Texas State Bobcats vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Picks and Prediction – September 3

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The Texas State Bobcats (0-0) square off against the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-0) in college football action at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada.

Texas State vs. Nevada Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing Texas State as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Texas State has -127 odds to pick up the win, while Nevada is listed at +105 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 51.5 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch Texas State vs. Nevada Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MW Network
  • Location: Reno, Nevada
  • Stadium: Mackay Stadium

Betting Preview

Texas State

  • Texas State averaged 3.4 fewer points per game (23.1) than Nevada allowed (26.5) last year.
  • The Bobcats were 3-2 against the spread and 2-3 overall last season when the team notched over 26.5 points.
  • Texas State racked up 63.0 fewer yards per game (343.7) than Nevada allowed per matchup (406.7) last season.
  • When the Bobcats amassed more than 406.7 yards last year, the team was 1-1 against the spread and 1-1 overall.
  • Texas State rushed for 150.0 yards per game last year, 36.2 fewer than the 186.2 Nevada allowed per contest.
  • Last season the Bobcats had a 3-0 ATS record and a 2-1 overall record in games the team rushed for more than 186.2 yards.


  • Nevada put up just 2.7 more points per game (35.7) than Texas State allowed (33.0) last season.
  • The Wolf Pack were 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 overall in games when they recorded over 33.0 points last season.
  • Nevada averaged just 7.9 fewer yards per game (424.4) than Texas State allowed (432.3) per matchup last season.
  • In games that the Wolf Pack totaled more than 432.3 yards last year, the team was 5-1 against the spread and 5-1 overall.
  • Last season Nevada rushed for 108.1 fewer yards per game (77.4) than Texas State allowed per contest (185.5).

Texas State vs. Nevada Betting Analysis

Texas State Betting Insights

  • Texas State had seven wins in 12 games against the spread last season.
  • Texas State won once ATS (1-2) when favored by 2 points or more last year.
  • The Bobcats finished with a 1-2 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 33.3% of those games).
  • The Bobcats played as a moneyline favorite of -127 or shorter in just two games last season, and they split them 1-1.
  • In 12 Texas State games last year, five went over the total.

Wolf Pack Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, Nevada was 8-4-0 last year.
  • Nevada covered every time (4-0) as underdogs of 2 points or greater last year.
  • Last season, the Wolf Pack won two out of the five games in which they were the underdog.
  • The Wolf Pack had a record of 1-2 when they were set as an underdog of +105 or more by sportsbooks last season.
  • Last year, eight of Nevada’s 12 games went over the point total.

Texas State vs. Nevada Against The Spread & Betting Records

Texas State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.3 55.3 59.3
Implied Total AVG 33.3 31.2 35.5
ATS Record 7-5-0 4-2-0 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 4-2-0 1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-6 1-2 2-4

Wolf Pack

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.5 58.3 54.8
Implied Total AVG 33.8 38.3 29.2
ATS Record 8-4-0 3-3-0 5-1-0
Over/Under Record 8-4-0 4-2-0 4-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-1 4-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-3 0-1 2-2

Last Season’s Leaders

Texas State

  • On defense last year, Issiah Nixon helped keep opposing offenses in check with 31 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and four sacks in 12 games.
  • In 12 games in 2021, Jordan Revels registered 39 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks.
  • Zion Childress 44 tackles and one interception a season ago.
  • Markeveon Coleman registered 52 tackles in 12 games.

Wolf Pack

  • Last season Daiyan Henley recorded 58 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and four interceptions in 12 games.
  • With 56 tackles and 4.0 TFL in 13 games, Jordan Lee was an important player on defense last year.
  • Tristan Nichols played in 13 games and recorded 21 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 10.5 sacks.
  • Lawson Hall was an important player on D last season, with one interception to go with 55 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one pass defended.

Texas State vs. Nevada Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Nevada, and we expect that Nevada will cover the spread (Texas State -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 51.5 points.

Texas State vs. Nevada betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Wolf Pack (+2)

    Pick OU:

    Over (51.5)

How to Bet on Texas State vs. Nevada

You can bet on Texas State vs. Nevada at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas State vs. Nevada picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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