South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 21, 2022

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The R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl will see the South Alabama Jaguars battle the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers.

South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing South Alabama as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, South Alabama has -177 odds to pick up the win, while Western Kentucky is listed at +145 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 57.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky Live?

  • Game Day: Wednesday, December 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Caesars Superdome

Betting Preview

South Alabama

On the defensive side of the ball, South Alabama has been a top-25 unit, ranking 11th-best by allowing only 303.3 yards per game. The offense ranks 40th (423.3 yards per game). On defense, South Alabama has been a top-25 unit, ranking 14th-best by allowing only 19.4 points per game. The offense ranks 39th (31.9 points per game). From an offensive standpoint, South Alabama ranks 38th in the FBS with 258.7 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 52nd in passing yards allowed per contest (215.8). On the defensive side of the ball, South Alabama has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking fourth-best by surrendering only 87.5 per game. The Jaguars rank 56th on offense (164.6 rushing yards per game). South Alabama ranks 33rd in third-down conversion rate this year (43.3%), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 11th-best in the FBS with a 29.9% third-down conversion rate allowed. South Alabama has forced 16 total turnovers (63rd in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 13 times (26th in the FBS) for +3a turnover margin of +3, 39th-ranked in college football.

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Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky’s defense ranks 71st in the FBS with 381.0 total yards allowed per game, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks ninth-best by posting 483.6 total yards per contest. Western Kentucky’s defense ranks 43rd in the FBS with 23.5 points allowed per contest, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks 18th-best by piling up 35.8 points per contest. Western Kentucky’s pass offense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks second-best in the FBS with 339.2 passing yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is allowing 224.7 passing yards per game, which ranks 70th. From an offensive standpoint, Western Kentucky is generating 144.4 rushing yards per game (72nd-ranked). It ranks 79th in the FBS on defense (156.3 rushing yards allowed per game). Western Kentucky ranks 44th in the FBS with a 41.4% third-down conversion percentage on offense, and 42nd with a 35.6% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball. Western Kentucky has thrived in terms of turnovers, as its turnover margin of +9 ranks 10th-best in the FBS, with 29 forced turnovers (first in the nation) and 20 turnovers committed (106th in the nation).

South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky Betting Analysis

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South Alabama Betting Insights

South Alabama has covered the spread seven times over 12 games with a set spread. South Alabama has an ATS record of 4-4 when playing as at least 4-point favorites. This season, seven South Alabama games have gone over the point total. The Jaguars have gone 9-1 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 90% of those games). The Jaguars have played eight times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -177 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.

Hilltoppers Betting Insights

Western Kentucky is 8-5-0 against the spread this season. Western Kentucky has an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 4-point underdogs. Western Kentucky games have gone over the total five times this season. This season, the Hilltoppers have been listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests. The Hilltoppers have a record of 0-1 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +145 on the moneyline.

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South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky Against The Spread & Betting Records

South Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.0 50.4 53.6
Implied Total AVG 31.4 31.8 31.0
ATS Record 7-5-0 3-3-0 4-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 3-3-0 4-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-1 5-1 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Hilltoppers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 64.6 63.8 65.3
Implied Total AVG 38.5 39.7 37.6
ATS Record 8-5-0 3-3-0 5-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-8-0 2-4-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-2 3-2 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-0 0-3

Players to Watch

South Alabama

  • Trey Kiser has helped carry the Jaguars’ defense with 67 tackles, 10 TFL, and two sacks in 11 games.
  • Yamarus Banks has played 11 games, registering five interceptions to go along with 41 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and 10 passes defended for the Jaguars.
  • With 70 tackles, five TFL, and two interceptions in 11 games, Jaden Voisin has been a big part of the Jaguars’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • A significant contributor to the Jaguars’ defense, James Miller has 63 tackles, four TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in 11 games.

Hilltoppers

  • In 12 games for the Hilltoppers, Jaques Evans has amassed seven sacks to go with 10 TFL and 97 tackles.
  • On defense, Derrick Smith has helped lead the charge with 77 tackles, four TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 12 games.
  • Kaleb Oliver has two sacks to go with two TFL, 61 tackles, and three interceptions in 12 games.
  • On defense, Kahlef Hailassie has supplied 54 tackles, five TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions in 11 games.

South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky Predictions and Pick

South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Hilltoppers (+4)

    Pick OU:

    Under (57.5)

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How to Bet on South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky

You can bet on South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is South Alabama, and we project that Western Kentucky will cover the spread (South Alabama -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 57.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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