New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The New Mexico Lobos (2-4) square off against the New Mexico State Aggies (1-5) in college football action at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, New Mexico.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with bookmakers listing New Mexico as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, New Mexico has -281 odds to pick up the win, while New Mexico State is listed at +223 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 38.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FloSports
  • Location: Las Cruces, New Mexico
  • Stadium: Aggie Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview

New Mexico

New Mexico has been a bottom-25 offense this season, ranking fourth-worst with 257.2 yards per game. The defensive side of the ball is ranked 29th in the FBS (330.3 yards allowed per game). While New Mexico’s defense ranks 47th with 22.8 points allowed per game, the Lobos have been slightly less successful on offense, ranking 15th-worst (19.3 points per game). While New Mexico’s pass defense ranks 53rd with 214.3 passing yards allowed per game,the offense has been worse, ranking sixth-worst (118.5 passing yards per game). New Mexico ranks 89th in run offense (138.7 rushing yards per game) and 29th in run defense (116.0 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. While New Mexico ranks third-worst in the FBS in third-down percentage at 24.0%, it’s been a different story on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th-best (29.6% third-down percentage allowed). With 13 forced turnovers (eighth in the FBS) against nine turnovers committed (74th in the FBS), New Mexico’s +4 turnover margin is the 24th-best in college football.

New Mexico State

New Mexico State’s offense has been bottom-25 in total offense this season, compiling 265.5 total yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 83rd with 392.7 total yards surrendered per contest. New Mexico State has struggled on both offense and defense this season, ranking fourth-worst in points (14.0 per game) and 22nd-worst in points surrendered (32.3 per game). New Mexico State ranks seventh-worst in passing yards per game (121.0), but it has been more effective defensively, ranking 38th in the FBS with 201.7 passing yards ceded per contest. New Mexico State’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in run defense this season, surrendering 191.0 rushing yards per game, which ranks 18th-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 80th with 144.5 rushing yards per contest. In terms of third-down efficiency, this season has been difficult for New Mexico State on both sides of the ball, as it is putting up a 33.3% third-down conversion percentage (23rd-worst) and allowing a 43.4% conversion rate (25th-worst). New Mexico State has accumulated three forced turnovers (124th in the FBS) and committed 13 turnovers (117th in the FBS) this season for a -10 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Betting Analysis

New Mexico Betting Insights

New Mexico has covered the spread three times over six games with a set spread. This season, New Mexico games have hit the over three times. The Lobos have been listed as the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Lobos have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -281 or shorter.

Aggies Betting Insights

New Mexico State has registered a win-loss record of 2-4-0 against the spread this year. New Mexico State is 1-3 ATS when playing as at least 7-point underdogs. Games involving New Mexico State have hit the over twice this year. The Aggies have been the underdog in three games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. The Aggies have not won as an underdog of +223 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games.

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New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Against The Spread & Betting Records

New Mexico

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.5 40.1 44.3
Implied Total AVG 26.8 23.5 33.5
ATS Record 3-2-1 2-1-1 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-3-0 2-2-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 1-2 0-2


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.9 51.7 48.2
Implied Total AVG 35.2 30.7 39.7
ATS Record 2-4-0 1-2-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 1-2-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-1 0-2

Players to Watch

New Mexico

  • Cody Moon has hit the gridiron for six games, amassing 3.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 16 tackles for the Lobos.
  • Reco Hannah has helped spur the Lobos’ defense with 2.5 sacks to go along with 2.0 TFL, 10 tackles, and one interception in six games.
  • Jerrick Reed II has played six games, posting 19 tackles and 2.0 TFL for the Lobos.
  • Justin Harris, as part of the Lobos’ defensive unit, has posted 3.5 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 10 tackles in six games.


  • Chris Ojoh has posted 33 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in six games for the Aggies.
  • The Aggies’ Lazarus Williams has registered 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and seven tackles in six games.
  • Dylan Early has been causing chaos on defense, compiling 21 tackles for the Aggies.
  • The Aggies’ Bryce Jackson has compiled 20 tackles in six games.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Predictions and Pick

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Lobos (-7)

    Pick OU:

    Over (38.5)

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How to Bet on New Mexico vs. New Mexico State

You can bet on New Mexico vs. New Mexico State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s New Mexico vs. New Mexico State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is New Mexico, and we predict that New Mexico will cover the spread (New Mexico -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 38.5 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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