Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Buffalo Bulls (1-3) face a MAC matchup with the Miami (OH) RedHawks (2-2).

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Buffalo as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Buffalo has -138 odds to pick up the win, while Miami (OH) is listed at +114 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 50.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Buffalo, New York
  • Stadium: UB Stadium

Betting Preview

Buffalo

With 433.5 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 22nd-worst in the FBS, Buffalo has had to rely on its 83rd-ranked offense (391.8 yards per contest) to keep them competitive. Buffalo sports the 81st-ranked scoring offense this season (29.3 points per game), and has been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 23rd-worst with 34.3 points allowed per game. On offense, Buffalo ranks 54th in the FBS with 260.0 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 93rd in passing yards allowed per contest (252.0). Buffalo owns the 98th-ranked rushing offense this year (131.8 rushing yards per game), and has been less effective on defense, ranking 24th-worst with 181.5 rushing yards allowed per game. Buffalo ranks 73rd in third-down efficiency (38.7%) on offense and 79th in third-down conversion rate allowed (39.1%) on defense this year. With six forced turnovers (56th in the FBS) against four turnovers committed (30th in the FBS), Buffalo (+2) owns the 41st-ranked turnover margin in college football.

Miami (OH)

Miami (OH)’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit in total offense this season, compiling 289.8 total yards per game, which ranks 13th-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 51st with 348.8 total yards surrendered per contest. Miami (OH)’s offense has been bottom-25 this season, generating 19.5 points per game, which ranks 18th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 75th with 25.8 points surrendered per contest. Miami (OH)’s passing game has been struggling, ranking ninth-worst in the FBS with 137.3 passing yards per game. It has been better on the defensive side of the ball, giving up 269.0 passing yards per contest (106th-ranked). Miami (OH)’s run defense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 10th-best in the FBS with 79.8 rushing yards allowed per contest. In terms of offense, it is posting 152.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 79th. Miami (OH)’s third-down offense has been bottom-25 this season, compiling a 32.1% third-down rate, which ranks 17th-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 57th with a 35.8% third-down rate allowed. Miami (OH) owns a +3 turnover margin this season, which ranks 30th in the FBS.

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Betting Analysis

Buffalo Betting Insights

Buffalo has compiled a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season. Buffalo has not covered the spread when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites (0-1). Buffalo games have gone over the total three times this season. The Bulls have been the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they lost. The Bulls have played as a moneyline favorite of -138 or shorter in only one game this season, which they lost.

RedHawks Betting Insights

Miami (OH) has covered the spread two times this season (2-2-0). In games they have played as 2.5-point or bigger underdogs, Miami (OH) owns an ATS record of 2-1. This year, Miami (OH) games have hit the over just once. This season, the RedHawks have been the underdog three times and won one of those games. The RedHawks are 0-0 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +114 or more on the moneyline.

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Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Against The Spread & Betting Records

Buffalo

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.4 51.0 60.8
Implied Total AVG 35.5 28.0 38.0
ATS Record 3-1-0 0-1-0 3-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-0 1-2

RedHawks

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.1 52.0 52.3
Implied Total AVG 36.0 40.0 32.0
ATS Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-1 1-1

Players to Watch

Buffalo

  • As part of the Bulls’ defensive unit, Shaun Dolac has collected 32 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in four games.
  • With one interception to go with 20 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one pass defended in four games, James Patterson has been a key contributor to the Bulls’ defense in 2022.
  • Jahmin Muse has suited up for four games, posting nine tackles and 1.0 TFL for the Bulls.
  • With 12 tackles and one interception, Marcus Fuqua has helped lead the Bulls’ defense over four games.

RedHawks

  • In four games for the RedHawks, Ryan McWood has registered 0.5 sacks to go with 21 tackles and one interception.
  • On defense, Caiden Woullard has helped lead the way with five tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three sacks in four games.
  • Matthew Salopek has totaled 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and 16 tackles in four games for the RedHawks.
  • With one interception to go with 13 tackles and one pass defended in four games, Eli Blakey has been providing a big boost on defense for the RedHawks.

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Predictions and Pick

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bulls (-2.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (50.5)

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How to Bet on Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)

You can bet on Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Buffalo, and we predict that Buffalo will cover the spread (Buffalo -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 50.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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