Miami vs. Duke Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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ACC opponents will do battle when the Miami Hurricanes (3-3) battle the Duke Blue Devils (4-3) at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

Miami vs. Duke Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with sportsbooks listing Miami as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Miami has -373 odds to pick up the win, while Duke is listed at +285 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 58.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Miami vs. Duke Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: RSN
  • Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
  • Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium

Betting Preview


Miami is totaling 464.3 yards per game offensively this season (27th in the FBS), and are allowing 346.7 yards per game (37th) on the other side of the ball. Miami is averaging 30.7 points per game on offense (61st in the FBS), and ranks 29th on the other side of the ball with 20.5 points allowed per game. Miami owns the 93rd-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (248.7 allowed per game), and has been better offensively, ranking 14th-best with 321.0 passing yards per game. Miami owns the 76th-ranked offense this year in terms of rushing yards (143.3 per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 12th-best with just 98.0 rushing yards allowed per game. Miami is averaging a 46.1% third-down conversion rate on offense, which ranks them 33rd in the FBS. On the other side of the ball, the defense ranks 48th, allowing a 35.0% third-down percentage. Miami ranks 43rd in college football with a +2 turnover margin after forcing 10 turnovers (55th in the FBS) while committing eight (40th in the FBS).


Duke is posting 434.4 total yards per game on offense this season (45th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 402.1 total yards per contest (92nd-ranked). From an offensive standpoint, Duke is accumulating 32.9 points per game (49th-ranked). It ranks 39th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (22.3 points surrendered per game). Duke ranks 80th in the FBS with 228.6 passing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 99th with 260.6 passing yards surrendered per game on the defensive side of the ball. Duke’s rushing attack has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 24th-best in the FBS with 205.9 rushing yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is ceding 141.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks 62nd. Duke has been struggling on third down, ranking 11th-worst with a 46.4% third-down conversion rate allowed per game. It has been more effective on the other side of the ball, generating a 41.0% third-down rate (59th-ranked). Duke has accumulated 12 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over four times, resulting in a +8 turnover margin, which ranks fifth-best in the FBS.

Miami vs. Duke Betting Analysis

Miami Betting Insights

Miami has covered the spread once over six games with a set spread. Miami has 1-2 ATS when playing as at least 10-point favorites. Games involving the Miami have hit the over twice this season. The Hurricanes have been favored on the moneyline four total times this season. They’ve finished 2-2 in those games. The Hurricanes have played as a moneyline favorite of -373 or shorter in only two games this season, and they split 1-1.

Blue Devils Betting Insights

Duke has covered the spread four times over seven games with a set total. In games it has played as 10-point underdogs or more, Duke has a perfect ATS record of 1-0. This year, Duke games have hit the over three times. This season, the Blue Devils have won one out of the three games in which they’ve been the underdog. The Blue Devils have played as an underdog of +285 or more once this season and won that game.

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Miami vs. Duke Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.6 58.5 46.8
Implied Total AVG 37.7 42.8 27.5
ATS Record 1-5-0 1-3-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 2-2-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-2 1-2 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Blue Devils

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.9 57.5 58.5
Implied Total AVG 34.3 35.3 33.0
ATS Record 4-3-0 3-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 3-4-0 3-1-0 0-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-1 1-1

Players to Watch


  • Akheem Mesidor has played six games, registering 5.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 14 tackles for the Hurricanes.
  • With 16 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks in six games, Corey Flagg Jr. has been a key contributor to the Hurricanes’ defense in 2022.
  • James Williams has helped carry the Hurricanes’ defense with one interception to go along with 15 tackles and one pass defended in six games.
  • The Hurricanes’ defense has been aided by the play of Jahfari Harvey, who has suited up for six games, amassing 2.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 13 tackles.

Blue Devils

  • On defense, DeWayne Carter has helped set the tone with 16 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks in seven games.
  • On defense, Shaka Heyward has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 35 tackles and 1.0 TFL in seven games.
  • Jaylen Stinson has compiled 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and 26 tackles in seven games for the Blue Devils.
  • On defense, Brandon Johnson has supplied 13 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in seven games.

Miami vs. Duke Predictions and Pick

Miami vs. Duke betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Blue Devils (+10)

    Pick OU:

    Under (58.5)

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5 Second Chance Bets up to $50 each

How to Bet on Miami vs. Duke

You can bet on Miami vs. Duke at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Miami vs. Duke picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Duke, and we predict that Duke will cover the spread (Miami -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 58.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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