Michigan vs. Illinois Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 19, 2022

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Big Ten rivals will do battle when the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (10-0) battle the Illinois Fighting Illini (7-3) at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Michigan vs. Illinois Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 17.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Michigan as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Michigan has -1090 odds to pick up the win, while Illinois is listed at +624 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 41.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Michigan vs. Illinois Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Ann Arbor, Michigan
  • Stadium: Michigan Stadium

Betting Preview


Michigan has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (24th-best with 460.3 yards per game) and total defense (best with 232.8 yards allowed per game) this year. Michigan has been surging on both offense and defense, ranking fifth-best in scoring offense (41.4 points per game) and best in scoring defense (11.2 points allowed per game). Michigan ranks 96th in passing yards this year (208.9 per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the FBS with 160.1 passing yards allowed per game. Michigan has been making things happen on both sides of the ball in the running game this year, ranking fourth-best in rushing offense (251.4 rushing yards per game) and best in rushing defense (72.7 rushing yards allowed per game). Michigan has been shining on both sides of the ball in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 15th-best in third-down conversion rate (48.4%) and 10th-best in third-down percentage allowed (29.6%). Michigan has forced 11 total turnovers (100th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over five times (second in the FBS) for +6a turnover margin of +6, 27th-ranked in college football.


Illinois has been keeping opposing offenses in check on the defensive side of the ball, allowing just 246.9 total yards per game (second-best). Offensively, it ranks 58th by piling up 402.4 total yards per game. Illinois has been keeping opposing offenses in check on defense, surrendering only 12.5 points per game (third-best). Offensively, it ranks 88th by piling up 24.7 points per game. Illinois has been excelling on pass defense, allowing only 161.0 passing yards per game (fifth-best). On offense, it ranks 87th in the FBS by racking up 218.3 passing yards per game. Illinois ranks 41st in the FBS with 184.1 rushing yards per game, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks seventh-best by giving up just 85.9 rushing yards per game. Illinois’ third-down defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks fifth-best in the FBS with a 27.4% third-down conversion percentage allowed. In terms of offense, it is compiling a 38.6% third-down rate, which ranks 67th. Illinois has compiled 22 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over 14 times, resulting in a +8 turnover margin, which ranks 11th-best in the FBS.

Michigan vs. Illinois Betting Analysis

Michigan Betting Insights

Michigan has put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread this season. In games they were favored in by 17.5 points or more so far this season, the Michigan went 4-3 against the spread. Games involving the Michigan have hit the over twice this season. The Wolverines have not yet lost when playing as the moneyline favorite this season, going 8-0. The Wolverines have won all five games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -1090 or shorter.

Fighting Illini Betting Insights

Illinois has gone 6-4-0 against the spread this season. This season, Illinois games have hit the over four times. The Fighting Illini have been underdogs in three games this season and won two (66.7%) of those contests. The Fighting Illini have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +624.

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Michigan vs. Illinois Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.1 58.0 48.2
Implied Total AVG 41.0 43.9 34.3
ATS Record 6-4-0 4-3-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-7-1 1-5-1 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-0 6-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Fighting Illini

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.5 43.4 47.2
Implied Total AVG 26.5 26.7 26.0
ATS Record 6-4-0 4-3-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 3-4-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-2 4-2 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 1-0 1-1

Players to Watch


  • Junior Colson has hit the gridiron for 10 games, posting 2.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 65 tackles for the Wolverines.
  • With 19 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and seven sacks in 10 games, Mike Morris has been a big piece of the Wolverines’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Michael Barrett has helped carry the Wolverines’ defense with two interceptions to go along with 39 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and two passes defended in 10 games.
  • Rod Moore has been an important contributor to the Wolverines’ defense in 2022, with three interceptions to go with 33 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and three passes defended in 10 games.

Fighting Illini

  • On defense, Jer’Zhan Newton has helped lead the way with 41 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and five sacks in 10 games.
  • On defense, Jartavius Martin has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 43 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and three interceptions in 10 games.
  • The Fighting Illini’s Sydney Brown has totaled four interceptions to go with 42 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and five passes defended in 10 games.
  • The Fighting Illini’s Keith Randolph Jr. has totaled 36 tackles, 10.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception in 10 games.

Michigan vs. Illinois Predictions and Pick

Michigan vs. Illinois betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Fighting Illini (+17.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (41.5)

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How to Bet on Michigan vs. Illinois

You can bet on Michigan vs. Illinois at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Michigan vs. Illinois picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Michigan, and we project that Illinois will cover the spread (Michigan -17.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 41.5 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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