Minnesota vs. Michigan State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

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Big Ten foes will do battle when the Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-0) meet the Michigan State Spartans (2-1) at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan.

Minnesota vs. Michigan State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing Minnesota as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Minnesota has -152 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +124 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 50.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Minnesota vs. Michigan State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BTN
  • Location: East Lansing, Michigan
  • Stadium: Spartan Stadium

Betting Preview

Minnesota

Minnesota has been a tough matchup for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (second-best with 554.7 yards per game) and total defense (second-best with 170.3 yards allowed per game) this season. Minnesota has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (eighth-best with 49.7 points per game) and scoring defense (fourth-best with 5.7 points allowed per game) this year. Minnesota ranks 76th in passing yards this season (242.0 per game), but has been shining on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the FBS with 100.7 passing yards allowed per game. Minnesota has been surging on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking second-best in rushing offense (312.7 rushing yards per game) and eighth-best in rushing defense (69.7 rushing yards allowed per game). Minnesota has been finding success on both sides of the ball in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in third-down percentage (77.5%) and best in third-down conversion rate allowed (11.8%). With three forced turnovers (93rd in the FBS) against two turnovers committed (19th in the FBS), Minnesota’s +1+1 turnover margin ranks 45th in college football.

Michigan State

Michigan State ranks 59th with 430.3 total yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 60th with 354.0 total yards given up per game on defense. With 38.3 points per game on offense, Michigan State ranks 36th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 34th, giving up 17.3 points per contest. Michigan State ranks 43rd in the FBS with 264.0 passing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 103rd with 264.3 passing yards ceded per game on the defensive side of the ball. From an offensive standpoint, Michigan State is putting up 166.3 rushing yards per game (65th-ranked). It ranks 26th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (89.7 rushing yards allowed per game). In terms of third-down efficiency, Michigan State ranks 44th in the FBS (46.2% third-down conversion percentage) and 52nd on defense (33.3% third-down rate allowed). Michigan State has registered six forced turnovers (25th in the FBS) and committed five turnovers (72nd in the FBS) this season for a +1 turnover margin that ranks 45th in the FBS.

Minnesota vs. Michigan State Betting Analysis

Minnesota Betting Insights

Minnesota is 3-0-0 against the spread this season. In games it is played as 3-point favorites or more, Minnesota has an ATS record of 3-0. Minnesota games have gone over the total twice this season. The Golden Gophers have been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games. The Golden Gophers have played as a moneyline favorite of -152 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Spartans Betting Insights

Michigan State has gone 2-1-0 against the spread this season. Michigan State has not covered a spread (0-1) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs. Games involving Michigan State has hit the over once this season. The Spartans lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Spartans have played as an underdog of +124 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Minnesota vs. Michigan State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Minnesota

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.2 52.2
Implied Total AVG 44.0 44.0
ATS Record 3-0-0 3-0-0 0-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 2-1-0 0-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Spartans

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.8 55.5 56.5
Implied Total AVG 38.0 42.0 30.0
ATS Record 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Minnesota

  • Terell Smith has helped lead the Golden Gophers’ defense with four tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in three games.
  • With 16 tackles and 2.0 TFL in three games, Mariano Sori-Marin has been an important contributor to the Golden Gophers’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Golden Gophers’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Danny Striggow, who has suited up for three games and compiled five tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks.
  • Jalen Logan-Redding, as part of the Golden Gophers’ defensive unit, has registered 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and four tackles in three games.

Spartans

  • Jacoby Windmon has been causing chaos on defense, delivering 14 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks for the Spartans.
  • In three games for the Spartans, Kendell Brooks has delivered 19 tackles.
  • The Spartans’ Cal Haladay has recorded 19 tackles and one sack in three games.
  • Chester Kimbrough has recorded 11 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two sacks In three games for the Spartans.

Minnesota vs. Michigan State Predictions and Pick

Minnesota vs. Michigan State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Spartans (+3)

    Pick OU:

    Over (50.5)

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How to Bet on Minnesota vs. Michigan State

You can bet on Minnesota vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Minnesota vs. Michigan State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Michigan State, and we project that Michigan State will cover the spread (Minnesota -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 50.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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