South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetNWxIbpzsouth alabama jaguars vs arkansas state red wolves Betsperts Media & Technology

Sun Belt foes will battle when the South Alabama Jaguars (5-2) meet the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-6).

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with bookmakers listing South Alabama as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, South Alabama has -332 odds to pick up the win, while Arkansas State is listed at +255 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 52 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Jonesboro, Arkansas
  • Stadium: Centennial Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

South Alabama

On defense, South Alabama has been a top-25 unit, ranking 20th-best by giving up only 314.3 yards per game. The offense ranks 41st (431.4 yards per game). South Alabama sports the 54th-ranked offense this season (31.7 points per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 21st-best with only 19.7 points allowed per game. South Alabama owns the 47th-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (214.4 allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 24th-best with 288.1 passing yards per game. South Alabama sports the 77th-ranked offense this year in terms of rushing yards (143.3 per game), and has been more effective on defense, ranking 11th-best with only 99.9 rushing yards allowed per game. South Alabama ranks 37th in third-down percentage this year (45.0%), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking eighth-best in the FBS with a 29.0% third-down percentage allowed. South Alabama has forced 15 total turnovers (16th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over seven times (17th in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +8, the fifth-best in college football.

Arkansas State

In terms of total yards, Arkansas State ranks 103rd in the FBS (349.3 total yards per game) and 98th on the other side of the ball (409.0 total yards allowed per contest). Arkansas State ranks 68th in the FBS with 28.8 points per game on offense, and it ranks 104th with 31.1 points given up per game on defense. From an offensive angle, Arkansas State is posting 242.8 passing yards per contest (65th-ranked). It ranks 102nd in the FBS on defense (260.8 passing yards surrendered per game). Arkansas State’s rushing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, putting up 106.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 18th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 75th with 148.3 rushing yards surrendered per contest. In terms of third-down efficiency, Arkansas State ranks 102nd in the FBS (35.0% third-down conversion rate) and 60th on defense (37.4% third-down rate allowed). Arkansas State sports a +2 turnover margin this season, which ranks 51st in the FBS.

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Betting Analysis

South Alabama Betting Insights

South Alabama has covered the spread four times over seven games with a set spread. South Alabama is 2-1 ATS when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites. This season, South Alabama games have hit the over four times. The Jaguars have won 80% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (4-1). The Jaguars have won all three games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -332 or shorter.

Red Wolves Betting Insights

Arkansas State has covered the spread six times over eight games with a set total. Arkansas State has a record of 2-1 ATS when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs. Arkansas State’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this year. The Red Wolves have been listed as the underdog five times this season and have failed to win any of those games. The Red Wolves have not won as an underdog of +255 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games.

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South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Against The Spread & Betting Records

South Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.3 52.3 54.7
Implied Total AVG 32.1 32.0 32.3
ATS Record 4-3-0 2-2-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-3-0 2-2-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Red Wolves

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.0 57.3 58.4
Implied Total AVG 36.6 36.3 36.8
ATS Record 6-2-0 2-1-0 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-3-0 3-0-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-5 0-1 0-4

Players to Watch

South Alabama

  • With 3.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 17 tackles in seven games, CJ Rias has been a key piece of the Jaguars’ defense in 2022.
  • The Jaguars’ defensive unit has been aided by Yam Banks, who has suited up for seven games and collected 2.0 TFL, 11 tackles, and four interceptions.
  • As part of the Jaguars’ defensive unit, Trey Kiser has totaled 23 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks in seven games.
  • Jaden Voisin, as part of the Jaguars’ defensive unit, has recorded 1.0 TFL, 16 tackles, and one interception in seven games.

Red Wolves

  • On defense, Jordan Carmouche has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 33 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in eight games.
  • Jaden Harris has registered 29 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in eight games for the Red Wolves.
  • In eight games for the Red Wolves, Kivon Bennett has collected 21 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks.
  • Eddie Smith has compiled 19 tackles and two interceptions in eight games for the Red Wolves.

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Predictions and Pick

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Red Wolves (+9.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (52)

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How to Bet on South Alabama vs. Arkansas State

You can bet on South Alabama vs. Arkansas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s South Alabama vs. Arkansas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is South Alabama, and we expect that Arkansas State will cover the spread (South Alabama -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 52 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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