Penn State vs. Maryland Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The No. 14 Penn State Nittany Lions (7-2) have a Big Ten matchup versus the Maryland Terrapins (6-3).

Penn State vs. Maryland Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Penn State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Penn State has -410 odds to pick up the win, while Maryland is listed at +313 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 56.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Penn State vs. Maryland Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: University Park, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Beaver Stadium

Betting Preview

Penn State

Offensively, Penn State ranks 35th in the FBS with 436.7 yards per game. Meanwhile, its defense ranks 48th in total defense (362.1 yards allowed per contest). Penn State ranks 31st in scoring offense (34.4 points per game) and 26th in scoring defense (21.1 points allowed per game) this year. Penn State is averaging 265.7 passing yards per game on offense (38th in the FBS), and ranks 72nd on the other side of the ball with 234.0 passing yards allowed per game. From an offensive standpoint, Penn State ranks 52nd in the FBS with 171.0 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 46th in rushing yards allowed per contest (128.1). Penn State is averaging a 36.7% third-down percentage on offense (92nd in the FBS), and ranks 29th defensively with a 33.1% third-down percentage allowed. With 17 forced turnovers (21st in the FBS) against 12 turnovers committed (52nd in the FBS), Penn State (+5) owns the 31st-ranked turnover margin in college football.

Maryland

Maryland is accumulating 425.4 total yards per contest on offense this season (43rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 377.4 total yards per contest (68th-ranked). Maryland is generating 31.4 points per contest on offense this season (47th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 24.0 points per contest (48th-ranked) on defense. Maryland ranks 44th in the FBS with 260.7 passing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 85th with 239.7 passing yards given up per contest on the defensive side of the ball. Maryland is compiling 164.8 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (57th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 137.8 rushing yards per game (54th-ranked) on defense. In terms of third-down efficiency, Maryland ranks 40th in the FBS (43.5% third-down conversion rate) and 104th on the other side of the ball (42.3% third-down rate allowed). Maryland has registered 12 forced turnovers (78th in the FBS) and committed nine turnovers (18th in the FBS) this season for a +3 turnover margin that ranks 42nd in the FBS.

Penn State vs. Maryland Betting Analysis

Penn State Betting Insights

Penn State has covered the spread in a game six times this season (6-3-0). Penn State has an ATS record of 2-2 when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites. Penn State games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under seven times this season. The Nittany Lions have won all seven of the games they have been favored on the moneyline this season. The Nittany Lions have played in four games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -410 or shorter and won each of them.

Terrapins Betting Insights

Maryland has covered the spread four times this year (4-5-0). Maryland is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 10.5-point underdogs. This season, four Maryland games have gone over the point total. The Terrapins have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Terrapins have played as an underdog of +313 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Penn State vs. Maryland Against The Spread & Betting Records

Penn State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.2 54.0 50.0
Implied Total AVG 33.4 37.4 28.5
ATS Record 6-3-0 3-2-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 7-2-0 3-2-0 4-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-0 4-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Terrapins

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.8 61.3 60.1
Implied Total AVG 36.7 35.8 37.8
ATS Record 4-5-0 2-3-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-5-0 2-3-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-1 4-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Players to Watch

Penn State

  • Ji’Ayir Brown has helped carry the Nittany Lions’ defense with 49 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and three interceptions in nine games.
  • Abdul Carter has helped carry the Nittany Lions’ defense with 2.5 sacks to go along with 3.0 TFL and 33 tackles in nine games.
  • With 37 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in nine games, Curtis Jacobs has been a key contributor to the Nittany Lions’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • John Dixon, as part of the Nittany Lions’ defense, has recorded 3.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL, 14 tackles, and one interception in nine games.

Terrapins

  • In nine games for the Terrapins, Beau Brade has delivered 3.0 TFL, 52 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • Jaishawn Barham has registered 38 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and three sacks in nine games for the Terrapins.
  • The Terrapins’ Ahmad McCullough has registered 42 tackles and 2.0 TFL in nine games.
  • With two interceptions to go with 37 tackles and two passes defended in nine games, Dante Trader Jr. has been making a big difference on defense for the Terrapins.

Penn State vs. Maryland Predictions and Pick

Penn State vs. Maryland betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Nittany Lions (-10.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (56.5)

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How to Bet on Penn State vs. Maryland

You can bet on Penn State vs. Maryland at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Penn State vs. Maryland picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Penn State, and we predict that Penn State will cover the spread (Penn State -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 56.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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