New Mexico State vs. Florida International Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The New Mexico State Aggies (1-4) will clash with the Florida International Panthers (1-2) at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, New Mexico.

New Mexico State vs. Florida International Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 14.5 points, with oddsmakers listing New Mexico State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, New Mexico State has -621 odds to pick up the win, while Florida International is listed at +445 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 54 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch New Mexico State vs. Florida International Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FloSports
  • Location: Las Cruces, New Mexico
  • Stadium: Aggie Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview

New Mexico State

While New Mexico State ranks 94th in total defense with 404.4 yards allowed per game, the team’s offensive unit has been a little less successful, ranking eighth-worst (274.4 yards per game). With 15.4 points per game (eighth-worst) and 34.6 points allowed per game on defense (19th-worst), New Mexico State has been getting outplayed on both sides of the ball this season. While New Mexico State’s pass defense ranks 48th with 205.6 passing yards allowed per game,the offense has been less successful, ranking fifth-worst (117.4 passing yards per game). With 198.8 rushing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 14th-worst in the FBS, New Mexico State has had to ask their 72nd-ranked running game (157.0 rushing yards per contest) to keep them in games. Offensively, New Mexico State ranks 100th in the FBS with a 34.4% third-down percentage. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 104th in third-down percentage allowed (198.8). New Mexico State has forced three total turnovers (114th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 13 times (129th in the FBS) for -10a turnover margin of -10, 100th-ranked in college football.

Florida International

Florida International has been unproductive on both sides of the ball this season, ranking 14th-worst in total offense (290.0 total yards per game) and third-worst in total defense (536.7 total yards allowed per game). This season has been hard for Florida International on both sides of the ball, as it is putting up only 16.7 points per contest (10th-worst) and ceding 50.3 points per game (worst). Florida International’s defense has been bottom-25 in pass defense this season, surrendering 351.0 passing yards per game, which ranks third-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 82nd with 228.3 passing yards per contest. Florida International has been outplayed on both offense and defense in terms of rushing this season, ranking fifth-worst in rushing yards (61.7 per game) and 21st-worst in rushing yards allowed (185.7 per game). In terms of third-down efficiency, this season has been tough for Florida International on both sides of the ball, as it is compiling a 22.4% third-down conversion rate (fourth-worst) and conceding a 53.7% conversion rate (fifth-worst). Florida International owns a +1 turnover margin this season, which ranks 49th in the FBS.

New Mexico State vs. Florida International Betting Analysis

New Mexico State Betting Insights

New Mexico State has gone 2-3-0 against the spread this season. This season, New Mexico State games have hit the over twice. The Aggies have been listed as the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Aggies have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -621 or shorter.

Panthers Betting Insights

Florida International is winless against the spread this season (0-3-0). Florida International is winless against the spread when it’s 14.5-point underdogs or more (0-1). This year, Florida International games have hit the over twice. The Panthers have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Panthers have played as an underdog of +445 or more once this season and lost that game.

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New Mexico State vs. Florida International Against The Spread & Betting Records

New Mexico State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.1 50.5 48.2
Implied Total AVG 35.2 28.5 39.7
ATS Record 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-1 0-2

Panthers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 62.0 58.0 64.0
Implied Total AVG 40.3 35.0 43.0
ATS Record 0-3-0 0-1-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Players to Watch

New Mexico State

  • The Aggies’ defense has been helped by the contributions of Chris Ojoh, who has suited up for five games and amassed 32 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks.
  • As part of the Aggies’ defense, Lazarus Williams has delivered 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and seven tackles in five games.
  • Bryce Jackson has helped spur the Aggies’ defense with 20 tackles in five games.
  • Dylan Early has been an important part of the Aggies’ defense in 2022, with 21 tackles in five games.

Panthers

  • In three games for the Panthers, Demetrius Hill has recorded 11 tackles.
  • Shaun Peterson Jr. has amassed one sack in three games for the Panthers.
  • Gaethan Bernadel has been wreaking havoc on defense, collecting 1.5 sacks to go with 1.0 TFL and four tackles for the Panthers.
  • The Panthers’ Donovan Manuel has delivered four tackles and 0.5 sacks in three games.

New Mexico State vs. Florida International Predictions and Pick

New Mexico State vs. Florida International betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Aggies (-14.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (54)

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How to Bet on New Mexico State vs. Florida International

You can bet on New Mexico State vs. Florida International at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s New Mexico State vs. Florida International picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is New Mexico State, and we expect that New Mexico State will cover the spread (New Mexico State -14.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 54 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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