North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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ACC opponents will meet when the No. 21 North Carolina Tar Heels (6-1) meet the Pittsburgh Panthers (4-3).

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing North Carolina as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Carolina has -152 odds to pick up the win, while Pittsburgh is listed at +125 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 65.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ACC Network
  • Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Stadium: Kenan Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview

North Carolina

North Carolina sports the eighth-best offense this season in terms of total yards (506.0 yards per game), but rank sixth-worst on defense (476.3 yards allowed per game). While North Carolina ranks 19th-worst in the FBS in scoring defense with 32.4 points allowed per game, the team has been better with the ball, ranking eighth-best in the FBS in scoring (41.7 points per game). North Carolina has struggled defensively against the pass, ranking sixth-worst in the FBS (290.0 passing yards allowed per game) this season. However, the Tar Heels rank ninth-best on the other side of the ball, averaging 326.7 passing yards per game. With 186.3 rushing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 22nd-worst in the FBS, North Carolina has been forced to lean on their 44th-ranked running game (179.3 rushing yards per contest) to keep them competitive. North Carolina has the 99th-ranked defense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (42.7% third-down percentage allowed), and has been better offensively, ranking 11th-best with a 51.6% third-down conversion rate. North Carolina has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -1, forcing eight turnovers (98th in the FBS) while turning it over nine times (39th in the FBS).

Pittsburgh

In terms of total offense, Pittsburgh ranks 60th in the FBS (415.6 total yards per game) and 26th on defense (333.6 total yards allowed per game). In terms of points scored Pittsburgh ranks 57th in the FBS (31.4 points per game), and it is 64th on the other side of the ball (25.9 points allowed per game). From an offensive angle, Pittsburgh is compiling 226.1 passing yards per game (82nd-ranked). It ranks 43rd in the FBS defensively (208.7 passing yards allowed per game). Pittsburgh is compiling 189.4 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (37th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 124.9 rushing yards per contest (39th-ranked) on defense. With a 38.7% third-down conversion percentage on offense, Pittsburgh ranks 74th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 32nd, surrendering a 33.3% third-down rate. After forcing 10 turnovers (74th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 12 times (85th in the FBS) this season, Pittsburgh has the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -2.

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Betting Analysis

North Carolina Betting Insights

North Carolina is 3-3-1 against the spread this season. North Carolina has 1-3-1 ATS when playing as at least 3-point favorites. North Carolina games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season. The Tar Heels have been the moneyline favorite four total times this season. They’ve finished 3-1 in those games. The Tar Heels have played in three games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -152 or shorter and won each of them.

Panthers Betting Insights

Pittsburgh has covered the spread two times in seven games with a set number. Pittsburgh is winless against the spread when it has played as 3-point underdogs or more (0-1). Pittsburgh’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this year. The Panthers have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Panthers have played as an underdog of +125 or more once this season and lost that game.

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North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Against The Spread & Betting Records

North Carolina

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 61.0 56.3 64.5
Implied Total AVG 36.4 38.0 35.3
ATS Record 3-3-1 1-2-0 2-1-1
Over/Under Record 4-3-0 2-1-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 1-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 0-0 2-0

Panthers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.0 52.5 50.8
Implied Total AVG 32.9 34.6 28.5
ATS Record 2-5-0 1-4-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-2-1 3-1-1 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Players to Watch

North Carolina

  • Power Echols has helped spur the Tar Heels’ defense with 48 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks in seven games.
  • As part of the Tar Heels’ defensive unit, Cedric Gray has amassed 2.0 TFL, 44 tackles, and two interceptions in seven games.
  • As part of the Tar Heels’ defensive unit, DeAndre Boykins has delivered one interception to go along with 24 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in seven games.
  • A key contributor to the Tar Heels’ defensive unit, Noah Taylor has 21 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in seven games.

Panthers

  • In seven games for the Panthers, Sirvocea Dennis has registered 4.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 27 tackles.
  • The Panthers’ Calijah Kancey has compiled 3.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 15 tackles in seven games.
  • The Panthers’ Erick Hallett has registered three interceptions to go with 13 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and four passes defended in seven games.
  • With 24 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in seven games, Bangally Kamara has been wreaking havoc on defense for the Panthers.

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Predictions and Pick

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tar Heels (-3)

    Pick OU:

    Under (65.5)

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How to Bet on North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh

You can bet on North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is North Carolina, and we expect that North Carolina will cover the spread (North Carolina -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 65.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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