San Diego State vs. New Mexico Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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MWC rivals will clash when the San Diego State Aztecs (6-4) meet the New Mexico Lobos (2-8).

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 14 points, with oddsmakers listing San Diego State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, San Diego State has -660 odds to pick up the win, while New Mexico is listed at +458 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 36 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch San Diego State vs. New Mexico Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, November 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:45 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Albuquerque, New Mexico
  • Stadium: University Stadium (NM)

Betting Preview

San Diego State

While San Diego State ranks 39th in total defense with 353.1 yards allowed per game, the team’s offensive unit has been a little less successful, ranking 14th-worst (321.2 yards per game). San Diego State ranks 106th in scoring offense (21.9 points per game) and 37th in scoring defense (21.9 points allowed per game) this season. San Diego State has been a bottom-25 pass offense this season, ranking 10th-worst with 158.1 passing yards per contest. The Ddfensive unit is ranked 81st in the FBS (235.3 passing yards allowed per game). On defense, San Diego State has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 23rd-best by giving up just 117.8 per game. The Aztecs rank 57th on offense (163.1 rushing yards per game). San Diego State ranks 11th-worst in third-down percentage (30.1%), but has played better on defense, ranking 96th with a 41.7% third-down conversion rate allowed. San Diego State has the 51st-ranked turnover margin in college football at +2, forcing 18 turnovers (25th in the FBS) while turning it over 16 times (83rd in the FBS).

New Mexico

New Mexico ranks worst in total yards per game (238.0), but it has been better defensively, ranking 34th in the FBS with 346.7 total yards surrendered per contest. New Mexico ranks third-worst in points per game (14.7), but it has been better on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 67th in the FBS with 26.1 points surrendered per contest. New Mexico ranks fifth-worst in passing yards per game on offense (109.2), but at least it has been playing well on the other side of the ball, ranking 17th-best in passing yards surrendered per game (182.1). In terms of rushing, New Mexico ranks 94th in the FBS on offense (128.8 rushing yards per game) and 91st on the other side of the ball (164.6 rushing yards allowed per contest). New Mexico ranks second-worst in third-down conversion rate (25.2%), but it has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 26th in the FBS with a 33.1% third-down rate allowed. After forcing 15 turnovers (54th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 12 times (34th in the FBS) this season, New Mexico owns the 42nd-ranked turnover margin of +3.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Betting Analysis

San Diego State Betting Insights

San Diego State has covered the spread four times this season (4-6-0). San Diego State is winless against the spread when it is 14-point or greater favorites (0-2). San Diego State games have gone over the total four times this season. The Aztecs have been the moneyline favorite five total times this season. They’ve finished 4-1 in those games. The Aztecs have played as a moneyline favorite of -660 or shorter in only two games this season, and they won both.

Lobos Betting Insights

New Mexico has put together a record of 3-6-1 against the spread this year. In games they have played as 14-point underdogs or more, the Lobos have an ATS record of 1-3-1. New Mexico games have gone over the total five times this year. The Lobos have entered the game as underdogs eight times this season and won once. The Lobos have been at least a +458 moneyline underdog four times this season, but lost all of those games.

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San Diego State vs. New Mexico Against The Spread & Betting Records

San Diego State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.4 45.9 42.0
Implied Total AVG 28.5 29.3 27.3
ATS Record 4-6-0 2-4-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 2-4-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-3 2-0 0-3

Lobos

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 40.7 40.1 41.3
Implied Total AVG 26.7 23.8 29.6
ATS Record 3-6-1 2-2-1 1-4-0
Over/Under Record 5-5-0 3-2-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-7 1-3 0-4

Players to Watch

San Diego State

  • Michael Shawcroft has suited up for 10 games, posting 4.5 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL and 54 tackles for the Aztecs.
  • As part of the Aztecs’ defense, Jonah Tavai has posted 9.0 sacks to go with 8.0 TFL and 30 tackles in 10 games.
  • Garret Fountain has hit the gridiron for 10 games, registering 27 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks for the Aztecs.
  • A significant part of the Aztecs’ defense, Caden McDonald has 31 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in 10 games.

Lobos

  • On defense, Cody Moon has helped lead the charge with 52 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in 10 games.
  • In 10 games for the Lobos, A.J. Haulcy has registered two interceptions to go with 47 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
  • Jerrick Reed II has been causing chaos on defense, totaling 3.0 TFL and 42 tackles for the Lobos.
  • Reco Hannah has amassed one interception to go with 33 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one pass defended In 10 games for the Lobos.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Predictions and Pick

San Diego State vs. New Mexico betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Lobos (+14)

    Pick OU:

    Over (36)

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How to Bet on San Diego State vs. New Mexico

You can bet on San Diego State vs. New Mexico at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s San Diego State vs. New Mexico picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is San Diego State, and we expect that New Mexico will cover the spread (San Diego State -14). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 36 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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