SMU vs. Memphis Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 26, 2022

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AAC rivals will battle when the SMU Mustangs (6-5) meet the Memphis Tigers (6-5).

SMU vs. Memphis Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with oddsmakers listing SMU as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, SMU has -186 odds to pick up the win, while Memphis is listed at +153 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 69.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch SMU vs. Memphis Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: University Park, Texas
  • Stadium: Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Betting Preview

SMU

SMU sports the ninth-best offense this season in terms of total yards (484.9 yards per game), but rank 15th-worst on the defensive side of the ball (446.6 yards allowed per game). SMU sports the 10th-best offense this season in terms of points scored (38.8 points per game), but ranks 11th-worst on defense (35.0 points allowed per game). On the offensive side of the ball, SMU has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking fifth-best in the FBS by averaging 326.2 per game. The Mustangs rank 90th on defense (238.8 passing yards allowed per game). With 207.8 rushing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 10th-worst in the FBS, SMU has been forced to rely on their 65th-ranked running game (158.7 rushing yards per contest) to keep them in games. On offense, SMU has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 25th-best in the FBS by averaging a 45.5% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 39th on defense (35.0% third-down conversion rate allowed). With 16 forced turnovers (62nd in the FBS) against 19 turnovers committed (98th in the FBS), SMU (-3) has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

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Memphis

In terms of total yards, Memphis ranks 44th in the FBS (420.3 total yards per game) and 58th on the other side of the ball (367.2 total yards allowed per game). Memphis’ offense has been consistently moving the chains, posting 35.5 points per contest (23rd-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 72nd by giving up 26.7 points per game. Memphis’ passing attack has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 22nd-best in the FBS with 279.1 passing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is ceding 244.6 passing yards per game, which ranks 94th. In terms of rushing, Memphis ranks 84th in the FBS on offense (141.2 rushing yards per game) and 29th on the other side of the ball (122.5 rushing yards allowed per game). Memphis is posting a 44.2% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (33rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering a 40.0% third-down rate (78th-ranked) on defense. After forcing 19 turnovers (29th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 14 times (40th in the FBS) this season, Memphis has the 29th-ranked turnover margin of +5.

SMU vs. Memphis Betting Analysis

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SMU Betting Insights

SMU has covered the spread five times this season (5-6-0). In games it has played as 4.5-point favorites or more, SMU has an ATS record of 2-2. SMU games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season. The Mustangs have not yet lost a game they were the moneyline favorite this season, going 5-0. The Mustangs have played three times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -186 or shorter, and won in each game.

Tigers Betting Insights

Memphis has covered the spread five times in 11 games with a set total. Memphis is 1-2 ATS when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs. Memphis games have gone over the total eight times this year. The Tigers have been the underdog in four games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. The Tigers have a record of 0-2 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +153 on the moneyline.

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SMU vs. Memphis Against The Spread & Betting Records

SMU

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 66.0 63.9 67.7
Implied Total AVG 38.2 39.4 37.2
ATS Record 5-6-0 2-3-0 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-6-0 3-2-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-0 2-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-5 0-2 0-3

Tigers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.4 61.4 55.9
Implied Total AVG 35.6 37.6 32.3
ATS Record 5-6-0 3-4-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 8-3-0 4-3-0 4-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-1 4-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-1 0-3

Players to Watch

SMU

  • The Mustangs’ defense has been helped by Nick Roberts, who has suited up for 11 games and compiled 40 tackles and three interceptions.
  • With 35 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and five sacks in 11 games, Nelson Paul has been a significant piece of the Mustangs’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Mustangs’ defensive unit has been aided by the play of Isaac Slade-Matautia, who has played 11 games and collected one interception to go along with 42 tackles, 1.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended.
  • A key piece of the Mustangs’ defensive unit, Jimmy Phillips Jr. has 49 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack in 11 games.

Tigers

  • Xavier Cullens has compiled three interceptions to go with 72 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and four passes defended in 11 games for the Tigers.
  • Quindell Johnson has been doing his part on defense, collecting four interceptions to go with 58 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five passes defended for the Tigers.
  • Jaylon Allen has been providing a big boost on defense, delivering 4.0 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL, 47 tackles, and one interception for the Tigers.
  • On defense, Tyler Murray has supplied 46 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two interceptions in 11 games.

SMU vs. Memphis Predictions and Pick

SMU vs. Memphis betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tigers (+4.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (69.5)

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How to Bet on SMU vs. Memphis

You can bet on SMU vs. Memphis at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s SMU vs. Memphis picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is SMU, and we predict that Memphis will cover the spread (SMU -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 69.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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