Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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SEC foes will clash when the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-1) meet the No. 17 Texas A&M Aggies (3-1).

Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Mississippi State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Mississippi State has -195 odds to pick up the win, while Texas A&M is listed at +157 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 45 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Starkville, Mississippi
  • Stadium: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

Betting Preview

Mississippi State

Mississippi State is compiling 431.8 yards per game on offense, which ranks 55th in the FBS. On the other side of the ball, the Bulldogs rank 31st, allowing 319.0 yards per contest. Mississippi State is averaging 37.3 points per game offensively this season (37th in the FBS), and is allowing 21.3 points per game (48th) on defense. On the offensive side of the ball, Mississippi State has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking seventh-best in the FBS by averaging 351.0 per game. The Bulldogs rank 49th on defense (205.8 passing yards allowed per game). Mississippi State ranks eighth-worst in rushing offense (80.8 rushing yards per game), but has played better on defense, ranking 44th with 113.3 rushing yards allowed per game. Mississippi State ranks 40th in third-down efficiency (46.0%) on offense and 30th in third-down conversion rate allowed (30.2%) on defense this year. With six forced turnovers (56th in the FBS) against seven turnovers committed (84th in the FBS), Mississippi State (-1) owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

Texas A&M

Texas A&M’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit in total offense this season, posting 322.5 total yards per game, which ranks 25th-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 38th with 330.0 total yards surrendered per contest. On offense, Texas A&M is bottom-25, accumulating just 21.3 points per game (24th-worst). Fortunately, it is excelling on the other side of the ball, allowing only 11.8 points per contest (eighth-best). Texas A&M ranks 24th-worst in passing yards per game on offense (193.8), but at least it has been dominating on the other side of the ball, ranking 11th-best in passing yards allowed per contest (153.3). Texas A&M ranks 101st in the FBS with 128.8 rushing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 104th with 176.8 rushing yards ceded per game on the defensive side of the ball. In terms of third-down efficiency, Texas A&M ranks 76th in the FBS (37.8% third-down conversion percentage) and 52nd on the other side of the ball (34.4% third-down rate allowed). Texas A&M has accumulated four forced turnovers (101st in the FBS) and committed four turnovers (29th in the FBS) this season for a 0 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M Betting Analysis

Mississippi State Betting Insights

Mississippi State has covered the spread in a game two times this season (2-1-1). In games it has played as 4.5-point favorites or more, Mississippi State has an ATS record of 2-0-1. Games involving the Mississippi State have hit the over twice this season. The Bulldogs have put together a 3-1 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 75% of those games). The Bulldogs have played three times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -195 or shorter, and won in each game.

Aggies Betting Insights

Texas A&M has covered the spread twice in four games with a set number. Games involving Texas A&M have yet to hit the over once this year. The Aggies will play as the underdog for the first time this season. The Aggies have played as an underdog of +157 or more once this season and won that game.

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Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M Against The Spread & Betting Records

Mississippi State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.4 55.3 55.5
Implied Total AVG 35.8 40.0 31.5
ATS Record 2-1-1 1-0-1 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Aggies

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.3 51.3
Implied Total AVG 33.5 33.5
ATS Record 2-2-0 2-2-0 0-0-0
Over/Under Record 0-4-0 0-4-0 0-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Mississippi State

  • As part of the Bulldogs’ defense, Nathaniel Watson has recorded 28 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception in four games.
  • With 33 tackles and 1.0 TFL in four games, Jett Johnson has been a significant piece of the Bulldogs’ defense in 2022.
  • Collin Duncan has helped spur the Bulldogs’ defense with 12 tackles, 2.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in four games.
  • Tyrus Wheat has been an important piece of the Bulldogs’ defensive unit in 2022, with 16 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in four games.

Aggies

  • Chris Russell has been providing a big boost on defense, delivering 21 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks for the Aggies.
  • Antonio Johnson has been providing a big boost on defense, delivering 26 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack for the Aggies.
  • The Aggies’ Jardin Gilbert has compiled one interception to go with 13 tackles and one pass defended in four games.
  • On defense, Demani Richardson has chipped in with 11 tackles and 1.0 TFL in four games.

Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M Predictions and Pick

Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bulldogs (-4.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (45)

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How to Bet on Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M

You can bet on Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Mississippi State, and we expect that Mississippi State will cover the spread (Mississippi State -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 45 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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