Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech Taxact Texas Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 28, 2022

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The Ole Miss Rebels will battle the Texas Tech Red Raiders in the Taxact Texas Bowl.

Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with bookmakers listing Ole Miss as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Ole Miss has -196 odds to pick up the win, while Texas Tech is listed at +158 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 72.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech Live?

  • Game Day: Wednesday, December 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: NRG Stadium

Betting Preview

Ole Miss

Ole Miss ranks 70th in total defense this season (379.8 yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking ninth-best in the FBS with 491.3 total yards per game. Ole Miss is averaging 34.2 points per game on offense (26th in the FBS), and ranks 51st on the other side of the ball with 24.2 points allowed per game. Ole Miss is putting up 229.7 passing yards per game offensively this year (65th in the FBS), and is allowing 218.0 passing yards per game (56th) on the defensive side of the ball. On offense, Ole Miss has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking third-best in the FBS by putting up 261.6 per game. The Rebels rank 82nd on defense (161.8 rushing yards allowed per game). Ole Miss owns the 71st-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (39.0% third-down percentage allowed), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 11th-best with a 47.7% third-down conversion rate. With 16 forced turnovers (64th in the FBS) against 15 turnovers committed (43rd in the FBS), Ole Miss’ +1+1 turnover margin ranks 55th in college football.

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Texas Tech

Texas Tech’s offensive attack has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 23rd-best in the FBS with 459.4 total yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is allowing 414.3 total yards per game, which ranks 100th. With 33.6 points per game on offense, Texas Tech ranks 29th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 97th, giving up 29.5 points per game. Texas Tech’s pass offense has been thriving, putting up 307.0 passing yards per contest (12th-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 99th by surrendering 248.0 passing yards per game. Texas Tech ranks 66th in the FBS with 152.4 rushing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 88th with 166.3 rushing yards surrendered per contest on the defensive side of the ball. From an offensive angle, Texas Tech is posting a 36.5% third-down conversion percentage (95th-ranked). It ranks 67th in the FBS defensively (38.6% third-down rate allowed). Texas Tech sports a -8 turnover margin this season, which ranks 100th in the FBS.

Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech Betting Analysis

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Ole Miss Betting Insights

Ole Miss has covered the spread in a game four times this season (4-7-1). In games this season when favored by 5 points or more, Ole Miss has gone 3-4 against the spread. Games involving Ole Miss have hit the over six times this season. The Rebels have gone 8-2 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 80% of those games). The Rebels have won all seven games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -196 or shorter.

Red Raiders Betting Insights

Texas Tech has covered the spread in a game seven times this season (7-5-0). Texas Tech has an ATS record of 2-3 when playing as at least 5-point underdogs. Games involving Texas Tech have hit the over on seven occasions this year. The Red Raiders have entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won three of those games. The Red Raiders are 1-3 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +158 or more on the moneyline.

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Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech Against The Spread & Betting Records

Ole Miss

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.8 60.1 61.8
Implied Total AVG 36.8 38.3 34.6
ATS Record 4-7-1 2-5-0 2-2-1
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 2-5-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-2 5-1 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Red Raiders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 61.1 62.7 58.9
Implied Total AVG 34.8 35.6 33.8
ATS Record 7-5-0 5-2-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 7-4-1 5-1-1 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 3-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-4 2-0 1-4

Players to Watch

Ole Miss

  • Troy Brown has helped carry the Rebels’ defense with 93 tackles and two TFL in 11 games.
  • As part of the Rebels’ defense, Otis Reese has compiled two sacks to go with four TFL, 76 tackles, and one interception in 11 games.
  • With 64 tackles, three TFL, and two interceptions in 11 games, A.J. Finley has been an important piece of the Rebels’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • An important piece of the Rebels’ defense, Tysheem Johnson has 71 tackles, three TFL, and two passes defended in 11 games.

Red Raiders

  • As a key defensive contributor, the Red Raiders’ Krishon Merriweather has delivered 100 tackles, three TFL, and one sack in 11 games.
  • In 11 games for the Red Raiders, Kosi Eldridge has collected one interception to go with 76 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks.
  • In 11 games for the Red Raiders, Dadrion Taylor has compiled 61 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and two interceptions.
  • The Red Raiders’ Reggie Pearson Jr. has delivered 55 tackles and two interceptions in 11 games.

Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech Predictions and Pick

Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Red Raiders (+5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (72.5)

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How to Bet on Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech

You can bet on Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Ole Miss, and we predict that Texas Tech will cover the spread (Ole Miss -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 72.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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