Oregon vs. North Carolina San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 28, 2022

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The Oregon Ducks will play the North Carolina Tar Heels in the San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl.

Oregon vs. North Carolina Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 13 points, with oddsmakers listing Oregon as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Oregon has -507 odds to pick up the win, while North Carolina is listed at +379 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 76 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Oregon vs. North Carolina Live?

  • Game Day: Wednesday, December 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox
  • Location: Rancho San Diego, California
  • Stadium: Petco Park

Betting Preview


Oregon owns the 77th-ranked defense this season (386.1 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best with a tally of 507.8 yards per game. On offense, Oregon has been a top-25 unit, ranking ninth-best in the FBS by averaging 39.7 points per game. The Ducks rank 76th on defense (27.4 points allowed per game). While Oregon ranks 22nd-worst in the FBS in passing defense with 260.6 passing yards allowed per game, it’s been a different story on the other side of the ball, as the offensive unit ranks 15th-best in the FBS (291.5 passing yards per game). Oregon ranks 35th in run defense this season (125.5 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on offense, ranking 14th-best in the FBS with 216.3 rushing yards per game. Oregon has struggled defensively in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking sixth-worst in the FBS (48.1% third-down conversion rate) this season. With the ball, however, the Ducks ranks 23rd-best, averaging a 46.0% third-down conversion rate. Oregon has forced 20 total turnovers (24th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 10 times (eighth in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +10, the eighth-best in college football.

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North Carolina

North Carolina ranks 16th-worst in total yards allowed per game on defense (438.2), but at least it has been excelling on offense, ranking 14th-best in total yards per game (473.7). North Carolina’s defense ranks 103rd in the FBS with 31.0 points surrendered per game, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks 23rd-best by accumulating 35.0 points per game. While North Carolina’s pass defense has been sputtering, ranking 11th-worst by surrendering 276.4 passing yards per game, its offense ranks seventh-best with 317.2 passing yards per contest. In terms of rushing, North Carolina ranks 63rd in the FBS on offense (156.5 rushing yards per game) and 82nd defensively (161.8 rushing yards allowed per game). North Carolina’s third-down offense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 13th-best in the FBS with a 47.3% third-down conversion rate. In terms of defense, it is ceding a 41.8% third-down rate, which ranks 98th. With 13 forced turnovers (96th in the FBS) and 14 turnovers committed (36th in the FBS) this season, North Carolina ranks 100th in the FBS with a turnover margin of -1.

Oregon vs. North Carolina Betting Analysis

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Oregon Betting Insights

Oregon is 8-4-0 against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 13 points or more, Oregon has gone 5-0 against the spread. Oregon games have gone over the total seven times this season. The Ducks are 8-1 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 88.9% of those games). The Ducks are 4-1 (winning 83.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -507 or shorter.

Tar Heels Betting Insights

North Carolina has put together a record of 5-7-1 against the spread this year. North Carolina games have gone over the total six times this season. This season, the Tar Heels have been the underdog four times and won three of those games. The Tar Heels have played as an underdog of +379 or more once this season and won that game.

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Oregon vs. North Carolina Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 63.1 64.6 61.1
Implied Total AVG 38.2 38.4 37.8
ATS Record 8-4-0 5-2-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 4-3-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-1 4-1 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 1-1 0-1

Tar Heels

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 62.7 59.5 66.3
Implied Total AVG 36.5 36.7 36.2
ATS Record 5-7-1 2-5-0 3-2-1
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 4-3-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-3 2-3 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-1 0-1 3-0

Players to Watch


  • As part of the Ducks’ defensive unit, Bennett Williams has collected 69 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 11 games.
  • As part of the Ducks’ defensive unit, Christian Gonzalez has recorded one TFL, 49 tackles, and four interceptions in 11 games.
  • With 53 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and one interception in 11 games, Noah Sewell has been a significant piece of the Ducks’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • With 46 tackles and three interceptions, Trikweze Bridges has helped carry the Ducks’ defense over 11 games.

Tar Heels

  • Cedric Gray has been wreaking havoc on defense, totaling two interceptions to go with 136 tackles, nine TFL, one sack, and five passes defended for the Tar Heels.
  • Power Echols has been wreaking havoc on defense, recording 98 tackles, four TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended for the Tar Heels.
  • Deandre Boykins has been wreaking havoc on defense, amassing two sacks to go with four TFL, 60 tackles, and one interception for the Tar Heels.
  • The Tar Heels’ Storm Duck has totaled 46 tackles, one TFL, and three interceptions in 12 games.

Oregon vs. North Carolina Predictions and Pick

Oregon vs. North Carolina betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tar Heels (+13)

    Pick OU:

    Under (76)

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How to Bet on Oregon vs. North Carolina

You can bet on Oregon vs. North Carolina at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Oregon vs. North Carolina picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Oregon, and we project that North Carolina will cover the spread (Oregon -13). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 76 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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