North Carolina vs. Virginia Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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ACC rivals will clash when the No. 17 North Carolina Tar Heels (7-1) meet the Virginia Cavaliers (3-5).

North Carolina vs. Virginia Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with sportsbooks listing North Carolina as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Carolina has -303 odds to pick up the win, while Virginia is listed at +235 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 60.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch North Carolina vs. Virginia Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ACC Network
  • Location: Charlottesville, Virginia
  • Stadium: Scott Stadium

Betting Preview

North Carolina

While North Carolina ranks 10th-worst in the FBS in total defense with 462.6 yards allowed per game, it’s been a different story offensively, as the Tar Heels rank seventh-best in the FBS (502.0 yards per game). North Carolina has struggled defensively, ranking 22nd-worst in the FBS (31.4 points allowed per game) this season. However, the defensive unit ranks sixth-best offensively, totaling 41.8 points per game. North Carolina has struggled on defense against the pass, ranking 10th-worst in the FBS (283.3 passing yards allowed per game) this season. However, the Tar Heels rank sixth-best on the other side of the ball, averaging 334.4 passing yards per game. North Carolina is putting up 167.6 rushing yards per game on offense (56th in the FBS), and ranks 102nd on the other side of the ball with 179.4 rushing yards allowed per game. North Carolina ranks 100th in third-down defense this season (42.3% third-down percentage allowed), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking 14th-best in the FBS with a 50.0% third-down percentage. North Carolina has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at even, forcing nine turnovers (96th in the FBS) while turning it over nine times (28th in the FBS).

Virginia

From an offensive standpoint, Virginia is putting up 359.8 total yards per game (93rd-ranked). It ranks 32nd in the FBS on the other side of the ball (340.4 total yards given up per game). Virginia has been sputtering offensively, ranking ninth-worst in the FBS with 16.9 points per game. It has been better on defense, allowing 21.5 points per contest (30th-ranked). Virginia is generating 228.3 passing yards per contest on offense this season (78th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 192.9 passing yards per game (26th-ranked) on defense. Virginia is compiling 131.5 rushing yards per game on offense this season (91st-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 147.5 rushing yards per game (71st-ranked) on defense. Virginia’s offense has been sputtering on third down, ranking 18th-worst in the FBS with a 32.1% third-down conversion percentage. It has been more productive on defense, allowing a 35.2% third-down rate (40th-ranked). At -6, Virginia sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 13 forced turnovers (45th in the FBS) and 19 turnovers committed (125th in the FBS).

North Carolina vs. Virginia Betting Analysis

North Carolina Betting Insights

North Carolina is 4-3-1 against the spread this season. In games it has played as 7-point favorites or more, North Carolina has an ATS record of 1-2-1. North Carolina games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season. The Tar Heels have won 80% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (4-1). The Tar Heels have played as a moneyline favorite of -303 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Cavaliers Betting Insights

Virginia have registered a 3-5-0 record against the spread this year. Virginia is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 7-point underdogs. Virginia games have gone over the total twice this season. The Cavaliers have been underdogs in five games this season and won one (20%) of those contests. The Cavaliers have played as an underdog of +235 or more once this season and lost that game.

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North Carolina vs. Virginia Against The Spread & Betting Records

North Carolina

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 61.6 58.6 64.5
Implied Total AVG 36.1 37.0 35.3
ATS Record 4-3-1 2-2-0 2-1-1
Over/Under Record 5-3-0 3-1-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 2-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 0-0 2-0

Cavaliers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.6 52.4 52.8
Implied Total AVG 29.9 30.8 29.0
ATS Record 3-5-0 1-3-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-6-0 1-3-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 0-1 1-3

Players to Watch

North Carolina

  • Cedric Gray has hit the gridiron for eight games, recording 2.0 TFL, 53 tackles, and two interceptions for the Tar Heels.
  • Power Echols has hit the gridiron for eight games, compiling 52 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended for the Tar Heels.
  • The Tar Heels’ defense has been helped by DeAndre Boykins, who has played eight games and compiled one interception to go along with 26 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended.
  • An important contributor to the Tar Heels’ defense, Noah Taylor has 22 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in eight games.

Cavaliers

  • Nick Jackson has compiled 65 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks in eight games for the Cavaliers.
  • The Cavaliers’ Chico Bennett Jr. has registered 7.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 31 tackles in eight games.
  • Jonas Sanker has 46 tackles and one interception in eight games.
  • Anthony Johnson has collected two interceptions to go with 40 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three passes defended In eight games for the Cavaliers.

North Carolina vs. Virginia Predictions and Pick

North Carolina vs. Virginia betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tar Heels (-7)

    Pick OU:

    Under (60.5)

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How to Bet on North Carolina vs. Virginia

You can bet on North Carolina vs. Virginia at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Carolina vs. Virginia picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is North Carolina, and we predict that North Carolina will cover the spread (North Carolina -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 60.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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