Minnesota vs. Illinois Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetGMUGyHxminnesota golden gophers vs illinois fighting illini Betsperts Media & Technology

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-1) and No. 24 Illinois Fighting Illini (5-1) will battle in clash of Big Ten rivals at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) in Champaign, Illinois.

Minnesota vs. Illinois Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Minnesota as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Minnesota has -259 odds to pick up the win, while Illinois is listed at +207 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 39.5 points.

Caesars Promo Code
Bet on Caesars up to $1,250

Game Info

How to Watch Minnesota vs. Illinois Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BTN
  • Location: Champaign, Illinois
  • Stadium: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Betting Preview


Minnesota has been clicking on all fronts this year, ranking 14th-best in total offense (495.2 yards per game) and best in total defense (222.0 yards allowed per game). Minnesota has been clicking on all fronts this season, as they rank 23rd-best in scoring offense (38.6 points per game) and second-best in scoring defense (8.8 points allowed per game). On the defensive side of the ball, Minnesota has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking second-best by surrendering only 140.6 passing yards per game. The Golden Gophers rank 64th on offense (250.2 passing yards per game). Minnesota has been thriving on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking fifth-best in rushing offense (245.0 rushing yards per game) and fifth-best in rushing defense (81.4 rushing yards allowed per game). Minnesota has been a tough matchup for opposing teams on third down, ranking top-25 in both third-down offense (best with a 70.3% third-down percentage) and third-down defense (best with a 17.9% third-down conversion rate allowed) this season. With nine forced turnovers (53rd in the FBS) against six turnovers committed (29th in the FBS), Minnesota’s +3+3 turnover margin ranks 37th in college football.


Illinois has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, allowing just 228.0 total yards per contest (second-best). On offense, it ranks 65th by racking up 406.8 total yards per game. Illinois ranks 88th in the FBS with 26.0 points per game, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks best by giving up just 8.0 points per contest. Illinois has been dominant on pass defense, allowing only 160.8 passing yards per contest (eighth-best). Offensively, it ranks 102nd in the FBS by posting 210.5 passing yards per game. Illinois’ run defense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks third-best in the FBS with 67.2 rushing yards allowed per contest. In terms of offense, it is compiling 196.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 30th. Illinois ranks 82nd in the FBS with a 38.5% third-down conversion percentage, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks fifth-best by giving up a 27.2% third-down rate. At +2, Illinois has the 46th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 13 forced turnovers (eighth in the FBS) and 11 turnovers committed (99th in the FBS).

Minnesota vs. Illinois Betting Analysis

Minnesota Betting Insights

Minnesota has covered the spread four times this season (4-1-0). In games it is played as 6.5-point favorites or more, Minnesota has an ATS record of 3-1. This season, Minnesota games have hit the over twice. The Golden Gophers have won three of the four games they were favored on the moneyline this season (75%). The Golden Gophers have a 0-1 record (winning 66.7% of their games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -259 or shorter.

Fighting Illini Betting Insights

Illinois has covered the spread four times in six games with a set total. In games it has played as 6.5-point underdogs or more, Illinois has a perfect ATS record of 1-0. Illinois games have gone over the total twice this season. The Fighting Illini have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Fighting Illini have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +207 odds on them winning this game.

Caesars Promo Code
Bet on Caesars up to $1,250

Minnesota vs. Illinois Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.9 52.4 50.0
Implied Total AVG 38.0 40.8 27.0
ATS Record 4-1-0 3-1-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-3-0 2-2-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Fighting Illini

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.9 44.6 45.5
Implied Total AVG 26.7 27.8 24.5
ATS Record 4-2-0 3-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 4-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Players to Watch


  • As part of the Golden Gophers’ defense, Terell Smith has delivered 15 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in five games.
  • The Golden Gophers’ defense has been helped by the contributions of Mariano Sori-Marin, who has suited up for five games and totaled 3.0 TFL and 31 tackles.
  • With eight tackles, 3.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception in five games, Danny Striggow has been a key contributor to the Golden Gophers’ defense in 2022.
  • Justin Walley has been a significant piece of the Golden Gophers’ defense in 2022, with one interception to go with 16 tackles and one pass defended in five games.

Fighting Illini

  • On defense, Keith Randolph Jr. has helped lead the charge with one interception to go with 24 tackles, 7.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended in six games.
  • The Fighting Illini’s Jer’Zhan Newton has amassed 2.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 26 tackles in six games.
  • Jartavius Martin has 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 26 tackles, and one interception in six games.
  • The Fighting Illini’s Seth Coleman has collected 18 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and four sacks in six games.

Minnesota vs. Illinois Predictions and Pick

Minnesota vs. Illinois betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Fighting Illini (+6.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (39.5)

Caesars Promo Code
Bet on Caesars up to $1,250

How to Bet on Minnesota vs. Illinois

You can bet on Minnesota vs. Illinois at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Minnesota vs. Illinois picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Illinois, and we expect that Illinois will cover the spread (Minnesota -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 39.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

Deals of the Day

See All