • With 46 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks in 10 games, Dee Winters has been a big piece of the Horned Frogs’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Johnny Hodges has helped carry the Horned Frogs’ defense with 59 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in 10 games.
  • Mark Perry, as part of the Horned Frogs’ defense, has posted 3.0 TFL and 55 tackles in 10 games.

Bears

  • Al Walcott has recorded one interception to go with 50 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in 10 games for the Bears.
  • On defense, Dillon Doyle has helped lead the charge with 56 tackles and two interceptions in 10 games.
  • The Bears’ Garmon Randolph has posted 28 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in 10 games.
  • The Bears’ Devin Lemear has totaled 33 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two interceptions in 10 games.

TCU vs. Baylor Predictions and Pick

TCU vs. Baylor betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Horned Frogs (-2)

    Pick OU:

    Over (57.5)

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How to Bet on TCU vs. Baylor

You can bet on TCU vs. Baylor at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s TCU vs. Baylor picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is TCU, and we expect that TCU will cover the spread (TCU -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 57.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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