Mississippi State vs. Auburn Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-3) have an SEC matchup against the Auburn Tigers (3-5).

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 12.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Mississippi State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Mississippi State has -490 odds to pick up the win, while Auburn is listed at +366 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 50.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Mississippi State vs. Auburn Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Starkville, Mississippi
  • Stadium: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

Betting Preview

Mississippi State

Mississippi State is totaling 410.8 yards per game on offense this season (60th in the FBS), and are surrendering 364.4 yards per game (57th) on defense. Offensively, Mississippi State ranks 51st in the FBS with 31.8 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 46th in points allowed (364.4 points allowed per contest). Mississippi State has the 60th-ranked defense this season in terms of passing yards (227.1 allowed per game), and has been better offensively, ranking 10th-best with 320.3 passing yards per game. While Mississippi State’s run defense ranks 59th with 137.3 rushing yards allowed per game, the offense has been less successful, ranking eighth-worst (90.5 rushing yards per game). Mississippi State is averaging a 40.2% third-down conversion rate on offense (61st in the FBS), and ranks 52nd on the other side of the ball with a 36.4% third-down percentage allowed. With 14 forced turnovers (31st in the FBS) against 10 turnovers committed (39th in the FBS), Mississippi State’s +4+4 turnover margin ranks 34th in college football.

Auburn

In terms of total yards, Auburn ranks 73rd in the FBS (389.0 total yards per game) and 95th on the other side of the ball (407.1 total yards allowed per game). Auburn is posting 22.9 points per contest on offense this season (103rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 29.9 points per game (95th-ranked) on defense. Auburn ranks 91st in the FBS with 217.3 passing yards per contest, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks 25th-best by allowing just 192.5 passing yards per game. Auburn’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in run defense this season, ceding 214.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 50th with 171.8 rushing yards per contest. Auburn ranks 89th in third-down conversion percentage (37.2%) on offense, but it has been less productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 19th-worst in the FBS with a 44.4% third-down percentage allowed. At -10, Auburn has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with six forced turnovers (123rd in the FBS) and 16 turnovers committed (111th in the FBS).

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Betting Analysis

Mississippi State Betting Insights

Mississippi State has put together a 4-3-1 record against the spread this season. In games it has played as 12.5-point favorites or more, Mississippi State has an ATS record of 1-0-1. Mississippi State games have gone over the total four times this season. The Bulldogs have gone 5-2 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 71.4% of those games). The Bulldogs have played in three games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -490 or shorter and won every time.

Tigers Betting Insights

Auburn has covered the spread two times in eight games with a set number. In games they have played as 12.5-point underdogs or more, the Tigers have an ATS record of 1-1. Auburn’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this year. The Tigers have been listed as the underdog five times this season and have failed to win any of those games. This season, the Tigers have been at least a +366 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

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Mississippi State vs. Auburn Against The Spread & Betting Records

Mississippi State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.3 52.8 55.8
Implied Total AVG 33.5 34.3 32.8
ATS Record 4-3-1 3-0-1 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-4-0 4-0-0 0-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-2 4-0 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Tigers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.1 50.7 52.5
Implied Total AVG 33.3 32.0 37.0
ATS Record 2-6-0 1-5-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-3-0 3-3-0 2-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 3-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-5 0-3 0-2

Players to Watch

Mississippi State

  • Nathaniel Watson has suited up for eight games, delivering 4.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL, 56 tackles, and one interception for the Bulldogs.
  • With 27 tackles, 3.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended in eight games, Tyrus Wheat has been a significant contributor to the Bulldogs’ defense in 2022.
  • As part of the Bulldogs’ defensive unit, Collin Duncan has compiled 24 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in eight games.
  • With 3.0 TFL and 43 tackles, Jett Johnson has helped carry the Bulldogs’ defense over eight games.

Tigers

  • Derick Hall has been doing his part on defense, totaling one interception to go with 36 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one pass defended for the Tigers.
  • Colby Wooden has been wreaking havoc on defense, posting 24 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and four sacks for the Tigers.
  • Owen Pappoe has 1.5 sacks to go with 1.0 TFL and 51 tackles in eight games.
  • Keionte Scott has totaled one interception to go with 30 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended In eight games for the Tigers.

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Predictions and Pick

Mississippi State vs. Auburn betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bulldogs (-12.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (50.5)

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How to Bet on Mississippi State vs. Auburn

You can bet on Mississippi State vs. Auburn at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mississippi State vs. Auburn picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Mississippi State, and we predict that Mississippi State will cover the spread (Mississippi State -12.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 50.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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