North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The North Carolina Tar Heels (3-1) face an ACC matchup versus the Virginia Tech Hokies (2-2).

North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with oddsmakers listing North Carolina as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Carolina has -339 odds to pick up the win, while Virginia Tech is listed at +260 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 56 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ACC Network
  • Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Stadium: Kenan Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview

North Carolina

North Carolina has struggled on defense, ranking sixth-worst in the FBS (495.3 yards allowed per game) this season. However, the defense ranks 16th-best, yielding an average of 502.3 yards per game. North Carolina sports the eighth-best offense this season in terms of points scored (46.5 points per game), but ranks ninth-worst on the defensive side of the ball (39.5 points allowed per game). While North Carolina ranks 19th-worst in the FBS in passing defense with 278.8 passing yards allowed per game, it’s been a different situation on the other side of the ball, as the offensive unit ranks 19th-best in the FBS (307.8 passing yards per game). With 216.5 rushing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks ninth-worst in the FBS, North Carolina has been forced to rely on their 33rd-ranked running game (194.5 rushing yards per contest) to keep them in games. North Carolina has the ninth-best offense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (52.8% third-down percentage), but ranks 20th-worst defensively (43.6% third-down conversion rate). North Carolina ranks 100th in college football with a -1 turnover margin after forcing 4 turnovers (99th in the FBS) and committing five (49th in the FBS).

Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech ranks 105th in the FBS with 331.8 total yards per contest, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 10th-best by allowing just 255.0 total yards per contest. Virginia Tech ranks 19th-worst in points per game (20.3), but it has been more productive defensively, ranking 26th in the FBS with 17.5 points allowed per contest. Virginia Tech’s pass defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 20th-best in the FBS with 170.0 passing yards ceded per game. In terms of offense, it is generating 217.0 passing yards per game, which ranks 91st. Virginia Tech ranks 24th-worst in rushing yards per game on offense (114.8), but at least it has been shutting down opposing offenses on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 14th-best in rushing yards allowed per game (85.0). Virginia Tech ranks 103rd in the FBS with a 33.9% third-down conversion rate, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks fourth-best by allowing a 21.8% third-down rate. Virginia Tech has a -2 turnover margin this season, which ranks 100th in the FBS.

North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech Betting Analysis

North Carolina Betting Insights

North Carolina has put together a record of 1-2-1 against the spread this season. North Carolina is winless against the spread when it has played as 9.5-point or greater favorites (0-1). This season, three North Carolina games have gone over the point total. The Tar Heels have been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games. The Tar Heels have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -339 or shorter.

Hokies Betting Insights

Virginia Tech has gone 1-3-0 against the spread this season. This year, not one Virginia Tech’s games have hit the over. The Hokies lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Hokies have played as an underdog of +260 or more once this season and won that game.

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North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech Against The Spread & Betting Records

North Carolina

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.0 55.8 60.3
Implied Total AVG 36.5 40.0 33.0
ATS Record 1-2-1 0-2-0 1-0-1
Over/Under Record 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 0-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

Hokies

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.4 47.0 48.5
Implied Total AVG 29.8 30.7 27.0
ATS Record 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 0-4-0 0-3-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-1 0-0

Players to Watch

North Carolina

  • The Tar Heels’ defense has been helped by Power Echols, who has played four games and compiled 19 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks.
  • Noah Taylor has helped lead the Tar Heels’ defense with 2.5 sacks to go along with 3.0 TFL and nine tackles in four games.
  • As part of the Tar Heels’ defense, Cedric Gray has totaled one interception to go along with 19 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended in four games.
  • The Tar Heels’ defense has been aided by the play of Kaimon Rucker, who has suited up for four games, registering 2.0 sacks to go with 1.0 TFL and eight tackles.

Hokies

  • Dax Hollifield has delivered 29 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in four games for the Hokies.
  • On defense, TyJuan Garbutt has helped lead the charge with nine tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in four games.
  • Chamarri Conner has been wreaking havoc on defense, amassing 1.0 TFL and 26 tackles for the Hokies.
  • C.J. McCray has registered 2.0 sacks to go with 1.0 TFL and 11 tackles in four games for the Hokies.

North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech Predictions and Pick

North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tar Heels (-9.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (56)

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How to Bet on North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech

You can bet on North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is North Carolina, and we predict that North Carolina will cover the spread (North Carolina -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 56 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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