Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arizona Wildcats Picks and Prediction – September 10

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-0) will clash with the Arizona Wildcats (1-0) at Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Arizona.

Mississippi State vs. Arizona Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 11.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Mississippi State as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Mississippi State has -491 odds to pick up the win, while Arizona is listed at +350 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 57.5 points.


4.9/5 Read Review

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Game Info

How to Watch Mississippi State vs. Arizona Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Tucson, Arizona
  • Stadium: Arizona Stadium

Betting Preview

Mississippi State

  • Mississippi State scored 29.1 points per game last season, comparable to the 31.4 per matchup Arizona allowed.
  • When the Bulldogs scored over 31.4 points last year, they were 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 overall.
  • Mississippi State collected 441.5 yards per game last season, 69.1 more yards than the 372.4 Arizona allowed per contest.
  • In games that the Bulldogs amassed over 372.4 yards last year, the team was 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall.
  • Mississippi State rushed for 63.2 yards per game last year, 119.1 fewer than the 182.3 Arizona allowed per contest.


  • Arizona averaged 17.2 points per game last year, 8.7 fewer than Mississippi State allowed (25.9).
  • The Wildcats were 2-0 against the spread and 0-2 overall last season when the team recorded over 25.9 points.
  • Arizona racked up 355.4 yards per game last season, just 10.4 more than the 345.0 Mississippi State gave up per outing.
  • The Wildcats were 3-4 against the spread and 0-7 overall when the team picked up over 345.0 yards last year.
  • Arizona rushed for 127.8 yards per game last season, 14.2 more than the 113.6 Mississippi State allowed per contest.
  • Last season the Wildcats had a 4-3 ATS record and a 1-6 overall record in games the team ran for over 113.6 yards.

Mississippi State vs. Arizona Betting Analysis

Mississippi State Betting Insights

  • Mississippi State was 7-6-0 against the spread last year.
  • As an 11.5-point or greater favorite last season, Mississippi State had two wins against the spread (2-1).
  • The Bulldogs finished with a 3-3 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 50% of those games).
  • The Bulldogs played as a moneyline favorite of -491 or shorter in just two games last season, and they won both.
  • Out of 13 Mississippi State games last year, six hit the over.

Wildcats Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, Arizona was 6-6-0 last year.
  • Against the spread, as underdogs of 11.5 points or greater, Arizona went 5-3 last year.
  • The Wildcats won one of the 10 games they played as underdogs last season.
  • Last season, the Wildcats were at least a +350 underdog on the moneyline eight times, losing each of those contests.
  • Last year, six of Arizona’s 12 games hit the over.

Mississippi State vs. Arizona Against The Spread & Betting Records

Mississippi State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.2 55.9 54.3
Implied Total AVG 33.2 34.6 31.5
ATS Record 7-6-0 3-4-0 4-2-0
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 3-4-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-3 2-1 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-3 1-2 2-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.3 51.8 53.1
Implied Total AVG 34.5 33.6 35.8
ATS Record 6-6-0 4-3-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 2-5-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-2 0-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-9 1-4 0-5

Last Season’s Leaders

Mississippi State

  • On defense last year, Nathaniel Watson helped lead the way with 70 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and five sacks in 13 games.
  • Tyrus Wheat had one interception to go with 46 tackles, 6.0 TFL, six sacks, and one pass defended.
  • Emmanuel Forbes had 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 52 tackles, and three interceptions in 13 games a season ago.
  • On defense in 2021, Jett Johnson supplied 66 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception through 13 games.


  • On defense Anthony Pandy, who played in 12 games, posted 66 tackles and one interception.
  • On defense, Jaxen Turner amassed 3.0 TFL and 54 tackles.
  • Kyon Barrs helped on defense with 29 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and five sacks in 12 games.
  • With 4.0 sacks to go along with 7.0 TFL and 30 tackles, Mohamed Diallo made a big difference on D.

Mississippi State vs. Arizona Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Mississippi State, and we predict that Mississippi State will cover the spread (Mississippi State -11.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 57.5 points.

Mississippi State vs. Arizona betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bulldogs (-11.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (57.5)

How to Bet on Mississippi State vs. Arizona

You can bet on Mississippi State vs. Arizona at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mississippi State vs. Arizona picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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