Penn State vs. Illinois Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 16, 2023

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The No. 7 Penn State Nittany Lions (2-0) have a Big Ten matchup versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (1-1).

Penn State vs. Illinois Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 14 points, with oddsmakers listing Penn State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Penn State has -646 odds to pick up the win, while Illinois is listed at +445 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 48 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Penn State vs. Illinois Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox
  • Location: Champaign, Illinois
  • Stadium: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Betting Preview

Penn State

Penn State racked up 35.8 points per game last season, 23.0 more than Illinois gave up per contest (12.8). Penn State was 8-3 against the spread and 10-2 overall in games when it scored over 12.8 points last season. Illinois had an 8-4 record against the spread and an 8-4 record overall in games when it allowed opponents to score fewer than 35.8 points last year. Penn State averaged 433.6 yards per game last season, 160.1 more yards than the 273.5 Illinois allowed per outing.

Illinois

Illinois scored 6.0 more points per game (24.2) than Penn State gave up (18.2) last season. When Illinois scored more than 18.2 points last year, it was 7-2 against the spread and 7-2 overall. When Penn State gave up less than 24.2 points last year, it had a 6-2 record against the spread and a 9-0 record overall. Illinois racked up 55.7 more yards per game (379.2) than Penn State allowed per matchup (323.5) last season.

Penn State vs. Illinois Betting Analysis

Penn State Betting Insights

Penn State is 2-0-0 against the spread this season. Penn State has a perfect 2-0 ATS record when playing as at least 14-point favorites. This season, Penn State games have hit the over twice. The Nittany Lions have been the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Nittany Lions have played as a moneyline favorite of -646 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.

Illinois Betting Insights

Illinois has not covered the spread in any game this year (0-2-0). Games involving Illinois has hit the over once this season. The Fighting Illini lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Fighting Illini have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +445.

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Penn State vs. Illinois Against The Spread & Betting Records

Penn State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.4 54.4 50.1
Implied Total AVG 33.2 36.7 29.0
ATS Record 9-3-1 4-2-1 5-1-0
Over/Under Record 9-4-0 3-4-0 6-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 11-0 6-0 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Illinois

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.0 43.8 44.2
Implied Total AVG 26.5 26.5 26.6
ATS Record 8-5-0 4-4-0 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-8-1 2-5-1 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 4-2 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-3 1-1 1-2

Last Season’s Leaders

Penn State

  • Sean Clifford threw for 2,822 yards (217.1 per game), completing 64.4% of his passes, with 24 touchdowns and seven interceptions in 13 games last year.
  • Also, Clifford ran for 185 yards and five TDs.
  • Nicholas Singleton ran for 1,052 yards (80.9 per game) and 12 touchdowns in 13 games.
  • In the passing game, Singleton scored one touchdown, with 11 catches for 85 yards.
  • In 13 games a season ago, Kaytron Allen ran for 867 yards (66.7 per game) and 10 TDs.
  • Allen also had 20 catches for 188 yards and one TD.
  • Mitchell Tinsley had 51 catches for 577 yards (44.4 per game) and five touchdowns in 13 games.
  • Ji’Ayir Brown recorded four interceptions to go with 69 tackles, four TFL, three sacks, and five passes defended in 13 games last year.
  • Abdul Carter had 50 tackles, nine TFL, five sacks, and three passes defended.
  • Curtis Jacobs had three sacks to go with four TFL, 49 tackles, and one interception in 10 games a season ago.
  • Kalen King totaled three TFL, 29 tackles, and three interceptions in 12 games.

Illinois

  • In 12 games last season, Chase Brown tallied 1,643 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns while averaging 5.0 yards per carry.
  • In addition to the stats he generated in the running game, Chase Brown had 27 receptions (on zero targets) for 240 yards and three touchdowns.
  • Tommy DeVito played 13 games last season, and aired it out for 2,647 passing yards, 15 touchdowns, four interceptions and a 69.6% completion percentage.
  • When he wasn’t moving the ball through the air, DeVito rushed for 35 yards (2.7 yards per game) and six touchdowns.
  • In 13 games last season, Isaiah Williams turned zero targets into 81 receptions, 709 yards and five touchdowns.
  • Brian Hightower got zero targets last season and turned them into 37 receptions (3.4 per game) for 452 yards and two TDs.
  • Last season Sydney Brown delivered 66 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and six interceptions in 12 games.
  • On defense, Jartavius Martin delivered one sack to go with three TFL, 69 tackles, and three interceptions.
  • In 13 games, Isaac Darkangelo amassed 72 tackles, seven TFL, and one sack.
  • A key player on defense, Jer’Zhan Newton had 59 tackles, 11 TFL, four sacks, and one pass defended.

Penn State vs. Illinois Predictions and Pick

Penn State vs. Illinois betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Illinois (+14)

  • Pick OU: Over (48)

How to Bet on Penn State vs. Illinois

You can bet on Penn State vs. Illinois at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Penn State vs. Illinois picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Penn State, and we predict that Illinois will cover the spread (Penn State -14). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 48 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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