Michigan vs. Iowa Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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Big Ten rivals will clash when the No. 4 Michigan Wolverines (4-0) meet the Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1).

Michigan vs. Iowa Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with bookmakers listing Michigan as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Michigan has -418 odds to pick up the win, while Iowa is listed at +315 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 42 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Michigan vs. Iowa Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Iowa City, Iowa
  • Stadium: Kinnick Stadium

Betting Preview

Michigan

Michigan has been firing on all cylinders this year, ranking 18th-best in total offense (489.0 yards per game) and ninth-best in total defense (244.8 yards allowed per game). Michigan has been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (second-best with 50.0 points per game) and scoring defense (seventh-best with 11.0 points allowed per game) this season. Michigan sports the 60th-ranked offense this year in terms of passing yards (254.8 passing yards per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with just 135.8 passing yards allowed per game. Michigan has the 33rd-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (109.0 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on offense, ranking 11th-best with 234.3 rushing yards per game. Michigan ranks 36th in third-down conversion rate this season (46.3%), but has been playing really well on defense, ranking 25th-best in the FBS with a 29.3% third-down conversion rate allowed. Michigan has forced six total turnovers (56th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over two times (ninth in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +4, the 19th-best in college football.

Iowa

Iowa ranks worst in total yards per game on offense (232.5), but at least it has been dominating on defense, ranking sixth-best in total yards allowed per contest (236.3). On offense, Iowa is bottom-25, generating just 17.0 points per game (11th-worst). Fortunately, it is excelling on defense, allowing just 5.8 points per contest (best). On offense, Iowa is a bottom-25 passing attack, putting up only 131.0 passing yards per game (eighth-worst). Fortunately, it is excelling on the other side of the ball, giving up only 163.3 passing yards per contest (14th-best). Offensively, Iowa is a bottom-25 run offense, posting only 101.5 rushing yards per game (16th-worst). On the bright side, it is thriving on the other side of the ball, giving up just 73.0 rushing yards per contest (sixth-best). Iowa ranks 10th-worst in third-down conversion rate (28.3%), but it has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 50th in the FBS with a 33.8% third-down rate allowed. Iowa has accumulated seven forced turnovers (32nd in the FBS) and committed five turnovers (49th in the FBS) this season for a +2 turnover margin that ranks 41st in the FBS.

Michigan vs. Iowa Betting Analysis

Michigan Betting Insights

Michigan has covered the spread in a game two times this season (2-2-0). Michigan has an ATS record of 2-2 when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites. This season, Michigan games have yet to hit the over once. The Wolverines have been favored on the moneyline a total of three times this season, and they’ve won all of those games. The Wolverines have played three times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -418 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.

Hawkeyes Betting Insights

Iowa has covered the spread two times in four games with a set number. Games involving Iowa has hit the over once this year. The Hawkeyes have not played a game this season while listed as the underdog. The Hawkeyes have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +315 moneyline set for this game.

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Michigan vs. Iowa Against The Spread & Betting Records

Michigan

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 63.1 63.1
Implied Total AVG 50.0 50.0
ATS Record 2-2-0 2-2-0 0-0-0
Over/Under Record 0-3-1 0-3-1 0-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 3-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Hawkeyes

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 38.4 39.8 34.0
Implied Total AVG 25.0 26.3 21.0
ATS Record 2-2-0 1-2-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 1-3-0 0-3-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Michigan

  • As part of the Wolverines’ defensive unit, Mike Sainristil has posted 15 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks in four games.
  • As part of the Wolverines’ defensive unit, Junior Colson has registered 1.0 TFL and 30 tackles in four games.
  • With seven tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks in four games, Mike Morris has been a significant part of the Wolverines’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • A key part of the Wolverines’ defensive unit, R.J. Moten has one interception to go with 14 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in four games.

Hawkeyes

  • As a playmaker on defense, the Hawkeyes’ Cooper DeJean has recorded 16 tackles and three interceptions in four games.
  • In four games for the Hawkeyes, Lukas Van Ness has recorded seven tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks.
  • Kaevon Merriweather has nine tackles and one interception in four games.
  • The Hawkeyes’ Riley Moss has compiled 13 tackles in four games.

Michigan vs. Iowa Predictions and Pick

Michigan vs. Iowa betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Hawkeyes (+10.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (42)

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How to Bet on Michigan vs. Iowa

You can bet on Michigan vs. Iowa at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Michigan vs. Iowa picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Michigan, and we expect that Iowa will cover the spread (Michigan -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 42 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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