Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 24, 2022

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The No. 20 Ole Miss Rebels (8-3) and the Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-4) take the field for the 2022 edition of the Egg Bowl.

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing Ole Miss as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Ole Miss has -134 odds to pick up the win, while Mississippi State is listed at +109 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 63 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, November 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Oxford, Mississippi
  • Stadium: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Betting Preview

Ole Miss

Offensively, Ole Miss has been a top-25 unit, ranking fourth-best in the FBS by totaling 505.5 yards per game. The defense ranks 75th (383.8 yards allowed per game). Ole Miss ranks 47th in scoring defense this season (24.2 points allowed per game), but has been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 24th-best in the FBS with 35.3 points per game. Ole Miss is totaling 227.3 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 70th in the FBS. The defense ranks 52nd, allowing 216.1 passing yards per contest. Ole Miss ranks 90th in run defense this year (167.7 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the FBS with 278.2 rushing yards per game. Ole Miss ranks 55th in third-down defense this year (37.3% third-down conversion rate allowed), but has been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 10th-best in the FBS with a 50.3% third-down percentage. With 14 forced turnovers (82nd in the FBS) against 15 turnovers committed (61st in the FBS), Ole Miss’ -1-1 turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.

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Mississippi State

Mississippi State ranks 61st with 398.4 total yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 39th with 351.6 total yards ceded per contest on the defensive side of the ball. Mississippi State ranks 33rd in the FBS with 33.5 points per contest on offense, and it ranks 48th with 24.4 points allowed per contest on defense. Mississippi State’s pass offense has been consistently moving the chains, compiling 320.2 passing yards per contest (ninth-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 34th by surrendering 202.2 passing yards per game. Mississippi State’s rushing offense has been bottom-25 this season, compiling 78.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 69th with 149.5 rushing yards conceded per contest. Mississippi State is posting a 37.7% third-down conversion percentage on offense this season (83rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing a 35.1% third-down rate (38th-ranked) on defense. Mississippi State owns a +6 turnover margin this season, which ranks 26th in the FBS.

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Betting Analysis

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Ole Miss Betting Insights

Ole Miss has put together a record of 4-6-1 against the spread this season. Ole Miss is 3-4-1 ATS when playing as at least 2-point favorites. Games involving Ole Miss have hit the over six times this season. The Rebels have gone 8-1 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 88.9% of those games). The Rebels have played in eight games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -134 or shorter and won them all.

Bulldogs Betting Insights

Mississippi State have put together a 5-5-1 record against the spread this year. Mississippi State has yet to cover the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 2-point underdogs. This season, Mississippi State games have hit the over seven times. The Bulldogs have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Bulldogs have a record of 0-2 when they’re set as an underdog of +109 or more by sportsbooks this season.

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Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Ole Miss

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.6 59.6 61.8
Implied Total AVG 37.1 39.2 34.6
ATS Record 4-6-1 2-4-0 2-2-1
Over/Under Record 6-5-0 2-4-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-1 5-0 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Bulldogs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.4 53.6 55.8
Implied Total AVG 34.9 36.1 32.8
ATS Record 5-5-1 4-2-1 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 7-4-0 7-0-0 0-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 5-0 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Players to Watch

Ole Miss

  • Otis Reese has helped spur the Rebels’ defense with 66 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in 11 games.
  • With two interceptions to go with 63 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two passes defended in 11 games, A.J. Finley has been an important part of the Rebels’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • With 71 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks in 11 games, Troy Brown has been a big part of the Rebels’ defense in 2022.
  • Jared Ivey has been a key part of the Rebels’ defensive unit in 2022, with 30 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in 11 games.

Bulldogs

  • On defense, Nathaniel Watson has helped set the tone with one interception to go with 85 tackles, 5.0 TFL, four sacks, and one pass defended in 11 games.
  • On defense, Tyrus Wheat has helped lead the charge with 38 tackles, 6.0 TFL, five sacks, and one interception in 11 games.
  • Jett Johnson has 1.0 sack to go with 4.0 TFL and 65 tackles in 11 games.
  • Collin Duncan has registered one interception to go with 36 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended In 11 games for the Bulldogs.

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Predictions and Pick

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Rebels (-2)

    Pick OU:

    Under (63)

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How to Bet on Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State

You can bet on Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Ole Miss, and we expect that Ole Miss will cover the spread (Ole Miss -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 63 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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