San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee Easypost Hawai’i Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 24, 2022

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The San Diego State Aztecs will meet the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in the Easypost Hawai’i Bowl.

San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with bookmakers listing San Diego State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, San Diego State has -285 odds to pick up the win, while Middle Tennessee is listed at +225 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 47 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
  • Stadium: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Betting Preview

San Diego State

San Diego State ranks 16th-worst in total offense (321.5 yards per game), but has been a little better on defense, ranking 30th with 335.4 yards allowed per game. San Diego State has struggled offensively, ranking 23rd-worst in the FBS (21.3 points per game) this season. The defense, however, ranks 21st-best, giving up only 20.2 points per game. While San Diego State’s pass defense ranks 37th with 206.6 passing yards allowed per game,the offense has been less successful, ranking 13th-worst (170.9 passing yards per game). San Diego State is compiling 150.6 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 67th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 36th, giving up 128.8 rushing yards per contest. While San Diego State’s third-down defense ranks 55th with a 37.1% third-down percentage allowed per game, the offense has been less successful, ranking ninth-worst with a 29.8% third-down percentage. With 18 forced turnovers (42nd in the FBS) against 19 turnovers committed (92nd in the FBS), San Diego State (-1) has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

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Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee ranks 63rd with 390.5 total yards per game on offense, and it ranks 100th with 413.3 total yards given up per contest on the defensive side of the ball. Middle Tennessee is posting 29.2 points per game on offense this season (59th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 28.1 points per game (82nd-ranked) on defense. Middle Tennessee has been struggling to stop the pass, ranking third-worst with 291.3 passing yards allowed per game. It has been better on offense, posting 267.2 passing yards per contest (32nd-ranked). From an offensive angle, Middle Tennessee is putting up 123.3 rushing yards per game (99th-ranked). It ranks 28th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (121.9 rushing yards given up per game). Middle Tennessee ranks 101st in the FBS with a 35.9% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 75th with a 39.4% third-down percentage allowed on defense. Middle Tennessee has fared really well in terms of turnovers, as its turnover margin of +9 ranks 11th-best in the FBS, with 26 forced turnovers (fifth in the nation) and 17 turnovers committed (71st in the nation).

San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee Betting Analysis

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San Diego State Betting Insights

San Diego State has covered the spread five times over 12 games with a set spread. In games it has played as 7-point favorites or more, San Diego State has an ATS record of 2-2. Games involving San Diego State have hit the over five times this season. The Aztecs have been the moneyline favorite six total times this season. They’ve gone 5-1 in those games. The Aztecs have played four times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -285 or shorter, and earned a victory in each game.

Blue Raiders Betting Insights

Middle Tennessee has covered the spread five times in 12 games with a set total. Middle Tennessee has an ATS record of 2-2 when playing as at least 7-point underdogs. Middle Tennessee games have gone over the total seven times this year. The Blue Raiders have been underdogs in eight games this season and won four (50%) of those contests. The Blue Raiders have entered four games this season as the underdog by +225 or more and are 0-2 in those contests.

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San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee Against The Spread & Betting Records

San Diego State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.6 45.6 40.9
Implied Total AVG 27.8 28.4 27.0
ATS Record 5-7-0 2-5-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 2-5-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-1 3-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-4 2-1 0-3

Blue Raiders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.0 60.4 56.2
Implied Total AVG 34.3 35.0 33.9
ATS Record 5-7-0 2-3-0 3-4-0
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 3-2-0 4-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-4 1-2 3-2

Players to Watch

San Diego State

  • Michael Shawcroft has hit the gridiron for nine games, recording four sacks to go with nine TFL and 72 tackles for the Aztecs.
  • The Aztecs’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of Jonah Tavai, who has suited up for 11 games and compiled eight sacks to go with 11 TFL and 50 tackles.
  • Pat McMorris has played 10 games, totaling 56 tackles, one TFL, and one interception for the Aztecs.
  • With one TFL, 35 tackles, and two interceptions, Dezjhon Malone has helped spur the Aztecs’ defense over 11 games.

Blue Raiders

  • Tra Fluellen has been wreaking havoc on defense, posting two interceptions to go with 96 tackles, three TFL, and seven passes defended for the Blue Raiders.
  • Decorian Patterson has been doing his part on defense, compiling six interceptions to go with 67 tackles, one TFL, and seven passes defended for the Blue Raiders.
  • Jordan Ferguson has been providing a big boost on defense, totaling seven sacks to go with 13 TFL and 57 tackles for the Blue Raiders.
  • On defense, Teldrick Ross has chipped in with 79 tackles, two TFL, and one interception in 11 games.

San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee Predictions and Pick

San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Blue Raiders (+7)

    Pick OU:

    Over (47)

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How to Bet on San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee

You can bet on San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is San Diego State, and we project that Middle Tennessee will cover the spread (San Diego State -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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