Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The No. 9 Ole Miss Rebels (5-0) face an SEC matchup versus the Vanderbilt Commodores (3-2).

Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 17 points, with oddsmakers listing Ole Miss as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Ole Miss has -865 odds to pick up the win, while Vanderbilt is listed at +571 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 60 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Vanderbilt Stadium

Betting Preview

Ole Miss

Ole Miss ranks 26th in total defense this season (315.6 yards allowed per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking 25th-best in the FBS with 470.2 total yards per game. On defense, Ole Miss has been a top-25 unit, ranking seventh-best by giving up only 11.8 points per game. The offense ranks 28th (37.2 points per game). Ole Miss is averaging 208.4 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 97th in the FBS. The defense ranks 37th, surrendering 198.6 passing yards per game. Offensively, Ole Miss has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking fourth-best in the FBS by totaling 261.8 per game. The Rebels rank 39th on defense (117.0 rushing yards allowed per game). Ole Miss owns the 42nd-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (33.8% third-down conversion rate allowed), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 14th-best with a 50.0% third-down conversion rate. With nine forced turnovers (29th in the FBS) against seven turnovers committed (61st in the FBS), Ole Miss’ +2+2 turnover margin ranks 40th in college football.

Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in total defense this season, ceding 457.2 total yards per game, which ranks 10th-worst. On offense, it ranks 90th with 375.2 total yards per contest. Vanderbilt’s defense has been bottom-25 in scoring defense this season, surrendering 33.8 points per game, which ranks 17th-worst in the FBS. On the offensive side of the ball, it ranks 47th with 34.2 points per contest. Vanderbilt has been outplayed on both offense and defense in terms of passing this season, ranking 24th-worst in passing yards (198.6 per game) and sixth-worst in passing yards surrendered (299.2 per game). Vanderbilt ranks 49th in the FBS with 176.6 rushing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 89th with 158.0 rushing yards surrendered per game on defense. Vanderbilt ranks 13th-worst in third-down conversion rate (31.2%), but it has been better on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 67th in the FBS with a 37.3% third-down rate allowed. After forcing six turnovers (85th in the FBS) and turning the ball over four times (15th in the FBS) this season, Vanderbilt owns the 40th-ranked turnover margin of +2.

Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt Betting Analysis

Ole Miss Betting Insights

Ole Miss is 2-3-0 against the spread this season. In games it has played as 17-point favorites or more, Ole Miss has an ATS record of 2-2. This season, Ole Miss games have hit the over once. The Rebels have not yet lost when playing as the moneyline favorite this season, going 5-0. The Rebels have played three times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -865 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.

Commodores Betting Insights

Vanderbilt has registered a win-loss record of 2-3-0 against the spread this season. Vanderbilt has not covered the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 17-point underdogs. Vanderbilt games have gone over the total four times this season. The Commodores have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Commodores have played as an underdog of +571 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt Against The Spread & Betting Records

Ole Miss

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.0 59.4 62.5
Implied Total AVG 40.4 40.5 40.0
ATS Record 2-3-0 1-3-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 1-4-0 1-3-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-0 4-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Commodores

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.0 58.0 58.0
Implied Total AVG 37.6 37.0 38.0
ATS Record 2-3-0 0-2-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-1-0 2-0-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-1 1-0

Players to Watch

Ole Miss

  • The Rebels’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of A.J. Finley, who has played five games and registered 29 tackles and one interception.
  • The Rebels’ defense has been aided by the play of Troy Brown, who has played five games and delivered 0.5 sacks to go with 35 tackles.
  • As part of the Rebels’ defensive unit, Austin Keys has amassed 19 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks in five games.
  • With 1.0 sack to go along with 3.0 TFL and 17 tackles, Ladarius Tennison has helped lead the Rebels’ defense over five games.

Commodores

  • In five games for the Commodores, Anfernee Orji has delivered 1.0 TFL and 27 tackles.
  • The Commodores’ Max Worship has registered 16 tackles in five games.
  • The Commodores’ BJ Anderson has posted 13 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in five games.
  • De’Rickey Wright has amassed 1.0 TFL, 11 tackles, and one interception in five games for the Commodores.

Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt Predictions and Pick

Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Commodores (+17)

    Pick OU:

    Under (60)

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How to Bet on Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt

You can bet on Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Ole Miss, and we predict that Vanderbilt will cover the spread (Ole Miss -17). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 60 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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