Oklahoma vs. TCU Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The No. 18 Oklahoma Sooners (3-1) have a Big 12 matchup with the TCU Horned Frogs (3-0).

Oklahoma vs. TCU Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with sportsbooks listing Oklahoma as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Oklahoma has -206 odds to pick up the win, while TCU is listed at +169 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 69.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Oklahoma vs. TCU Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium

Betting Preview

Oklahoma

On offense, Oklahoma has been a top-25 unit, ranking seventh-best in the FBS by averaging 513.0 yards per game. The defense ranks 62nd (361.8 yards allowed per game). Oklahoma sports the 28th-ranked defense this year (17.8 points allowed per game), and has been better on offense, ranking 23rd-best with 40.3 points per game. Oklahoma is putting up 281.8 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 34th in the FBS. The defense ranks 46th, allowing 204.3 passing yards per game. Oklahoma sports the 85th-ranked defense this season in terms of rushing yards (157.5 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been better on offense, ranking 12th-best with 231.3 rushing yards per game. Oklahoma is putting up a 40.8% third-down conversion rate on offense (64th in the FBS), and ranks 75th defensively with a 38.5% third-down percentage allowed. With five forced turnovers (81st in the FBS) against one turnover committed (second in the FBS), Oklahoma’s +4 turnover margin is the 19th-best in college football.

TCU

TCU’s defense ranks 68th in the FBS with 373.0 total yards given up per contest, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks ninth-best by accumulating 510.0 total yards per contest. TCU’s offensive attack has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks ninth-best in the FBS with 46.3 points per contest. In terms of defense, it is ceding 21.3 points per game, which ranks 50th. TCU’s defense has been bottom-25 in pass defense this season, allowing 272.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 24th-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 26th with 294.7 passing yards per contest. TCU’s rushing attack has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 21st-best in the FBS with 215.3 rushing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is ceding 100.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 29th. TCU ranks 21st-worst in third-down conversion percentage allowed (43.5%), but at least it has been excelling on the other side of the ball, ranking 18th-best in third-down rate (50.0%). TCU sports a +3 turnover margin this season, which ranks 30th in the FBS.

Oklahoma vs. TCU Betting Analysis

Oklahoma Betting Insights

Oklahoma has covered the spread twice over four games with a set spread. Oklahoma is 2-2 ATS when playing as at least 5-point favorites. Games involving Oklahoma have hit the over once this season. The Sooners have been the moneyline favorite four total times this season. They’ve gone 3-1 in those games. When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -206 or shorter, the Sooners have a 0-1 record (winning 75% of their games).

Horned Frogs Betting Insights

TCU has covered the spread three times this year (3-0-0). Games involving TCU have hit the over twice this season. The Horned Frogs have not played a game this season while listed as the underdog. The Horned Frogs have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +169.

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Oklahoma vs. TCU Against The Spread & Betting Records

Oklahoma

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 62.3 61.2 65.5
Implied Total AVG 42.5 44.0 38.0
ATS Record 2-2-0 1-2-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 1-2-1 1-1-1 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Horned Frogs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 65.8 66.5 65.5
Implied Total AVG 42.3 53.0 37.0
ATS Record 3-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 1-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Oklahoma

  • As part of the Sooners’ defense, Reggie Grimes has recorded 10 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and four sacks in four games.
  • David Ugwoegbu has helped carry the Sooners’ defense with 1.0 sack to go along with 2.0 TFL and 26 tackles in four games.
  • As part of the Sooners’ defensive unit, Danny Stutsman has compiled 25 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in four games.
  • Billy Bowman has been a significant contributor to the Sooners’ defense in 2022, with 21 tackles in four games.

Horned Frogs

  • As a key defensive contributor, the Horned Frogs’ Jamoi Hodge has totaled 18 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks in three games.
  • In three games for the Horned Frogs, Dee Winters has amassed 10 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks.
  • Josh Newton has been causing chaos on defense, registering 2.0 TFL, six tackles, and two interceptions for the Horned Frogs.
  • Abraham Camara has collected 12 tackles and one interception in three games for the Horned Frogs.

Oklahoma vs. TCU Predictions and Pick

Oklahoma vs. TCU betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Horned Frogs (+5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (69.5)

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How to Bet on Oklahoma vs. TCU

You can bet on Oklahoma vs. TCU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Oklahoma vs. TCU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is TCU, and we predict that TCU will cover the spread (Oklahoma -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 69.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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