New Mexico State vs. UMass Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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FBS Independent foes will clash when the New Mexico State Aggies (2-5) face the UMass Minutemen (1-6).

New Mexico State vs. UMass Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with bookmakers listing New Mexico State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, New Mexico State has -126 odds to pick up the win, while UMass is listed at +103 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 38.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch New Mexico State vs. UMass Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN3
  • Location: Amherst, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Betting Preview

New Mexico State

While New Mexico State ranks 68th in total defense with 375.0 yards allowed per game, the team’s offensive unit has been slightly less successful, ranking fourth-worst (259.7 yards per game). While New Mexico State’s defense ranks 87th with 29.0 points allowed per game, the Aggies have been a little less successful on offense, ranking sixth-worst (15.0 points per game). New Mexico State ranks eighth-worst in passing offense (120.7 passing yards per game), but thas played a little better on defense, ranking 29th with 195.7 passing yards allowed per contest. From an offensive standpoint, New Mexico State ranks 82nd in the FBS with 139.0 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 102nd in rushing yards allowed per contest (179.3). New Mexico State ranks 17th-worst in third-down percentage (31.8%), but has been better on defense, ranking 75th with a 39.1% third-down conversion rate allowed. New Mexico State ranks 100th in college football with a -9 turnover margin after forcing 4 turnovers (129th in the FBS) while committing 13 (92nd in the FBS).

UMass

UMass has been sputtering on offense, ranking second-worst with 243.0 total yards per game. It has been more effective on defense, allowing 385.4 total yards per contest (79th-ranked). UMass has been outplayed on both offense and defense this season, ranking worst in points (12.0 per game) and 21st-worst in points surrendered (32.0 per game). UMass’ passing game has been struggling, ranking worst in the FBS with 76.1 passing yards per game. It has been more productive defensively, giving up 202.9 passing yards per contest (37th-ranked). From an offensive perspective, UMass is compiling 166.9 rushing yards per game (57th-ranked). It ranks 106th in the FBS on defense (182.6 rushing yards given up per game). UMass’ offense has not been getting things done on third down, ranking eighth-worst in the FBS with a 28.7% third-down conversion percentage. It has been better defensively, surrendering a 36.1% third-down rate (50th-ranked). UMass owns a +4 turnover margin this season, which ranks 34th in the FBS.

New Mexico State vs. UMass Betting Analysis

New Mexico State Betting Insights

New Mexico State has registered a 3-4-0 record against the spread this season. New Mexico State has 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 2-point favorites. Games involving the New Mexico State have hit the over twice this season. The Aggies have been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games. The Aggies have played as a moneyline favorite of -126 or shorter in only two games this season, and they split 1-1.

Minutemen Betting Insights

UMass have registered a 3-4-0 record against the spread this season. UMass has a record of 2-4 ATS when playing as at least 2-point underdogs. This season, UMass games have hit the over twice. The Minutemen have been the underdog in six games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. The Minutemen have been at least a +103 moneyline underdog six times this season, but lost all of those games.

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New Mexico State vs. UMass Against The Spread & Betting Records

New Mexico State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.3 48.4 48.2
Implied Total AVG 33.4 28.8 39.7
ATS Record 3-4-0 2-2-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-1 0-2

Minutemen

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.9 45.8 51.1
Implied Total AVG 33.9 30.0 36.8
ATS Record 3-4-0 2-1-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 2-5-0 1-2-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-6 0-2 0-4

Players to Watch

New Mexico State

  • With 4.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 48 tackles in seven games, Chris Ojoh has been a significant part of the Aggies’ defense in 2022.
  • As part of the Aggies’ defense, Trevor Brohard has registered 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL and 24 tackles in seven games.
  • With 11 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in seven games, Lazarus Williams has been a big part of the Aggies’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • An important piece of the Aggies’ defensive unit, Bryce Jackson has 21 tackles in seven games.

Minutemen

  • As a tone-setter on defense, the Minutemen’s Jalen Mackie has posted 20 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in seven games.
  • Jordan Mahoney has been wreaking havoc on defense, collecting three interceptions to go with five tackles and three passes defended for the Minutemen.
  • Marcus Cushnie has 2.0 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 12 tackles in seven games.
  • Josh Wallace has collected 1.0 TFL, 13 tackles, and two interceptions in seven games for the Minutemen.

New Mexico State vs. UMass Predictions and Pick

New Mexico State vs. UMass betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Minutemen (+2)

    Pick OU:

    Over (38.5)

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How to Bet on New Mexico State vs. UMass

You can bet on New Mexico State vs. UMass at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s New Mexico State vs. UMass picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is UMass, and we expect that UMass will cover the spread (New Mexico State -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 38.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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