Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetK2m3fnVsouthern miss golden eagles vs arkansas state red wolves Betsperts Media & Technology

Sun Belt foes will clash when the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (2-3) battle the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-4).

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Southern Miss as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Southern Miss has -196 odds to pick up the win, while Arkansas State is listed at +157 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 53 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Hattiesburg, Mississippi
  • Stadium: M.M. Roberts Stadium

Betting Preview

Southern Miss

Southern Miss has been a bottom-25 offense this year, ranking 24th-worst with 335.2 yards per contest. The defensive side of the ball is ranked 72nd in the FBS (383.0 yards allowed per game). Offensively, Southern Miss ranks 82nd in the FBS with 27.0 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 53rd in points allowed (383.0 points allowed per contest). Southern Miss ranks 95th in pass offense (219.4 passing yards per game) and 79th in pass defense (235.8 passing yards allowed per game) this year. From an offensive standpoint, Southern Miss ranks 105th in the FBS with 115.8 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 73rd in rushing yards allowed per contest (147.2). Southern Miss is averaging a 34.8% third-down conversion rate on offense (99th in the FBS), and ranks 70th on defense with a 38.6% third-down percentage allowed. Southern Miss has forced nine total turnovers (53rd in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 12 times (110th in the FBS) for -3a turnover margin of -3, 100th-ranked in college football.

Arkansas State

From an offensive standpoint, Arkansas State is putting up 372.8 total yards per contest (87th-ranked). It ranks 92nd in the FBS defensively (400.8 total yards given up per game). Arkansas State’s defense has been bottom-25 in scoring defense this season, allowing 31.8 points per game, which ranks 25th-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 51st with 32.2 points per contest. Arkansas State is generating 252.8 passing yards per contest on offense this season (60th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 265.5 passing yards per game (106th-ranked) on defense. From an offensive angle, Arkansas State is compiling 120.0 rushing yards per contest (102nd-ranked). It ranks 56th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (135.3 rushing yards allowed per game). Arkansas State is posting a 38.0% third-down conversion percentage on offense this season (83rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up a 32.0% third-down rate (32nd-ranked) on defense. At -1, Arkansas State has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with three forced turnovers (124th in the FBS) and four turnovers committed (11th in the FBS).

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Betting Analysis

Southern Miss Betting Insights

Southern Miss has registered a 4-1-0 record against the spread this season. Southern Miss has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites. Southern Miss games have gone over the total three times this season. The Golden Eagles are playing as the moneyline favorite in their first game this season. The Golden Eagles have not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -196 or shorter.

Red Wolves Betting Insights

Arkansas State is 5-1-0 against the spread this season. In games it has played as 4.5-point or bigger underdogs, Arkansas State has an ATS record of 3-1. Arkansas State games have gone over the total four times this year. The Red Wolves have been the underdog in three games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. The Red Wolves have not won as an underdog of +157 or more on the moneyline this season in four such games.

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Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Southern Miss

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.0 50.5 48.0
Implied Total AVG 32.6 34.0 31.7
ATS Record 4-1-0 2-0-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 2-0-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-1 1-2

Red Wolves

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.0 57.3 62.7
Implied Total AVG 39.2 36.3 42.0
ATS Record 5-1-0 2-1-0 3-0-0
Over/Under Record 4-2-0 3-0-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-1 0-2

Players to Watch

Southern Miss

  • The Golden Eagles’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Dominic Quewon, who has suited up for five games and collected seven tackles, 4.0 TFL, and five sacks.
  • As part of the Golden Eagles’ defensive unit, Malik Shorts has amassed 22 tackles and two interceptions in five games.
  • Santrell Latham has helped carry the Golden Eagles’ defense with 21 tackles and one sack in five games.
  • With 1.0 sack to go along with 3.0 TFL and 16 tackles, Jalen Williams has helped spur the Golden Eagles’ defense over five games.

Red Wolves

  • Jordan Carmouche has been providing a big boost on defense, recording 23 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack for the Red Wolves.
  • On defense, Dennard Flowers has helped lead the charge with six tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in six games.
  • The Red Wolves’ Jaden Harris has compiled 16 tackles and one sack in six games.
  • The Red Wolves’ Melique Straker has registered 15 tackles and 1.0 TFL in six games.

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Predictions and Pick

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Red Wolves (+4.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (53)

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How to Bet on Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State

You can bet on Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Southern Miss, and we predict that Arkansas State will cover the spread (Southern Miss -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 53 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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