South Alabama vs. Texas State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetTllNOdnsouth alabama jaguars vs texas state bobcats Betsperts Media & Technology

Sun Belt rivals will clash when the South Alabama Jaguars (7-2) meet the Texas State Bobcats (3-6).

South Alabama vs. Texas State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 16.5 points, with oddsmakers listing South Alabama as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, South Alabama has -872 odds to pick up the win, while Texas State is listed at +562 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 46 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch South Alabama vs. Texas State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Mobile, Alabama
  • Stadium: Hancock Whitney Stadium

Betting Preview

South Alabama

South Alabama sports the 38th-ranked offense this season (432.9 yards per game), and has been even more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 12th-best with only 302.7 yards allowed per game. South Alabama has the 42nd-ranked offense this season (32.3 points per game), and has been better defensively, ranking 18th-best with just 19.1 points allowed per game. South Alabama is compiling 265.4 passing yards per game on offense (39th in the FBS), and ranks 49th defensively with 217.3 passing yards allowed per game. South Alabama ranks 54th in rushing yards this year (167.4 rushing yards per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the FBS with 85.3 rushing yards allowed per game. South Alabama ranks 43rd in third-down conversion rate this year (43.1%), but has been thriving on defense, ranking fifth-best in the FBS with a 27.7% third-down percentage allowed. South Alabama has forced 17 total turnovers (21st in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 10 times (25th in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +7, the 17th-best in college football.

Texas State

Texas State ranks 20th-worst in total yards per game (328.8), but it has been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 42nd in the FBS with 358.9 total yards surrendered per contest. With 22.6 points per game on offense, Texas State ranks 104th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 56th, giving up 24.9 points per contest. From an offensive angle, Texas State is accumulating 241.9 passing yards per game (59th-ranked). It ranks 85th in the FBS on defense (239.7 passing yards given up per game). Texas State ranks fifth-worst in rushing yards per game (86.9), but it has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 26th in the FBS with 119.2 rushing yards conceded per contest. In terms of third-down efficiency, Texas State ranks 88th in the FBS (37.7% third-down conversion rate) and 47th on the other side of the ball (36.4% third-down rate allowed). After forcing 19 turnovers (14th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 14 times (74th in the FBS) this season, Texas State owns the 31st-ranked turnover margin of +5.

South Alabama vs. Texas State Betting Analysis

South Alabama Betting Insights

South Alabama has registered a 6-3-0 record against the spread this season. South Alabama has yet to cover a spread when they are at least 16.5-point favorites (0-1). This season, South Alabama games have hit the over five times. The Jaguars have a 6-1 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 85.7% of those games). The Jaguars have played as a moneyline favorite of -872 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Bobcats Betting Insights

Texas State has gone 5-4-0 against the spread this year. In games they have played as 16.5-point or bigger underdogs, Texas State owns an ATS record of 2-2. Texas State games have gone over the total four times this season. The Bobcats have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won once. This season, the Bobcats have won one of their four games when they’re the underdog by at least +562 on the moneyline.

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South Alabama vs. Texas State Against The Spread & Betting Records

South Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.9 52.3 55.3
Implied Total AVG 32.0 32.0 32.0
ATS Record 6-3-0 2-2-0 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-4-0 2-2-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-1 3-1 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Bobcats

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.2 55.9 51.1
Implied Total AVG 34.2 35.5 33.2
ATS Record 5-4-0 3-1-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-5-0 1-3-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-5 1-1 0-4

Players to Watch

South Alabama

  • With 4.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 21 tackles in nine games, CJ Rias has been a key part of the Jaguars’ defense in 2022.
  • Yam Banks has suited up for nine games, amassing five interceptions to go along with 14 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and six passes defended for the Jaguars.
  • With 28 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two sacks in nine games, Trey Kiser has been a big part of the Jaguars’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Jaguars’ defensive unit has been helped by Jamie Sheriff, who has suited up for nine games, compiling 4.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 17 tackles.

Bobcats

  • Levi Bell has registered 35 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and five sacks in nine games for the Bobcats.
  • On defense, Sione Tupou has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 32 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and two interceptions in nine games.
  • In nine games for the Bobcats, Jordan Revels has collected 30 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks.
  • Nelson Mbanasor has delivered 16 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and five sacks In nine games for the Bobcats.

South Alabama vs. Texas State Predictions and Pick

South Alabama vs. Texas State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Jaguars (-16.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (46)

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How to Bet on South Alabama vs. Texas State

You can bet on South Alabama vs. Texas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s South Alabama vs. Texas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is South Alabama, and we project that South Alabama will cover the spread (South Alabama -16.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 46 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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