Minnesota vs. Purdue Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The No. 21 Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-0) have a Big Ten matchup with the Purdue Boilermakers (2-2).

Minnesota vs. Purdue Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 11.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Minnesota as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Minnesota has -456 odds to pick up the win, while Purdue is listed at +341 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 52 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Minnesota vs. Purdue Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Huntington Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Minnesota

Minnesota has been finding success on both sides of the ball, ranking third-best in total offense (543.0 yards per game) and best in total defense (187.8 yards allowed per game). Minnesota has been making things happen on both sides of the ball this year, as they rank 11th-best in scoring offense (45.8 points per game) and second-best in scoring defense (6.0 points allowed per game). Minnesota owns the 67th-ranked offense this year in terms of passing yards (248.5 passing yards per game), and has been more effective on defense, ranking second-best with just 126.0 passing yards allowed per game. Minnesota has been thriving on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking second-best in rushing offense (294.5 rushing yards per game) and third-best in rushing defense (61.8 rushing yards allowed per game). Minnesota has been a tough opponent for opposing teams on third down, ranking top-25 in both third-down offense (best with a 78.8% third-down percentage) and third-down defense (best with a 14.3% third-down percentage allowed) this season. Minnesota has forced six total turnovers (56th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over three times (19th in the FBS) for +3a turnover margin of +3, 30th-ranked in college football.

Purdue

Purdue is compiling 446.5 total yards per contest on offense this season (46th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 319.0 total yards per contest (32nd-ranked). In terms of points scored Purdue ranks 43rd in the FBS (36.0 points per game), and it is 61st on the other side of the ball (23.3 points allowed per game). Purdue’s pass defense ranks 45th in the FBS with 203.3 passing yards allowed per game, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks 18th-best by compiling 308.8 passing yards per game. Purdue is generating 137.8 rushing yards per game on offense this season (92nd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 115.8 rushing yards per contest (47th-ranked) on defense. Purdue ranks 46th in the FBS with a 45.0% third-down conversion percentage, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 19th-best by surrendering a 27.6% third-down rate. After forcing six turnovers (56th in the FBS) and turning the ball over five times (49th in the FBS) this season, Purdue owns the 49th-ranked turnover margin of +1.

Minnesota vs. Purdue Betting Analysis

Minnesota Betting Insights

Minnesota has covered in each of the four opportunities it has had with a set spread this season (4-0-0). Minnesota is a perfect 3-0 ATS when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites. Games involving the Minnesota have hit the over twice this season. The Golden Gophers have yet to lose a game they played as the moneyline favorite this season, going 3-0. The Golden Gophers have played as a moneyline favorite of -456 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Boilermakers Betting Insights

Purdue is 1-3-0 against the spread this year. This year, Purdue games have hit the over three times. The Boilermakers have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Boilermakers have played as an underdog of +341 or more once this season and won that game.

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Minnesota vs. Purdue Against The Spread & Betting Records

Minnesota

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.6 52.2 50.0
Implied Total AVG 39.8 44.0 27.0
ATS Record 4-0-0 3-0-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 2-1-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 2-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Boilermakers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.6 54.3 59.5
Implied Total AVG 35.3 36.7 31.0
ATS Record 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-1-0 2-1-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Players to Watch

Minnesota

  • Mariano Sori-Marin has helped spur the Golden Gophers’ defense with 24 tackles and 2.0 TFL in four games.
  • Terell Smith has helped carry the Golden Gophers’ defense with 1.0 sack to go along with 1.0 TFL, eight tackles, and one interception in four games.
  • The Golden Gophers’ defense has been helped by the contributions of Danny Striggow, who has suited up for four games and collected one interception to go along with five tackles, 2.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended.
  • With 1.0 sack to go along with 1.0 TFL and 11 tackles, Thomas Rush has helped spur the Golden Gophers’ defense over four games.

Boilermakers

  • Cam Allen has delivered one interception to go with nine tackles and one pass defended in four games for the Boilermakers.
  • Chris Jefferson has been wreaking havoc on defense, recording two interceptions to go with eight tackles and two passes defended for the Boilermakers.
  • Scotty Humpich has been providing a big boost on defense, posting 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and eight tackles for the Boilermakers.
  • On defense, Jacob Wahlberg has chipped in with nine tackles in four games.

Minnesota vs. Purdue Predictions and Pick

Minnesota vs. Purdue betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Golden Gophers (-11.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (52)

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How to Bet on Minnesota vs. Purdue

You can bet on Minnesota vs. Purdue at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Minnesota vs. Purdue picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Minnesota, and we project that Minnesota will cover the spread (Minnesota -11.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 52 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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