North Carolina vs. NC State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 25, 2022

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The No. 18 North Carolina Tar Heels (9-2) have an ACC matchup against the NC State Wolf Pack (7-4).

North Carolina vs. NC State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with oddsmakers listing North Carolina as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Carolina has -249 odds to pick up the win, while NC State is listed at +199 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 56 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch North Carolina vs. NC State Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, November 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Stadium: Kenan Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview

North Carolina

While North Carolina ranks 10th-worst in the FBS in total defense with 452.9 yards allowed per game, it’s been a different story on offense, as the Tar Heels rank seventh-best in the FBS (492.7 yards per game). North Carolina sports the 105th-ranked defense this season (30.4 points allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 13th-best with 38.0 points per game. North Carolina sports the sixth-best offense this season in terms of passing yards (328.9 passing yards per game), but ranks 16th-worst on defense (273.2 passing yards allowed per game). North Carolina is putting up 163.8 rushing yards per game offensively this season (57th in the FBS), and is giving up 179.7 rushing yards per game (98th) on defense. North Carolina ranks 106th in third-down defense this year (43.0% third-down conversion rate allowed), but has been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 13th-best in the FBS with a 49.3% third-down percentage. North Carolina ranks 51st in college football with a +2 turnover margin after forcing 12 turnovers (101st in the FBS) and committing 10 (12th in the FBS).

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NC State

NC State has been excelling on defense, surrendering only 323.4 total yards per contest (21st-best). On offense, it ranks 102nd by accumulating 344.7 total yards per game. NC State’s defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 15th-best in the FBS with 18.7 points surrendered per game. In terms of offense, it is putting up 24.9 points per game, which ranks 87th. With 218.1 passing yards per game on offense, NC State ranks 83rd in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 66th, allowing 222.0 passing yards per game. NC State’s run defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks ninth-best in the FBS with 101.4 rushing yards conceded per game. In terms of offense, it is accumulating 126.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks 99th. NC State ranks 81st in the FBS with a 38.3% third-down conversion rate, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 18th-best by giving up a 32.0% third-down rate. NC State sports a +6 turnover margin this season, which ranks 26th in the FBS.

North Carolina vs. NC State Betting Analysis

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North Carolina Betting Insights

North Carolina is 5-5-1 against the spread this season. North Carolina has an ATS record of 1-4-1 when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites. This season, North Carolina games have hit the over five times. The Tar Heels have gone 5-2 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 71.4% of those games). The Tar Heels have a 3-1 record (winning 80% of their games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -249 or shorter.

Wolf Pack Betting Insights

NC State has covered the spread in a matchup three times this year (3-8-0). NC State is winless against the spread when it has played as 6.5-point underdogs or more (0-1). NC State games have gone over the total four times this season. The Wolf Pack have been underdogs in four games this season and won one (25%) of those contests. The Wolf Pack are 0-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +199 or more on the moneyline.

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North Carolina vs. NC State Against The Spread & Betting Records

North Carolina

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 63.2 59.4 66.3
Implied Total AVG 37.0 38.0 36.2
ATS Record 5-5-1 2-3-0 3-2-1
Over/Under Record 5-6-0 3-2-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-2 2-2 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-0 0-0 3-0

Wolf Pack

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.9 49.1 45.8
Implied Total AVG 31.2 34.0 26.3
ATS Record 3-8-0 3-4-0 0-4-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-1 3-3-1 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-0 0-3

Players to Watch

North Carolina

  • As part of the Tar Heels’ defensive unit, Cedric Gray has recorded 81 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 11 games.
  • Power Echols has helped spur the Tar Heels’ defense with 2.0 sacks to go along with 5.0 TFL and 66 tackles in 11 games.
  • With 37 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 11 games, DeAndre Boykins has been a big part of the Tar Heels’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • A big piece of the Tar Heels’ defensive unit, Storm Duck has three interceptions to go with 25 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five passes defended in 11 games.

Wolf Pack

  • Drake Thomas has been wreaking havoc on defense, amassing 60 tackles, 11.0 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and one pass defended for the Wolf Pack.
  • Isaiah Moore has been doing his part on defense, compiling 44 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and three sacks for the Wolf Pack.
  • Aydan White has 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 24 tackles, and four interceptions in 11 games.
  • Payton Wilson has totaled one interception to go with 37 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one pass defended In 11 games for the Wolf Pack.

North Carolina vs. NC State Predictions and Pick

North Carolina vs. NC State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Wolf Pack (+6.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (56)

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How to Bet on North Carolina vs. NC State

You can bet on North Carolina vs. NC State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Carolina vs. NC State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is North Carolina, and we expect that NC State will cover the spread (North Carolina -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 56 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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